- 1 Barnet vs Leyton Orient: a draw is enough for the League Two side
- 2 Barnet: second in League Two and 5-1 winners in their Trophy opener
- 3 Leyton Orient: 14th in League One and two away defeats in a row
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Barnet vs Leyton Orient
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Barnet vs Leyton Orient: a draw is enough for the League Two side
Barnet go into Tuesday’s final EFL Trophy group game needing only a draw to finish top of Southern Group F. Leyton Orient need a win in 90 minutes, and probably a big one, to go through at their expense.
The game is at The Hive on Tuesday 10 November, kick-off 19:00 UK time. Barnet have five points from two group matches, Orient two, and Arsenal’s under-21 side, already through, have six from three. AFC Wimbledon have finished their games on two points.
The scoring system in this competition explains the odd numbers. A drawn match goes to a penalty shootout, with an extra point for the winner, so Barnet’s five come from a win and a shootout victory, and Orient’s two from a shootout win and a defeat. A win for Orient would put both clubs on five points, and goal difference would then come into play: Barnet are at +4, Orient at -1.
The league positions add a twist. Barnet are second in League Two, five points behind Salford, while Orient sit 14th in League One, a division above. Both teams won comfortably in the FA Cup first round on Saturday, Barnet 3-0 against Tranmere and Orient 5-1 against Harborough Town.
I think the table shapes how this one gets played more than the divisions do. Orient have to attack, and need to win by a margin, which leaves space for a Barnet side scoring regularly in League Two and with nothing to gain from sitting back at home.
Barnet: second in League Two and 5-1 winners in their Trophy opener 
Dean Brennan’s side have 26 points from 13 League Two games, with seven wins, five draws and a single defeat. Kabongo Tshimanga has ten league goals and Charlie Lakin six, and the goal difference stands at plus ten.
October brought wins at Bristol Rovers, 3-1, and at Tranmere, 2-1, before the only league defeat of the season, 1-3 at home to Swindon on 20 October. They responded with a 1-1 draw against Oldham, a 3-1 home win over York on 27 October and a 1-1 draw at Crewe on the last day of the month.
Saturday’s FA Cup tie against Tranmere stayed goalless for a long time. Lakin broke through on 80 minutes, Adam Senior added a second in the 90th and Nnamdi Ofoborh scored in stoppage time to finish it 3-0. That makes it two wins over Tranmere in three weeks.
The Trophy campaign has been a squad exercise. Brennan made ten changes for the opener against Arsenal’s under-21s on 18 August and still won 5-1, with Tom Knowles scoring a hat-trick and Bright Siaw and Jack Maskell also on target. On 6 October they drew 0-0 at AFC Wimbledon and won the shootout 8-7, even with Knowles missing his kick.
Barnet travel to Walsall in the league on Saturday, so another rotated side is likely. Players such as Ashby-Hammond, Knowles, Maskell, Siaw, Kanu, Ofoborh and Crichlow-Noble have featured in the Trophy, and the results suggest that second string is good enough at this level. Before a friendly in July 2025, which Barnet won 2-0, the club noted that Orient had never beaten them at The Hive.
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Leyton Orient: 14th in League One and two away defeats in a row 
Richie Wellens’ side have 17 points from 13 League One games, with five wins, two draws and six defeats. Their goal difference of plus five is better than their position, which says the defeats have tended to be narrow and the wins comfortable.
The last month shows that pattern. Orient drew 0-0 at Bradford on 10 October and beat Blackpool 2-0 at home a week later. They then lost 1-0 at Reading on 21 October and 2-1 at Burton three days after, before beating Cambridge United 3-0 at Brisbane Road on 31 October.
Saturday’s FA Cup tie against Harborough Town finished 5-1. Dobra opened the scoring after six minutes, Connolly added a second on 25, Idris El Mizouni scored after the break and Springett got another on 79 minutes. Jaze Kabia, with five league goals, is their leading scorer.
The Trophy has been harder going. On 18 August they drew 1-1 with AFC Wimbledon, Kabia equalising from the penalty spot on 89 minutes, and won the shootout. On 15 September Arsenal’s under-21s won 2-1 at Brisbane Road, Nicholas Oyekunle scoring Orient’s goal. That leaves them needing at least three goals more than Barnet on Tuesday.
Orient are away at Doncaster in the league next, and this is their last Trophy game, so Wellens is likely to give minutes to fringe players such as Oyekunle, Springett and goalkeeper Dovin. His usual 4-2-3-1 relies on Kabia, Dobra and Connolly in attack. Two away defeats in their last three league trips don’t suggest a side ready to win by three at a ground where they have a poor record.
Probable lineup Barnet: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Leyton Orient: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Barnet vs Leyton Orient
Our prediction: Barnet to win (2.30)
The bookmakers make this close, with Barnet between 2.20 and 2.30 and Orient between 2.55 and 2.65. I’d lean clearly towards the home side. Barnet have lost one league game all season, beat Tranmere 3-0 on Saturday, and have already beaten Arsenal’s under-21s 5-1 with a rotated team in this group.
The table matters too. Orient need to win by three goals, which forces them to commit players forward from the start against a side that scores freely. Their league form away from Brisbane Road, defeats at Reading and Burton in October, doesn’t suggest they’re comfortable chasing games on the road, and Barnet’s record at The Hive against them is strong.
The risk is Barnet resting more players than expected with Walsall on Saturday, and Orient’s quality as a League One side telling over 90 minutes. Even so, a Barnet side that only needs a draw, playing a team that must take risks, is the better bet. Barnet to win at 2.30 is our pick.
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