- 1 Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks: a seven-game point streak and the league’s second-best defense
- 2 Boston Bruins: 2.00 goals allowed per game and Swayman at .928
- 3 San Jose Sharks: Celebrini’s overtime winner and a 3.27 goals-against average
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks: a seven-game point streak and the league’s second-best defense 
David Pastrnak has 14 points in his last seven games, six goals and eight assists, and Boston hasn’t lost in regulation in any of them. The latest was Thursday’s 6-0 win over Nashville at TD Garden, where he scored twice, added two assists and became the eighth player in franchise history with 20 career four-point games.
That win took the Bruins to 8-2-1 and stretched their point streak to seven games, at 6-0-1. It was also the first game back home after a 3-0-1 road trip, and it was the third time this season Boston has scored six.
San Jose arrives in a better place than its 6-4-1 record suggests. The Sharks won 4-3 in overtime in Montreal on Tuesday, then beat Ottawa 6-2 on Thursday, and they’re 4-2-1 away from home this season.
Boston won 6-3 in San Jose on October 13, the first meeting between the teams this season, and the market expects something similar on Saturday, with the Bruins at 1.56 and the Sharks at 2.57.
Puck drop at TD Garden is 7pm ET on Saturday 24 October. Both teams played Thursday, so neither has a rest advantage.
Boston Bruins: 2.00 goals allowed per game and Swayman at .928 
Boston allows 2.00 goals per game, second in the NHL, and that number explains most of the 8-2-1 start. The Bruins don’t suppress shots particularly well, giving up 28.0 a night, 21st, so the goaltending has done a lot of the work.
Jeremy Swayman is 6-1-1 with a 1.98 goals-against average, a .928 save percentage and a shutout. Michael DiPietro started Thursday and made 28 saves for his first NHL shutout, so Boston goes into Saturday with two goalies in form.
Boston averages 3.82 goals per game, tied for fourth, on only 25.5 shots, 25th, because it shoots 15.0%, second in the league. Against Nashville five different players scored: Casey Mittelstadt, Elias Lindholm on the power play, Pastrnak twice, JJ Peterka and Mark Kastelic.
Charlie McAvoy had four assists on Thursday and has six points in five games since coming back from a six-game suspension. Pavel Zacha added two assists, and the depth of that scoresheet is why Boston is 8-0-0 when it scores more than two goals.
The Bruins have won three straight at home and are 4-1-0 at TD Garden. Their one real weakness is discipline: they take 11.6 penalty minutes per game, 27th in the league, and their penalty kill sits at 80.6%, 14th. Boston is 3-0-0 when it outshoots opponents and 5-2-1 when outshot, so possession hasn’t decided its results.
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San Jose Sharks: Celebrini’s overtime winner and a 3.27 goals-against average 
Macklin Celebrini scored twice and added an assist in Montreal on Tuesday, including the power-play winner 2:13 into overtime. It was the fourth overtime goal of his career, tying Ilya Kovalchuk and Sean Monahan for the most by an NHL player aged 20 or younger.
The Sharks trailed 3-1 in the second period at the Bell Centre before Michael Misa and Tyler Toffoli, on the power play, scored in the third. Kiefer Sherwood set up Misa’s goal, and Alex Nedeljkovic made 31 saves.
The power play is San Jose’s best weapon, converting 25.7%, tied for sixth. Boston takes more penalties than most teams, so the Sharks should get chances with the man advantage, and the penalty kills of both teams are identical at 80.6%.
San Jose’s weakness sits at the other end. They allow 3.27 goals per game, tied for 21st, and 29.9 shots, 26th, and they score only 2.91 a night, tied for 17th. Yaroslav Askarov is 3-4-0 with a 3.44 goals-against average and an .883 save percentage, so Nedeljkovic may start again after his work in Montreal.
Alexander Wennberg missed the Montreal game with an injury and was listed as day-to-day. Before that trip to Montreal, San Jose had lost two in a row, including 3-1 in Toronto on Monday. The Sharks have won all four of their one-goal games this season, which is how a team with a negative goal difference keeps its record above .500.
Probable lineup Boston Bruins: Jeremy Swayman in goal (not confirmed); Pastrnak, Lindholm, Mittelstadt, Peterka up front; McAvoy on defense. Full lineup not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup San Jose Sharks: Alex Nedeljkovic or Yaroslav Askarov in goal; Celebrini, Toffoli, Misa up front. Wennberg day-to-day. Full lineup not announced at time of publication.
Free NHL Prediction: Boston Bruins vs San Jose Sharks
Our prediction: Boston Bruins to win (1.56)
I’d back Boston on the moneyline. The Bruins allow 2.00 goals per game against a Sharks defense conceding 3.27, they’re 8-0-0 when they score three or more, and they put six past San Jose eleven days ago.
San Jose’s power play and Celebrini give the Sharks a route into this game, especially against a Boston team that ranks 27th in penalty minutes. Their record in one-goal games also says they won’t fold if it’s close late, and they’ve scored three or more in seven of their 11 games.
Still, the gap in goaltending is wide, with Swayman at .928 and DiPietro fresh off a shutout, while San Jose’s goalies sit at .883 or have just one strong night behind them. Boston at home on a seven-game point streak is the pick at 1.56.
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