- 1 New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals: nine extra shots a night for New Jersey and a Capitals goaltender saving .888
- 2 New Jersey Devils: 8-2-0 at home and Jack Hughes scoring in bunches
- 3 Washington Capitals: Kyrou and Tuch arrived in June, but the goaltending sits at .888
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals: nine extra shots a night for New Jersey and a Capitals goaltender saving .888 
New Jersey average 33.9 shots on goal per game and allow 24.9. Washington’s figures are level at 27.8 both ways. That’s a gap of roughly nine shots a night in the Devils’ favour before either goaltender is considered.
The teams meet at Prudential Center on Thursday 12 November, 7:00pm ET, the first leg of a home-and-home that finishes in Washington on Saturday. New Jersey are 12-5-0 and second in the Metropolitan Division, with four straight wins going into Sunday’s game in Toronto.
Washington are 9-6-0 and beat Florida 4-3 on Saturday, with Jack St. Ivany scoring his first NHL goal. Tom Wilson was given a five-minute boarding major and a game misconduct in that game for a hit on Sandis Vilmanis, and a suspension was being discussed but hadn’t been ruled on at the time of writing.
The Capitals won the first meeting 4-2 in Washington on 17 October. New Jersey outshot them 17-5 in the third period of that game. Last season the series finished 2-2, with the Devils winning the final meeting 7-3 in Newark on 2 April.
New Jersey finish a three-game road trip in Winnipeg on Tuesday, Connor Hellebuyck’s first game back there since the trade, and have a day off before this game. Washington play in Ottawa on Tuesday, so neither side is on a back-to-back.
New Jersey Devils: 8-2-0 at home and Jack Hughes scoring in bunches 
Jack Hughes has 23 points, nine goals and 14 assists, and he’s had multiple points in four straight games, with five goals and four assists in that run. His overtime winner against the Islanders on Saturday came 1:18 into the extra period and was his third overtime goal of the season, the most in the league.
That game showed what the shot volume does. New Jersey were two goals down in the third, Dougie Hamilton tied it on the power play, and Ilya Sorokin had to make 45 saves. The Devils are 11-1-0 when they score three or more.
Jesper Bratt has 13 assists and three goals. The Devils score 3.59 goals per game and have averaged 3.8 over their last ten.
Hellebuyck arrived from Winnipeg on 23 October in a trade that sent Dawson Mercer, Nick Bjugstad and four other pieces the other way. He’s 4-0-0 with a 2.44 goals-against average and a .891 save percentage. Jake Allen is 6-3-0 at .881, and the starter for Thursday hadn’t been confirmed.
The penalty kill is the weak point at 67.6%, and the Devils concede 3.00 goals per game. Seamus Casey (knee) is out. They’re 8-2-0 at home.
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Washington Capitals: Kyrou and Tuch arrived in June, but the goaltending sits at .888 
Washington rebuilt the forward group in June. Jordan Kyrou came from St. Louis on 23 June for Connor McMichael, Milton Gastrin and the 16th pick, and he leads the team with 14 points. Alex Tuch signed for eight years in a sign-and-trade with Buffalo on 26 June and leads the team with 11 goals.
Dylan Strome has 11 assists. The Capitals score 3.53 goals per game, close to New Jersey’s rate, and the power play runs at 20.0% against the Devils’ 18.5%.
Goaltending is where they fall behind. Logan Thompson is 6-4-0 with a 3.20 goals-against average and a .888 save percentage, and he was pulled on 3 November when Dallas went 4-0 up and won 6-5, Jason Robertson scoring a natural hat trick. Charlie Lindgren is at .881.
The Capitals concede 3.40 goals per game and kill 76.5% of penalties. Against a team putting up nearly 34 shots a night, that’s a lot of work for Thompson.
Rasmus Sandin (knee), Vincent Desharnais (abdominal) and Patrick Thomas are on injured reserve, and Wilson’s status depends on the league’s decision. Washington are 2-2-0 on the road.
Probable lineup New Jersey Devils: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Washington Capitals: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: New Jersey Devils vs Washington Capitals
Our prediction: New Jersey Devils to win (moneyline)
We’re backing New Jersey at home. The Devils are 8-2-0 at Prudential Center, they outshoot opponents by nine a night, and they’ll face a goaltender saving .888.
The case against is real. Washington won the October meeting, their power play is better, and New Jersey’s 67.6% penalty kill gives any opponent chances. If Wilson is suspended, though, the Capitals lose their most physical forward, and we’d still expect the Devils’ shot volume to tell over 60 minutes.
No price was posted at the time of writing. We’d want New Jersey at around 1.65 or longer, and we’d confirm the goaltender for both sides on the morning of the game.
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