- 1 Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings: Kyler Murray’s hamstring hangs over the NFC North rematch
- 2 Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love’s passing is carrying a team that runs for 68 yards a game
- 3 Minnesota Vikings: the best scoring defense in the league paired with an offense ranked 31st in EPA per play
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings: Kyler Murray’s hamstring hangs over the NFC North rematch 
Carson Wentz completed eight of 25 passes for 81 yards and two interceptions on Monday night. That’s what Minnesota got with Kyler Murray out, in a 23-6 home loss to Buffalo that left Wentz with an 8.9 passer rating.
Murray has a grade 2 hamstring strain and is questionable at best for Sunday, November 15, at Lambeau Field, kickoff 1:00pm ET. The Vikings were the league’s only unbeaten team going into Week 8. They’re 6-2 now, third in the NFC North, after losing at Detroit and then to the Bills.
Green Bay went the other way last weekend. Jordan Love threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns in a 45-27 win at New England, and the Packers are 6-3 with five wins in their last six.
These teams opened the season against each other, and Minnesota won 39-22 in Week 1. The Vikings have taken four of the last five meetings, the exception a 23-6 Green Bay win in November 2025.
Green Bay has an absence of its own. Josh Jacobs fractured his right ring finger in New England, needs surgery and is very unlikely to play. The Packers go into their Week 11 bye after this one.
The line opened at Packers -4.5 and has moved between -3 and -4.5 as the Murray news has come out, with the total anywhere from 40.5 to 45.5. I read that spread as the market leaning on the Vikings’ defense, which is the one part of this team that hasn’t slipped.
Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love’s passing is carrying a team that runs for 68 yards a game 
Love went 23 of 29 at Gillette Stadium for a 153.2 passer rating. Christian Watson caught seven passes for a career-high 171 yards and a touchdown, and Matthew Golden had 10 catches for 164 yards, also a career best.
The Packers throw for 290.9 yards a game and run for 68.2, so the 129 rushing yards on 32 carries in Week 9 were an outlier.
Losing Jacobs doesn’t take much volume away, since he had 80 yards on 36 carries since coming back from the Commissioner Exempt List. Kaleb Johnson, who scored on Sunday, has 172 yards on 42 carries this season. MarShawn Lloyd missed Week 9 with a knee injury and Chris Brooks has been on injured reserve since October 10.
The defense took the ball away four times in New England. Xavier McKinney has five interceptions this season, Evan Williams added another, and Isaiah McDuffie forced and recovered a fumble. Karl Brooks had two of the four sacks on Drake Maye.
Linebacker Ty’Ron Hopper was ruled out at halftime with a chest injury, cornerback Javon Bullard hurt his foot and Bo Melton was checked for a concussion. Micah Parsons isn’t expected back before Week 12.
The Packers allow about 21 points a game. Their only loss in the last six came 20-17 at Detroit, and kicker Trey Smack went 7 for 7 on Sunday, including a 51-yard field goal.
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Free for 2 weeks.
Minnesota Vikings: the best scoring defense in the league paired with an offense ranked 31st in EPA per play 
Brian Flores’s defense allowed 13.3 points a game before Monday, the best mark in the NFL. Byron Murphy picked off Josh Allen in the end zone. It still gave up 23, because the offense couldn’t stay on the field and Buffalo held the ball for 42:32.
Minnesota finished that game with 178 total yards, a season low, plus nine first downs and no third-down conversions. Wentz was pulled late for third-stringer Max Brosmer, who led a 52-yard drive.
Murray’s season was modest before the injury: 64.9% completions, 1,022 yards, five touchdowns, three interceptions, plus 167 rushing yards on 29 carries. The offense ranks 31st in EPA per play and 30th in success rate, and the Vikings throw for 179.6 yards a game.
The wins have been low-scoring: 15-10 over Miami, 23-13 at New Orleans, 16-10 over Indianapolis and 9-3 at Chicago. The 39-22 opener against Green Bay is the only game this season in which Minnesota scored more than 23.
Wide receiver Jauan Jennings (calf) and Theo Jackson (quad) both missed Monday’s game, and neither has a status for Sunday yet. Justin Jefferson, Aaron Jones Sr. and T.J. Hockenson are the projected skill starters.
The Vikings lost both games since Week 7 by a combined 21 points: 19-15 at Detroit and 23-6 against Buffalo. Before that, they had held five of their first six opponents to 16 points or fewer.
Minnesota has given up 2.9 sacks a game. Against a Green Bay front that sacked Maye four times without Parsons, that’s another problem for whichever quarterback starts.
Probable lineup Green Bay Packers: Jordan Love (QB), Kaleb Johnson (RB), Christian Watson (WR), Matthew Golden (WR), Xavier McKinney (S), Karl Brooks (DL). Josh Jacobs (RB) very unlikely, Micah Parsons out.
Probable lineup Minnesota Vikings: Kyler Murray (QB, questionable, hamstring) or Carson Wentz, Aaron Jones Sr. (RB), Justin Jefferson (WR), Jauan Jennings (WR, calf), T.J. Hockenson (TE), Byron Murphy (DB).
Free NFL Prediction: Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings
Our prediction: Green Bay Packers -3.5 @ 2.11
Green Bay’s passing game is producing at a level Minnesota’s offense can’t match with Murray hurt. Love has thrown for 372 yards in a road game while the Vikings managed 178 total yards on Monday, and the Packers average about 24 points to Minnesota’s 18.
The case against is real: Minnesota’s defense is the best in the league at keeping scores down, and the series has gone the Vikings’ way four times in five. That’s why I’d stop at -3.5 and not chase a bigger number.
Lambeau also changes the defensive matchup. Green Bay’s run defense was ranked 25th in one early-season measure, but Minnesota runs for only 106.0 yards a game, and Wentz threw for 81 yards on Monday.
I’ll take the Packers -3.5 at 2.11. If Murray is ruled out late in the week, expect this to drift past -4.5, so it’s worth getting in early.
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