- 1 CDA Navalcarnero vs Real Betis: Pellegrini returns to the ground of the Alcorconazo
- 2 CDA Navalcarnero: unbeaten in six league games and scoring in nine of ten
- 3 Real Betis: fourth in LaLiga, but nine players away on international duty
- 4 Free Football Prediction: CDA Navalcarnero vs Real Betis
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Dani Ceballos came off the bench at the Martínez Valero on Sunday and set up both goals in Real Betis’ 2-0 win at Elche, Rodrigo Riquelme scoring on 81 minutes and Marc Bartra late on. The result took Betis to 26 points after 12 LaLiga games, the club’s best total at this stage of a top-flight season.
Four days later they’re in a very different setting. Betis face CDA Navalcarnero in the first round of the Copa del Rey on Thursday 12 November, kick-off 19:00 in Spain and 18:00 UK time. The tie was first scheduled for Wednesday 28 October, but the RFEF postponed all 24 matches that night after the fatal train accident in Toledo province, and Betis turned down a slot the following day in favour of the international break.
The game won’t be played at Navalcarnero’s own ground, the Mariano González, which has an artificial pitch. It moves to the Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo in Alcorcón, the stadium where Alcorcón beat Manuel Pellegrini’s Real Madrid 4-0 in 2009. Pellegrini is now the Betis coach, which gives the venue an awkward echo for him.
Navalcarnero play in Segunda Federación, Group 5, the fourth tier, and qualified for this competition by reaching the semi-finals of the Copa Federación. It’s a one-off tie, with extra time and penalties if needed, and the winner goes into the second round on 2 December. The two clubs have never met in an official match.
The context explains why I’m not treating this as a routine away win. Betis will be without nine players called up by their national teams, their first-choice goalkeeper among them, and the home side has scored in nine of its ten league games this season. That combination points to a Betis win with goals at both ends.
CDA Navalcarnero: unbeaten in six league games and scoring in nine of ten 
Navalcarnero lost their opening league game 1-0 away to Valladolid Promesas on 6 September. It’s the only match this season in which they haven’t scored. Since then they’ve found the net in every game, including a 2-2 draw at Atlético Tordesillas and a 3-1 win at RSD Alcalá on 4 October.
That Alcalá win started a six-game unbeaten run. They drew 1-1 at home to Atlético Madrid C and 1-1 at Salamanca UDS, won 3-2 away at Numancia on 24 October and beat Atlético Paso 3-1 at home on 1 November. On Sunday they came from behind to draw 2-2 at CD Guadalajara, with Mario Sánchez scoring the equaliser.
The record now stands at four wins, four draws and two defeats, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded in ten games. Before Sunday’s draw they were seventh in the group on 15 points. Kensly Vázquez and Roberto Esteban had three league goals each by the start of November, with Álvaro Marcos on two.
The coach is Miguel García Zárate, appointed on 22 May 2026 after three seasons and two promotions at UD Sanse. His side reached this round through the Copa Federación, beating Talavera 0-2, Saguntino 0-4 and Real Murcia 3-1 on the way. Richi, Roberto Esteban, Rober Álvarez and Víctor Rodríguez are the names most often picked out as their main threats.
The club has history in this competition. In 2020-21 Navalcarnero knocked out Badajoz 1-0, Las Palmas 1-0 and Eibar 3-1 before a 6-0 defeat to Granada in the last 16. Their next league game is at home to Getafe B on 15 November, so García Zárate has no reason to hold anyone back on Thursday.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Real Betis: fourth in LaLiga, but nine players away on international duty 
Betis are fourth in LaLiga after the Elche win and have nine points from four Champions League games. The European record took its first dent on 4 November, a 2-1 defeat at Borussia Dortmund in which Fábio Silva and Ruibal were on the scoresheet. Before that came a 3-2 home win over Porto on 14 October and a 1-0 win over Feyenoord a week later.
The league results around those games have been solid rather than spectacular. They lost 2-5 at home to Barcelona on 17 October, drew 0-0 at Celta on 25 October and beat Málaga 2-1 on 31 October through Bartra and Fornals. The Elche win came with Ceballos on from the 69th minute and Riquelme from the 78th, and it was the bench that changed the game.
