- 1 Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx: Olivia Miles set to take centre stage
- 2 Washington come in with real belief
- 3 Olivia Miles has to shoulder more of the load
- 4 WNBA Prediction: Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx
- 5 First, a quick word on our picks
- 6 No obligation from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling comes first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals
Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx: Olivia Miles set to take centre stage 
Washington host the best team in the league in a clash that lands at an interesting point in the season. The Mystics have won eight of their last 10 and are still firmly in the playoff mix. Minnesota arrive with even more momentum: five straight wins and nine victories from their past 10 outings.
The Lynx will have to do it without Napheesa Collier, who is being rested for this trip. That shifts plenty of the offensive load elsewhere. Olivia Miles is one of the players who should see more of the ball and more responsibility.
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Washington come in with real belief 
The Mystics are hardly the ideal opponent for Minnesota. Washington are on an eight-from-10 run and are averaging 86.8 points over that stretch. At home, the offence is doing its bit too, with the franchise clearing 78 points in each of its last eight home games.
Minnesota’s last visit to Washington was tight all the way. On 25 June, the Lynx edged it 78-76. More broadly, meetings between these two sit around the 156-point mark on average, even if both offences are operating at a much sharper level now than those old numbers suggest.
Washington have the tools to force Minnesota to keep scoring. The Mystics have been putting the ball in the basket far more freely in recent weeks and should not allow the Lynx to coast through this one. That kind of pressure can keep Minnesota’s key names switched on at the offensive end right to the finish.
Olivia Miles has to shoulder more of the load 
Napheesa Collier’s absence changes Minnesota’s offensive picture straight away. The Lynx lose one of their main outlets and will need to find some of that shot creation elsewhere. Olivia Miles has already shown she can step up when the job calls for it.
Her 25.5 points + assists line is already a touch below her normal output. Miles is averaging 19.9 points and 6.1 assists this season, which works out at exactly 26 points + assists per game. Her recent form is even better: over her last 10 games, she is averaging 27.3 points + assists. Over the last five, that number rises to 28.8.
The consistency is there too. Her last five outings read 27, 31, 20, 33 and 33 points + assists, so she has cleared the mark in four of those five games. And crucially, Collier was available for all five. Miles was already getting there with the star on the floor; now she should see even more of the offence funnel through her.
WNBA Prediction: Washington Mystics vs Minnesota Lynx
Olivia Miles: over 25.5 points + assists
We like the line first and foremost because Miles is already above it on the numbers. Her 19.9 points and 6.1 assists add up to 26 points + assists per game this season. That climbs to 27.3 over her last 10 and 28.8 across her last five.
The recent run backs it up: 27, 31, 20, 33 and 33 points + assists. So the 25.5 line has been beaten four times in her last five. Up to now, she has been posting those numbers with Napheesa Collier on the floor. This time, the Lynx star is being rested and a chunk of that offensive burden has to go somewhere else.
The two meetings this season also offer useful clues. Miles finished the most recent one with 21 points and five assists, which made 26 PA. In the other clash, she scored 22 and handed out six assists for 28 PA. So she has already cleared this current line in both games against Washington this season.
Between a recent average of 28.8 PA, four overs in her last five, two wins over the line in two head-to-heads this season and Collier’s absence, plenty points the same way. In a game where Minnesota should need creation against a Washington side in good form, Miles looks well placed to take on even more.
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