New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky – WNBA Prediction – July 22, 2026

New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky : Liberty looking to keep the run going before the break

New York are back on home court with one goal in mind: back up last night’s win over Dallas. That result ended a four-game skid, but Christopher DeMarco‘s side are still searching for consistency. Chicago, meanwhile, remain hard to read, capable of mixing eye-catching offence with some glaring defensive lapses.

The hosts are favourites, but their scoring at home is often kept in check. Against a Sky side likely to slow things down and drag this into a grind, New York’s team total looks a touch too high.

New York are still searching for consistency

The overtime win over Dallas gave the Liberty a lift, but it also took plenty out of them. After a bruising contest, New York have to go again in under 24 hours.

This season, the Liberty are averaging a little over 88 points per game and rarely clear that mark in front of their own fans. They still lean on their depth and movement, but the offence can swing from sharp to sloppy without much warning.

Recent numbers back that up. New York have stayed under 95.5 points in four of their last five games and eight of their last 10. For all their scoring talent, the Liberty are not trying to race through 40 minutes every night.

Chicago can keep it close

The Sky are still a mixed bag, but they have shown more fight in recent weeks. Five wins from their last 10 suggest they can hang with sides higher up the table.

They are putting up more than 95 points a night over that stretch, but the defence remains the main problem. Even so, the Sky do a decent job of stopping games from turning into shootouts when the tempo stays under control.

The recent trend points the same way. Chicago have kept opponents below 95.5 points in six of their last 10 games. Against a New York team playing their second game in as many days, that could matter again.

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WNBA Prediction : New York Liberty vs Chicago Sky

New York Liberty to score under 95.5 points

This line looks a bit high based on New York’s recent form. The Liberty have stayed below that mark in four of their last five games and eight of their last 10, which suggests the attack is running at a more controlled pace right now. The head-to-head also points the same way. New York have failed to top 94.5 points in their last 14 home games against Chicago, a pretty striking trend even with roster changes over the years.

The situation adds to that view. The Liberty come off an overtime battle with Dallas and may well manage their pace to save energy. Chicago, for their part, will probably try to slow possessions and keep things competitive for as long as possible. New York should still have enough to win, but this feels more like a controlled job than an offensive explosion. That is why we are backing the Liberty team total to stay under 95.5 points.

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