Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx – WNBA Prediction – July 22, 2026

Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx : another rematch that could light up the scoreboard

A few days after their last meeting, Seattle and Minnesota are back at it again. The Lynx keep rolling at the top of the Western Conference, while the Storm are still trying to snap a long losing run. The previous showdown was a full-on offensive shootout with 207 points on the board, and plenty points to the same script being repeated.

Seattle are playing a freer brand of basketball now, even if the results are not backing it up, while Minnesota never really lets the pace drop, even against lower-ranked sides.

Seattle can let it fly at home

The Storm come in on a five-game losing streak, but the attack has not been the problem. Seattle are now averaging more than 88 points over their last ten games, and that rises to almost 95 when they are at home.

The defence, though, is still a mess. Opponents are finding open looks far too easily and taking advantage of Seattle’s problems protecting the paint. That sort of weakness usually leads to games spiralling into a track meet.

The last meeting with Minnesota was the perfect example. Even in defeat, Seattle matched the Lynx offensively for 40 minutes, proof this team can still help push a game to a big total, even against one of the league’s best.

Minnesota keeps the tempo high

The Lynx are still in top gear with five straight wins and eight victories from their last ten outings. Their offence remains one of the sharpest in the WNBA, driven by a group that can kick the pace up at any moment.

Over the past few weeks, Minnesota have moved to an even more aggressive rhythm. They are putting up close to 92 points per game across their last ten, and they are happy enough to trade baskets when the other side can keep up. With Olivia Miles back and Kayla McBride leading the way, Minnesota’s attack is in fine shape despite the absence of Napheesa Collier, who could return tonight before the All Star break.

That shift is why their recent games have routinely gone over the expected total. Against a defence as generous as Seattle’s, the visitors should again find plenty of ways to fill the scoreboard.

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WNBA Prediction : Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx

Over 176,5 points in the game

Recent trends are heavily stacked in favour of points. This line has been cleared in four of Minnesota’s last five games, with the only miss finishing on 175, just two short of the mark. The previous meeting between these two is also a strong guide. The Lynx won 105-102 on this same floor on 20 July, a total well above the line set for this matchup. More broadly, three of the last five head-to-heads have also gone past it.

Seattle are doing more and more to help that kind of outcome, too. The Storm’s last two games have both gone over 176,5 points, while the third most recent finished just two points shy. At home, the hosts are scoring better, but they are still giving up far too much at the other end. With both teams pushing the tempo and a fresh, high-scoring meeting already in the bank, we are leaning toward another game going over 176,5 points.

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