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Nashville Predators vs Carolina Hurricanes NHL prediction

Nashville Predators vs Carolina Hurricanes – Free NHL Prediction

Nashville Predators vs Carolina Hurricanes: the Metropolitan leaders without Staal, against a team that keeps losing late NHL

Jordan Staal is on injured reserve with a calf problem and won’t be back before 3 December. Alexander Nikishin is out until at least 7 November, and Taylor Hall’s upper-body injury has kept him out until at least Tuesday. Carolina are still 11-2-2, first in the Metropolitan Division with 24 points.

They visit Bridgestone Arena on Tuesday 3 November, puck drop 8:00pm ET. Nashville are 4-4-5 with 13 points, sixth in the Central, and five of their nine defeats have come in overtime or a shootout.

The gap shows in the shot counts. Carolina take 33.2 shots a game and allow 22.2. Nashville take 25.7 and allow 29.1. Over a full game that’s roughly 18 more shots for the Hurricanes, and Juuse Saros has a .902 save percentage behind it.

Neither side is on a back-to-back. Carolina host Winnipeg on Sunday afternoon and then have Monday off; Tuesday opens a two-game road trip that continues on Long Island on Thursday. Nashville hosted Tampa Bay on Saturday and get two clear days before this one.

Carolina won both meetings last season in regulation, 6-3 in Raleigh on 6 December 2025 and 4-1 in Nashville eleven days later. The two teams play again on 2 January, also in Nashville.

The one area where the Predators lead is special teams, and it’s a big lead. That’s where any case for Nashville has to start, and I’ll come to it.

Nashville Predators: a 31.8% power play and very little scoring behind the top four Nashville Predators

Nashville’s power play has scored on 14 of 44 chances, 31.8%. The penalty kill is at 88.1%. On special teams, the Predators have been one of the best sides in the league.

Even strength tells a different story. Nashville average 2.85 goals and allow 3.08, and Roman Josi (1-14-15), Steven Stamkos (7-8-15), Filip Forsberg (5-10-15) and Ryan O’Reilly (7-7-14) account for most of the production. The next best scorers, Adam Wilsby, Adam Edstrom, Jonathan Marchessault, Alexander Kerfoot and Nils Hoglander, have five points each.

The recent results follow the same pattern. They lost 6-0 in Boston on 22 October, 3-2 in overtime in Pittsburgh two days later, beat Colorado 6-2 at home, then lost 4-3 in a shootout to the Islanders and 4-3 to Washington on 29 October after leading late. Nicolas Hague was benched in the third period of that last one.

Saros is 3-3-4 with a 2.94 goals-against average and a .902 save percentage in 10 games. Justus Annunen has played twice, with an .846 save percentage, and the starter for Tuesday hasn’t been named.

The home record is 3-3-2. Defenceman William Trudeau is on injured reserve until at least 21 November; no other absences were listed before the weekend.

Points from five overtime and shootout defeats have kept Nashville within reach of the playoff places. Before Saturday they had lost two in a row and gone 3-3-4 over their last 10.

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Carolina Hurricanes: Kochetkov at 9-0-0 and 7-1-1 on the road Carolina Hurricanes

Pyotr Kochetkov has started nine games and won all nine. His goals-against average is 1.66, his save percentage .919, and he has one shutout, a 4-0 in St. Louis on 24 October.

Carolina are 8-1-1 since an 0-1-1 start. The last three results were 4-0 in St. Louis, 2-1 at home to Boston and 3-2 at home to Columbus on 29 October. They’re 7-1-1 on the road, and the only regulation defeat away from Raleigh was 3-2 in Calgary on 18 October.

Sebastian Aho leads the team with 8 goals and 19 points. Logan Stankoven has a team-high nine goals, Jackson Blake has 12 assists and 15 points, Andrei Svechnikov has 13 points and Nikolaj Ehlers 12. The scoring is spread across three lines, which is why losing Staal hasn’t cost them more.

The team averages 3.73 goals and allows 2.33. The power play converts 22.6% and the penalty kill 82.4%, both decent but well short of Nashville’s numbers.

Brandon Bussi is the other option in net: 2-2-2, 3.27 goals-against average and an .865 save percentage. With Winnipeg on Sunday, Carolina have to choose which game gets Kochetkov, and that choice matters more to this pick than anything else in the build-up.

Hall’s return would add depth on the left wing. Whether or not he plays, Carolina have outscored opponents 56-35 across 15 games.

Probable lineup Nashville Predators: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Carolina Hurricanes: Not announced at time of publication

Free NHL Prediction: Nashville Predators vs Carolina Hurricanes

Our prediction: Carolina Hurricanes to win

No price for Tuesday had been posted at the time of writing. I’d back Carolina on the moneyline, overtime included, at 1.60 or better.

The Hurricanes outshoot opponents by 11 a game, Nashville get outshot by more than three, and Carolina have won both meetings in regulation by a combined 10-4. On the road they’re 7-1-1.

Nashville’s special teams are the danger: 31.8% on the power play and 88.1% on the kill. Carolina should be careful with penalties. But the Predators have scored 2.85 a game with almost everything coming from four players, and five of their nine defeats have come after 60 minutes. Against a team that outshoots everyone by this margin, I don’t expect them to keep it level that long.

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  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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