- 1 Senegal vs Iraq: one last shot at staying alive
- 2 Senegal are still chasing a proper statement win
- 3 Iraq want to finish with more steel
- 4 Probable line-ups:
- 5 World Cup prediction: Senegal vs Iraq
- 6 Before anything else, a word on our predictions
- 7 No commitment from us
- 8 Information changes
- 9 Your role
- 10 Responsible gambling first
- 11 Legal age
- 12 About the images
Senegal vs Iraq: one last shot at staying alive 
The verdict is already in for the top two spots in Group I, but Senegal still have a sliver of hope to cling to. The Lions of Teranga have to beat Iraq and then hope their points tally is enough to sneak into the best-third-placed rankings. Iraq, for their part, are still hanging on to a theoretical route through as well, even if their goal difference makes the job brutally hard.
So this final round brings together two sides who can afford no slip-ups. In a game where every goal could matter, managing the bad spells and taking chances when they come may count for more than style points.
Senegal are still chasing a proper statement win 
The results have not really matched Senegal’s level since the start of the tournament. They pushed France in spells before eventually cracking, then paid dearly for a string of defensive mistakes against Norway despite Ismaila Sarr’s brace.
There is still plenty to like going forward. Sarr is finding his rhythm again, Nicolas Jackson gives them pace in behind, and Sadio Mane can still decide a match on his own. The bigger issue is at the back, where a few individual errors have left them exposed in both of their opening games. Against an Iraq side likely to sit deep, Senegal should have the ball for long stretches.
Iraq want to finish with more steel 
Back at the World Cup for the first time in a long while, Iraq have found out just how brutal the elite level can be, losing to Norway and France. Graham Arnold’s men have shipped seven goals in two matches and arrive on the final day with qualification no longer fully in their own hands.
The uncertainty around Aymen Hussein is another major problem. Their top scorer during qualifying went off injured in the last match and could miss this one. If he is out, Iraq lose even more bite in attack, having scored just once in the tournament so far.
That means a compact shape, a lot of hard running and a hope of nicking something on the break or from a set piece.
Probable line-ups:
Senegal : Diaw; Diatta, Koulibaly, Niakhate, Diouf; Camara, I Gueye, P Gueye; Sarr, Jackson, Mane
Iraq : Basil; Ali, Tahseen, Hashem, Doski; Ismail, Al-Ammari, Iqbal; Qasem, Al-Hamadi, Bayesh
on MathODDS
World Cup prediction: Senegal vs Iraq
Both teams to score: No
Senegal have the better individual quality and should be on the front foot for most of the match. Even with their defensive issues since the tournament began, this looks a lighter assignment than the games against France or Norway.
Iraq’s attacking limitations are obvious. They have managed only one goal in two games and could also be without Aymen Hussein, their main threat inside the box. Their first job will almost certainly be staying organised at the back rather than opening themselves up.
In a game where Senegal control possession without overcommitting, it is easy to see only one side finding the net.
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