- 1 Fulham vs Hull City: the bottom side against the league’s surprise package
- 2 Fulham: no win at the Cottage, but four straight clean wins over Hull
- 3 Hull City: eighth on 32% possession, and the cracks are starting to show
- 4 Free Premier League Prediction: Fulham vs Hull City
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Fulham vs Hull City: the bottom side against the league’s surprise package 
Two points from six games. Fulham are rock bottom of the Premier League, and Saturday’s visit of Hull City to Craven Cottage, kick-off 16:00 Paris time, is about as close to a must-win as October gets.
Look at the other dressing room and the picture flips completely. Hull came up through the Championship playoffs in May, they’ve collected nine points from six games and they sit eighth. Only once in their top-flight history, back in 2008-09, have they had more at this stage.
Here’s the thing, though. Fulham haven’t been as bad as the table says. They held Liverpool 0-0 at Anfield. They were 89 minutes away from beating Manchester United before a late equaliser made it 1-1. Then, last weekend, they led at Ipswich and lost 2-1 after conceding twice, the winner coming with two minutes of normal time left.
Eight points dropped from winning positions. Only Bournemouth have thrown away more. That’s a side that leaks late, not a side that can’t play.
The history is one-way traffic too. Fulham have won each of their last four meetings with Hull across all competitions without conceding a goal, the most recent a 2-0 win at Hull in the FA Cup third round in January 2023.
And the stakes for Alvaro Arbeloa couldn’t be clearer. Reports suggest his future hangs on this game and next weekend’s meeting with Coventry, two more promoted sides. Is there a better moment to finally land a punch?
Fulham: no win at the Cottage, but four straight clean wins over Hull 
Seven goals conceded in three home league games. No win at Craven Cottage yet (D1 L2). Those numbers make uncomfortable reading.
The problem isn’t creating chances, it’s closing games out. An 89th-minute equaliser against United, a collapse in the last few minutes at Ipswich. Put half of those dropped points back on the board and nobody’s talking about the sack. Arbeloa has brushed off the speculation publicly, insisting it isn’t about him. He knows the table won’t wait.
Antonee Robinson is the main doubt with an ankle problem, and Tom Cairney’s fitness is still being managed. Ryan Sessegnon filled in at left-back at Ipswich and scored a cracking long-range goal for his trouble. He’s earned another start.
Up front, Gonzalo Garcia, signed from Real Madrid in the summer, has one league goal and keeps getting picked. Joshua King has two and should play just behind him, with Josh Bobb and Alex Iwobi on the flanks. Not a vintage attack. Still enough against a back three that’s missing a starter.
There’s a bit of history hanging over this one as well. Lose or draw, and Fulham move closer to matching their worst-ever top-flight start: seven games without a win in 1951-52. Nobody in that squad wants their name next to that record.
The bookmakers aren’t wavering. Fulham are priced at 1.70 to win, Hull at 4.90. For a team that’s bottom of the league, that tells you everything you need to know about how the market rates the underlying performances.
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Hull City: eighth on 32% possession, and the cracks are starting to show 
Sergej Jakirovic hasn’t tried to dress Hull up as something they aren’t. They rank 20th in the league for possession at 32.3%, and 20.1% of their passes go long, the highest share by any Premier League side since Sean Dyche’s Burnley in 2021-22.
It’s worked. They’re top four for duel success (53%) and for passes played forward. Win the second ball, go again. Simple stuff, done well.
The worry is at the back. Three clean sheets in the first three games, then exactly two goals conceded in each of the last three: 2-2 at Chelsea, 2-1 lost at Newcastle, 2-2 at home to Everton last weekend. The wall has cracks now.
The injury list won’t help them fix it. Nobel Mendy is out for two weeks with a groin problem, so 19-year-old Lucas Herrington is set to start in the back three alongside John Egan and Semi Ajayi. Mohamed-Ali Cho (thigh) and Lucas Gourna-Douath (calf) are both unavailable, and Matt Targett, Jack Butland, Eliot Matazo, Ilyas Ansah, Darko Gyabi and Charlie Hughes are all sidelined.
Mohamed Belloumi is the man to watch. Three goals and two assists in six league appearances, including the equaliser off the bench against Everton. If he starts, Hull have a genuine outlet on the break.
But their unbeaten run is really a home story. On the road it’s a 1-0 win at Coventry, the draw at Chelsea and the defeat at Newcastle. Craven Cottage, where they last won in a 3-0 Championship victory in November 2019, is a different test entirely.
Probable lineup Fulham: Leno; Tete, Affengruber, Bassey, Sessegnon; Berge, Charles; Bobb, King, Iwobi; Gonzalo Garcia
Probable lineup Hull City: Tzolakis; Coyle, Ajayi, Egan, Herrington, Giles; Belloumi, Crooks, Slater, Thomas; McBurnie
Free Premier League Prediction: Fulham vs Hull City
Our prediction: Fulham to win (odds 1.70)
Fulham’s problem has been the last ten minutes, not the first eighty. They’ve led in games they went on to lose or draw, they’ve held Liverpool, and they’ve beaten Hull in each of the last four meetings without conceding. The quality gap in this squad hasn’t vanished just because the results have.
Hull deserve credit for their start, but they’ve conceded two in each of their last three games and arrive without Mendy, Cho and Gourna-Douath. A direct, long-ball side with a 19-year-old filling in at the back is exactly the kind of opponent Fulham’s centre-backs can handle.
Arbeloa needs this result more than anyone in the building, and the home side have enough to get it. Fulham to win at 1.70.
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