Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky – WNBA Prediction – June 22, 2026

Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky: two shaky defenses that could open the door to points

The WNBA schedule on Monday serves up a clash between two sides in a rough spell. Connecticut are going through a particularly grim run, while Chicago have struggled to find any kind of consistency away from home. Even so, both teams have been producing at the offensive end, and their recent form suggests this could turn into a wide-open contest.

The bookmakers have Chicago as slight favorites, but the current trends point more toward a game where the attacks do the damage and the defenses get exposed.

Connecticut are still bleeding points at the back

With just one win in their last 10 outings, Connecticut are in a rough patch. Even so, the Sun are still capable of putting up numbers, averaging more than 80 points during that stretch. The real headache is at the other end. They are giving up almost 90 points per game and regularly struggle to contain teams that can push the pace.

Even at home, where Connecticut are usually more competitive, the defensive holes keep dragging them down. Under those conditions, the Sun are often forced into the kind of shootout their opponents want, and their games can quickly turn into track meets.

Chicago also lean heavily toward offense

Chicago’s away results are hardly inspiring, but the Sky still carry a decent threat in attack. They have scored 827 points across their last 10 games and can answer when the tempo rises. Like Connecticut, though, they are a mess in their own half.

Conceding more than 92 points on average over that spell, the visitors are handing out chances and regularly getting dragged into high-scoring games. The last meeting between these two, a 85-80 Chicago win, already produced 165 points, not far off the line being offered here.

WNBA Prediction: Connecticut Sun vs Chicago Sky

Over 167.5 points in the game

The recent numbers from both teams point in the same direction. Connecticut are leaking points in bulk, while Chicago are also having serious problems defensively, which keeps forcing both sides into faster games. The Sun are averaging more than 80 points over their last 10 outings, and Chicago are clearing that mark as well.

Connecticut Sun and Chicago Sky are conceding 89.4 and 92.1 points respectively. On that basis, it makes sense to expect an open game, with enough possessions and enough sloppy defending to push the total beyond 167.5 points.

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