- 1 Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Cam Ward’s 340 yards against a defense allowing 15.1 points a game
- 2 Tennessee Titans: a 14-0 lead lost to Cleveland and an 0-4 record at Nissan Stadium
- 3 Jacksonville Jaguars: 18 touchdowns from Lawrence, 15.1 points allowed and ten days of rest
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
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- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars: Cam Ward’s 340 yards against a defense allowing 15.1 points a game 
Cam Ward threw for 340 yards in Cincinnati on 1 November, the first 300-yard game of his two-year career, and Tennessee still lost 43-36 in overtime. Joe Burrow answered with 462 yards and five touchdown passes, then ran in the winner from nine yards.
That result left the Titans at 1-7, and they haven’t played since. They host Jacksonville at Nissan Stadium on Sunday 15 November, kickoff 1:00pm ET on Fox, still looking for a first home win after four defeats in Nashville.
The Jaguars arrive at 6-2 with a 3.5-game lead in the AFC South. They’ve won five of their last six, and their most recent outing was a 33-10 win in Baltimore on Thursday 5 November, which gives them ten days between games.
Jacksonville have allowed 121 points in eight games, 15.1 per game, and scored 229. Tennessee have scored 144 and allowed 199. The spread reflects that gap: the Jaguars are 10.5-point favourites at 1.93, and the moneyline on Tennessee sits at 5.00.
Double-digit road favourites in a division game deserve some caution, and we’ve weighed it. Our view is that the Titans’ recent scoring is less sturdy than it looks, and that the gap in quarterback play and defense is wide enough for the number.
Tennessee Titans: a 14-0 lead lost to Cleveland and an 0-4 record at Nissan Stadium 
Tennessee led Cleveland 14-0 on 25 October and lost 27-24 on a last-second field goal. A week later they led Cincinnati 10-0 in the first quarter and lost again, the fourth time in NFL history a team has dropped consecutive games after holding a first-quarter lead of at least 13 points.
Tony Pollard is the reason those leads existed. He ran for 117 yards and two touchdowns against the Bengals, including a 40-yard score on which he broke four tackles, and he has five touchdowns in his last two games and 595 yards on 133 carries this season.
Ward’s numbers across the full season are thinner than his Cincinnati line. He’s 155 of 248 for 1,483 yards with six touchdowns and five interceptions, and the Titans’ only win came 26-20 in Indianapolis on 18 October, a defeat that cost Chris Ballard his job as Colts GM the following morning.
Carnell Tate, the team leader with 34 catches for 413 yards, is questionable with a shoulder injury, and running back Tyjae Spears is questionable with a knee problem. Wan’Dale Robinson and Gunnar Helm combined on the late touchdown and two-point conversion in Cincinnati.
On defense, Jacob Martin has 6.5 sacks and linebacker Anthony Hill Jr. leads the team with 82 tackles. Cornerback Jaylon Jones is questionable with a knee injury, and the Titans have allowed 24.9 points a game, a figure that rose after 70 points conceded across the last two weeks.
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Jacksonville Jaguars: 18 touchdowns from Lawrence, 15.1 points allowed and ten days of rest 
Trevor Lawrence has thrown 18 touchdowns and four interceptions, going 146 of 224 for 1,932 yards. In Baltimore he threw for 242 yards, and his 50-yard touchdown to Parker Washington with 58 seconds left in the first half turned a close game into a comfortable one.
Washington leads the receivers with 29 catches for 493 yards and five touchdowns. Bhayshul Tuten has 521 rushing yards and four scores, and he opened the Ravens game with a one-yard touchdown at the end of a 77-yard drive on the first possession.
The Jaguars had gone 24 games without allowing a 75-yard rusher until Justice Hill’s 65-yard touchdown in the fourth quarter on Thursday, which came 11 seconds after Chris Rodriguez Jr. had made it 33-3.
The front office has added to that unit. Jacksonville acquired safety Jessie Bates III from Atlanta on 9 November for a 2027 second-round pick, a response to injuries in the secondary. Foyesade Oluokun leads the team with 58 tackles and Travon Walker has three sacks.
Since a 34-31 loss to Houston in London, the Jaguars have beaten Indianapolis 42-7 and Baltimore 33-10, and before that they won 22-17 in Cincinnati and 19-17 against Philadelphia. Their only player ruled out on the current report is safety Cam’Ron Silmon-Craig, a coach’s decision.
Probable lineup Tennessee Titans: QB Cam Ward, RB Tony Pollard, WR Wan’Dale Robinson, WR Carnell Tate (questionable), TE Gunnar Helm; defense led by Jacob Martin and Anthony Hill Jr. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup Jacksonville Jaguars: QB Trevor Lawrence, RB Bhayshul Tuten, WR Parker Washington, S Jessie Bates III; defense led by Travon Walker and Foyesade Oluokun. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.
Free NFL Prediction: Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Our prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars -10.5 (1.93)
We’d separate Tennessee’s last two scorelines from the rest of the season. The 60 points against Cleveland and Cincinnati came in two defeats after early leads, and across eight games the Titans average 18.0 points.
The worry with a 10.5-point line is a late backdoor touchdown, and Ward has shown he can throw for yardage when trailing. Jacksonville’s margins in their wins over Indianapolis and Baltimore were 35 and 23 points, and they come in with ten days of preparation against a team that hasn’t won at home.
Lawrence’s 18-to-4 ratio against a defense that has conceded 70 points in two weeks, plus a Jaguars defense now reinforced by Bates, points to a win by two scores, and we’re taking Jacksonville to cover.
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