That depth gets tested on Thursday. Álvaro Valles and Marc Roca are with Spain, Manu González and Ángel Ortiz with Spain’s under-21s, Deossa with Colombia, and Bernal, Fidalgo, Abde and Troy Parrott are also on international duty. Cucho Hernández is doubtful with a calf injury in the final stage of recovery, while Junior Firpo is fit again.
The players left behind are still a strong group: Bellerín, Diego Llorente, Bartra, Natan, Valentín Gómez, Fran García, Junior, Ceballos, Fornals, Lo Celso, Iker Losada, Antony, Morante, Isco, Riquelme and Ruibal are all available. Diego Conde, on loan from Villarreal since July, is expected to make his official debut in goal, and Ruibal could lead the line. One press projection has Conde behind Bellerín, Llorente, Valentín Gómez and Junior, with Ceballos, Fornals, Morante, Lo Celso and Riquelme in front of Ruibal.
The fixture list explains why Pellegrini will manage minutes. Betis go to Sevilla on 21 November and Slovan Bratislava on 24 November, so this tie sits between the international break and a derby. Pellegrini said in October that the opponent’s division doesn’t matter and that progress depends on his own side. Last season’s Copa ended with a 0-5 home defeat to Atlético Madrid in the quarter-finals on 5 February 2026, so there’s no reason to take this competition lightly.
Probable lineup CDA Navalcarnero: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Real Betis: Conde; Bellerín, Llorente, Valentín Gómez, Junior; Ceballos, Fornals, Morante, Lo Celso, Riquelme; Ruibal (press projection)
Our prediction: Real Betis to win and both teams to score (1.80)
Betis should go through. Even without nine internationals, the squad includes Isco, Lo Celso, Ceballos, Antony and Fornals, and Navalcarnero concede at a steady rate: 15 goals in ten games in the fourth tier. A straight Betis win was priced at 1.11 before the postponement, which leaves no value, so the angle is the home side’s scoring record.
Navalcarnero have scored in nine of their ten league games, including twice or more in six of them. Betis come in with a rotated back line, a goalkeeper making his official debut and a defence that conceded five at home to Barcelona last month. A cup tie against a Primera side is exactly the kind of game in which a lower-division team throws everything at one goal, and Santo Domingo has seen a lower-division side humble a Pellegrini team before.
The obvious risk is Betis keeping a clean sheet, as they did at Elche on Sunday. I’d still back Navalcarnero to find a way through at some point over 90 minutes. Real Betis to win and both teams to score was available at 1.80 before the postponement, and that’s our pick; check the current price before kick-off.
in your pocket.
Real-time notifications & alerts
_________
About our free predictions
- What we publish on MathOdds are analyses, nothing more. We share a view, a reading of the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport remains what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a last-minute goal, and the script changes completely.
- Let’s be clear: there is no such thing as a risk-free bet. Even when it looks “obvious”, nothing ever is. And yes, that means you can lose. It’s even inevitable at some point.
- The smartest approach is to stay reasonable. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Never use money you need to live on. And above all: don’t chase your losses: that rarely ends well.
- A bet should remain a game, not a job or a source of income. If it starts taking up too much space in your daily life, causes stress or frustration, take a break. And if needed, talk to a support organisation: that’s what they’re there for.
- Ultimately, responsibility lies with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never disappear, no matter how good the analysis.
- Essential reminder: gambling is prohibited for minors and must comply with the laws of your country. Need help? Visit begambleaware.org.
No commitment from us
Our predictions carry no contractual value. They have no legal standing. In short: you cannot rely on them to claim anything if a bet doesn’t come through.
Information changes
A prediction is always based on what we know at the time of writing. But between publication and kick-off, a lineup can change, a player picks up an injury, the weather turns, and the analysis can quickly be outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.
Your responsibility
Before placing a bet, simply check that gambling is legal in your country. If it isn’t, that’s your responsibility, not ours.
Responsible gambling
We can’t say it enough: gamble responsibly. If you’re struggling to stay in control, don’t wait to seek help.
Legal age
MathOdds content is intended for adults only. By browsing here, you confirm you meet the legal age requirement for gambling in your jurisdiction.
About visuals
The images and logos of CDA Navalcarnero and Real Betis on MathOdds are used solely to illustrate our articles. They do not imply any official affiliation with a federation or sports organisation, and we claim no rights over them. Those rights belong to their original owners. If any visual raises a concern, contact us and it will be removed without delay.
Leave a Reply