- 1 Ferencvaros vs Torreense: Zachariassen against a cup-winning side from Portugal’s second tier
- 2 Ferencvaros: unbeaten in Europe this season, without a clean sheet in the league phase
- 3 Torreense: they’ve scored in both European games, but their record shows 1.43 conceded per match
- 4 Free Europa League Prediction: Ferencvaros vs Torreense
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Ferencvaros vs Torreense: Zachariassen against a cup-winning side from Portugal’s second tier 
Kristoffer Zachariassen has scored three of Ferencvaros’ five goals in the Europa League league phase. He found the net in the 3-1 win at Celtic on matchday one and scored both in last Thursday’s 2-1 win over Viktoria Plzen, the second from the spot after VAR ruled Veljko Birmančević onside.
He wore the captain’s armband that night too, with Dénes Dibusz left out and 20-year-old Dániel Radnóti in goal. Ferencvaros went through four qualifying rounds without losing, against Vojvodina, Twente, Górnik Zabrze and Trabzonspor, and they’re one of ten clubs on six points after two rounds.
Thursday’s visitors are new to all of this. Torreense, who play in Portugal’s second division, won the Portuguese Cup last spring and beat Lillestrøm 2-1 in Norway in the first European match in the club’s history. On 15 October they lost 2-1 to Sunderland in Leiria, to a stoppage-time goal from Noah Sadiki.
Kick-off at the Groupama Arena is 17:45 UK time. The clubs have never met, and it’s Torreense’s first trip to Budapest. The market makes them 8.10 outsiders, with the draw at 5.02.
The table shows six points against three, but we think the gap is wider than that. One side has won eight of its last ten matches in this competition; the other finished third in Liga Portugal 2 last season and missed out on promotion.
Ferencvaros: unbeaten in Europe this season, without a clean sheet in the league phase 
Balázs Borbély’s side have conceded in both league-phase games, once at Celtic Park and once against Plzen, when Denis Višinský scored from a corner in the 90th minute. Across all competitions they let in 1.11 goals per game, and both teams have scored in 67% of their matches.
The attack has carried them: they average 1.44 goals per game overall, and the European output is higher, with five goals from two league-phase wins.
Domestic form is where the points have gone. Ferencvaros finished second in Hungary last season after years at the top, they’ve dropped points in at least half their league matches this term, and the weekend before the Plzen game they drew 1-1 with Debrecen.
Against Plzen they had 54% of the ball and seven corners to three. Plzen still put seven shots on target to Ferencvaros’ six, and Mariano Gómez needed a last-ditch tackle near half-time to stop a breakaway, so the defence wasn’t as comfortable as the scoreline suggests. Radnóti also had to save from Amar Memić after ten minutes, and Plzen finished with 18 attempts to Ferencvaros’ 12.
Zachariassen, Bamidele Yusuf and Daniel Arzani should start behind Ádám Bagi again. Whether Dibusz returns in goal hasn’t been confirmed, and Attila Osváth, booked after seven minutes against Plzen, is likely to stay in the back line.
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Torreense: they’ve scored in both European games, but their record shows 1.43 conceded per match 
Torreense finished third in Liga Portugal 2 last season, missing promotion, but the cup win in the spring, widely seen as a major upset, put a second-tier club into the Europa League league phase.
The 2-1 win at Lillestrøm came on their European debut, away from home and against a side from a top-flight league, and against Sunderland they went in front through a long-range strike from Volnei that went into the top corner before half-time.
That Sunderland game was played in Leiria because their own Estádio Manuel Marques didn’t meet UEFA’s criteria. Sunderland had a Timur Tutierov header ruled out and a late penalty overturned by VAR, and goalkeeper Lucas Paes made a full-stretch save from Nilson Angulo just before the hour. Sadiki’s winner, a first-time finish from Granit Xhaka’s lay-off, came in stoppage time and gave Sunderland a second win from two league-phase games.
Over the season Torreense score 1.0 goals per game and concede 1.43. Both teams have scored in 43% of their matches, and they’d won only one of their previous four games in all competitions before Sunderland visited.
Abubakari is the forward Ferencvaros need to watch. He averages 4.14 shots per 90 minutes, the highest shot volume of any player on either side, and he’s expected to lead the line in a 4-2-3-1.
Probable lineup Ferencvaros: Dibusz or Radnóti; Gómez, Raemaekers, Cadu, O. Nagy; Corbu, Á. Nagy; Arzani, Zachariassen, Yusuf; Bagi
Probable lineup Torreense: Lucas Paes; Vásquez, Feltes, Diady, Bruno; Alfaro, Udriri; Jean, Marques, Pozo; Abubakari
Free Europa League Prediction: Ferencvaros vs Torreense
Our prediction: Ferencvaros to win by two or more goals, -1 handicap (1.60)
Ferencvaros have won both league-phase games and won at Celtic Park by two goals. They’ve won eight of their last ten in this competition, and Zachariassen has three goals in two league-phase games on his own.
We expect Torreense to score, since they’ve found the net in both European games and Ferencvaros haven’t kept a league-phase clean sheet, which is why we’ve stayed away from the outright win at 1.41 and gone for the handicap, where a 3-1 covers just as well as a 2-0.
The step up in level is what decides it for us. Sunderland needed stoppage time to beat Torreense in Leiria; Ferencvaros at home, scoring 2.5 goals per game in the league phase and with a home crowd behind them, should create enough to win by two. A repeat of the 3-1 at Celtic Park is the kind of scoreline we expect.
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