- 1 Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers: no Lamar Jackson, a new quarterback and an 0-8 opponent
- 2 Baltimore Ravens: 33 points in three games and Brissett’s first week in the building
- 3 Los Angeles Chargers: 11 interceptions, 31 sacks and a 37-drive touchdown drought only just ended
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
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- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers: no Lamar Jackson, a new quarterback and an 0-8 opponent 
Lamar Jackson is on Baltimore’s injured list with a thumb injury, and head coach Jesse Minter has said he’ll keep updates on his quarterback private. Jacoby Brissett, acquired from Arizona on 6 November, will start on Monday Night Football against the Chargers.
Baltimore have lost four straight to fall to 4-5, and the last three defeats came by 22, 26 and 23 points, the first time in franchise history Baltimore have lost three in a row by at least 20.
Los Angeles are 0-8 and have lost 11 straight going back to last season, which ties a franchise record. Justin Herbert left Sunday’s 44-22 loss to Houston with an injury to the middle finger on his non-throwing hand.
The game kicks off at M&T Bank Stadium on Monday 16 November at 8:15pm ET on ESPN. Baltimore are 4.5-point favourites at 1.93, the Ravens’ moneyline is 1.46 and Los Angeles are 2.80, with the total set at 38.5.
Both offenses have been among the league’s least productive lately. Baltimore have scored 13, 10 and 10 in their last three games and the Chargers average 15.1 points, so our pick is on the total rather than the side.
Baltimore Ravens: 33 points in three games and Brissett’s first week in the building 
Rookie Joe Fagnano started against Jacksonville on 5 November and completed 10 of 18 passes for 60 yards with two second-half interceptions. He played on a heavily wrapped ankle he’d hurt four days earlier in Buffalo, and the Jaguars won 33-10.
Brissett arrives in his 11th NFL season, and Minter said he’ll get the ball out on time and run the whole offense. The new quarterback already knows Baltimore’s quarterbacks coach Israel Woolfork from their time together in Arizona last season. The trade sent a 2027 fourth-round pick and a 2028 seventh to the Cardinals, with Baltimore also receiving a 2027 fifth.
Derrick Henry gives Brissett a reliable starting point. He has 689 yards and eight touchdowns on 175 carries, and Zay Flowers leads the receivers with 43 catches for 614 yards and three touchdowns. Justice Hill’s 65-yard touchdown against Jacksonville was the Ravens’ first second-half touchdown since Week 5.
The defense has allowed 236 points, 26.2 per game. Roquan Smith leads the team with 74 tackles and Mike Green has 3.5 sacks, and All-Pro safety Kyle Hamilton left the Jaguars game with a hip injury but is expected to avoid missing time.
Cornerback Nate Wiggins missed the Jacksonville game with an illness and safety Jaylinn Hawkins has missed three games with a knee injury, and Minter was optimistic about both returning this week. Linebacker Adisa Isaac is questionable with a hamstring problem.
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Los Angeles Chargers: 11 interceptions, 31 sacks and a 37-drive touchdown drought only just ended 
The Chargers went 37 straight drives without a touchdown before Quentin Johnston caught Herbert’s 58-yard pass in the fourth quarter against Houston. During the drought, Los Angeles scored 24 points on field goals, and Cameron Dicker added three more on Sunday, including a season-best 52-yarder.
Herbert finished 13 of 23 for 193 yards and an interception, and he was sacked a career-high eight times. He’s been sacked 31 times this season, the second-most in the NFL, and his 11 interceptions lead the league.
The finger injury is on his left hand. Jim Harbaugh said it could be a fracture and pulled him from the game, though Herbert told reporters he didn’t expect it to be an issue for Monday. DJ Uiagalelei replaced him and threw his first career touchdown pass, a 15-yarder to Derius Davis.
Omarion Hampton leads the team with 369 rushing yards and three touchdowns, and Ladd McConkey’s 286 receiving yards on 17 catches are the best on the roster. The 22 points against Houston were the Chargers’ second-highest total of the season.
Los Angeles have allowed 219 points, 27.4 a game, and they’re 0-4 on the road. Khalil Mack has three sacks and Del’Shawn Phillips leads the team with 40 tackles, while safety Kendall Williamson and receiver Brenen Thompson are both questionable.
Probable lineup Baltimore Ravens: QB Jacoby Brissett, RB Derrick Henry, WR Zay Flowers, RB Justice Hill; defense led by Roquan Smith, Kyle Hamilton and Mike Green. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup Los Angeles Chargers: QB Justin Herbert (questionable, finger), RB Omarion Hampton, WR Ladd McConkey, WR Quentin Johnston; defense led by Khalil Mack and Del’Shawn Phillips. Final lineup not announced at time of publication.
Free NFL Prediction: Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers
Our prediction: Under 38.5 points (1.91)
We’d set this total lower than the market. Baltimore have scored 33 points across their last three games, and the Chargers’ 22 points on Sunday were their second-highest total of the season. A combined 39 needs one of those offenses to play well above its recent level.
The case against is Baltimore’s defense, which has conceded 26.2 a game. The Chargers’ line has allowed 31 sacks and Herbert has thrown 11 interceptions, though, and an offense that went 37 drives without a touchdown isn’t the one we’d expect to exploit it.
Brissett in his first start for a new team, with Henry carrying the load, points to a run-heavy, clock-draining game plan. We’re backing a low-scoring Monday night and taking the under.
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