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Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams NFL prediction

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams – Free NFL Prediction – Nov 15

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams: an 18-16 October upset, and both lead receivers now gone NFL

Arizona won 18-16 at SoFi Stadium on 18 October, and the Rams lost more than the game that afternoon. Davante Adams injured his hamstring and went on injured reserve with an expected absence of six to ten weeks.

Four weeks later, Los Angeles have won three straight and moved to 5-4, but Puka Nacua is now expected to join Adams on injured reserve. Head coach Sean McVay said on Monday that Nacua has MCL and PCL sprains plus turf toe, which would sideline him for at least four games.

Arizona traded Jacoby Brissett to Baltimore on 6 November, and Gardner Minshew started in Seattle two days later. Arizona lost 17-3, and they’re 3-6 going into the rematch at State Farm Stadium on Sunday 15 November, kickoff 4:05pm ET on CBS.

The Rams are 9.5-point favourites, priced at 1.24 on the moneyline, with Arizona at 4.30. The total is set at 39.5 points, low for a game with a home defense allowing 28.3 a game, and we think the number is still too high given what both offenses have lost.

Our focus is the points line rather than the spread. Arizona haven’t won at home in three attempts this season, but the Rams’ passing game is about to lose the player who drew 19 of Matthew Stafford’s 43 attempts last Sunday.

Arizona Cardinals: three points in Seattle and the first week of the Minshew era Arizona Cardinals

Seattle played without Sam Darnold on 8 November, and Drew Lock completed 19 of 28 passes for 175 yards. Arizona still managed one field goal, and the Cardinals’ best chance at a touchdown ended when Seattle defended Minshew’s fourth-and-goal pass to Trey McBride from the 2.

Minshew’s season totals reflect a backup’s workload: 38 of 53 for 354 yards and three touchdowns. Brissett’s departure brought Arizona a 2027 fourth-round pick and a 2028 seventh-rounder, with a 2027 fifth also going to Baltimore in the deal.

Tight end Trey McBride carries the offense with 73 catches for 598 yards and five touchdowns, and Tyler Allgeier leads the backs with 369 rushing yards and two scores. Running back Bam Knight is questionable with a concussion, and two linemen, Jayden Williams and Jon Gaines II, are also questionable.

Arizona lost 45-21 at home to Detroit and 30-16 at home to Denver, and they won 33-30 in overtime in Dallas on 1 November. All three of their wins have come on the road, and they’re 0-3 in Glendale.

On defense they’ve allowed 255 points in nine games. Budda Baker leads the team with 3.5 sacks and Jack Gibbens has 64 tackles, and the unit held the Rams to 16 points in the first meeting.

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Los Angeles Rams: three straight wins, Garrett back, Nacua and Adams out Los Angeles Rams

Nacua caught 14 passes for 150 yards and a touchdown in the 20-13 win in Landover. He has 70 catches for 715 yards and four touchdowns this season and accounted for 27.6% of the Rams’ targets, the eighth-highest share in the league.

The next options are a running back and two tight ends. Kyren Williams has 46 targets and 36 catches to go with 593 rushing yards and six touchdowns, Tyler Higbee has 287 receiving yards and Davis Allen has two receiving touchdowns.

Stafford has thrown 16 touchdowns and nine interceptions this season. Against Washington he went 26 of 43 for 219 yards with an interception, and the Rams’ last two wins finished 24-9 and 20-13.

The defense is the reason for the winning run. Myles Garrett had three sacks and a forced fumble in his return on 8 November, and Washington managed a single field goal in the final 44 minutes. Byron Young has 4.5 sacks and Nate Landman leads the team with 66 tackles.

Cornerback Trent McDuffie is questionable with a back injury. Los Angeles have allowed 181 points, 20.1 per game, and they’re 3-1 on the road this season. Two of their three home defeats came in a five-day span in October: 37-34 in overtime to Buffalo on 13 October and 18-16 to Arizona on 18 October.

Probable lineup Arizona Cardinals: QB Gardner Minshew II, RB Tyler Allgeier, TE Trey McBride; defense led by Budda Baker and Jack Gibbens. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup Los Angeles Rams: QB Matthew Stafford, RB Kyren Williams, TE Tyler Higbee, TE Davis Allen (Puka Nacua and Davante Adams out); defense led by Myles Garrett, Byron Young and Nate Landman. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.

Free NFL Prediction: Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

Our prediction: Under 39.5 points (1.89)

The first meeting produced 34 points, with Adams on the field for part of it and Brissett still on Arizona’s roster. Since then Arizona have swapped Brissett for Minshew and scored three points in his first start, while the Rams’ last two games produced 33 points each.

Arizona’s defense has conceded 28.3 a game, and that’s the risk to this pick. The Rams without Nacua and Adams are a different offense, though, built around Williams and two tight ends, and that profile tends to shorten games and drain the clock.

Garrett’s return gives the Rams a pass rush to pressure a quarterback who has thrown 53 passes all season. We expect a slow, low-scoring game and we’re taking the under.

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