- 1 Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix: the ladder leaders meet a team that scores in bunches
- 2 Sydney Kings Analysis
- 3 South East Melbourne Phoenix Analysis
- 4 Free NBL Prediction: Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix: the ladder leaders meet a team that scores in bunches 
The Sydney Kings host the South East Melbourne Phoenix on Sunday 8 November at 5h00 Paris time, with first place on the NBL27 ladder at stake for the home side. Sydney are 7-3 and lead the table, while the Phoenix sit eighth at 4-6.
This is a Round 8 fixture, and the Kings are 6.5-point favourites with a posted total of 192.5. Those numbers say the market expects Sydney to win and the points to flow.
The history backs the scoring call. Each of the last five meetings between these clubs produced at least 195 points.
Sydney have won 17 of the 23 all-time meetings, including eight of 11 at their home venue, according to Before You Bet. The Phoenix have a long road to change that record.
The Kings arrive with four wins in their last five, the latest a 99-91 win at Perth and a 71-68 win at Tasmania. The Phoenix come off a 98-89 home loss to Tasmania.
Matthew Dellavedova is listed with a calf injury and his return is subject to medical clearance. Even without him, Sydney carry the stronger form into Sunday afternoon.
Sydney Kings Analysis 
Sydney sit first at 7-3, with a recent form line of W-W-L-W-W. Their points differential of +98 is the best in the league.
The Kings score 97.9 points per game and concede 88.1. That is a gap of almost ten points a night, and it explains the ladder position.
Kendric Davis drives the whole operation, averaging 21.6 points and 8.2 assists. He scored 24 points with 9 assists at Perth and 20 points with 9 assists at Tasmania.
Torrey Craig adds 18.0 points and 6.9 rebounds while shooting 37 percent from three. Makuach Maluach contributes 13.9 points, and Xavier Cooks anchors the rebounding.
The Kings won at Tasmania by three points and at Perth by eight, so they are comfortable in tight games. That habit counts against a Phoenix side that dropped its latest game by nine.
Dellavedova’s calf is the open question, and Keli Leaupepe is out for the season with an ACL injury. The rotation has coped with absences before, and the home crowd waits for the next win.
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South East Melbourne Phoenix Analysis 
The Phoenix are eighth at 4-6, with a form line of L-L-W-W-L. Their differential is +26, which is better than the record suggests.
They score 96.9 points per game and concede 94.3. The defence is the weakness, and Sydney’s offence will test it.
Nathan Sobey leads the way with 17.0 points, 4.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. Angus Glover adds 14.4 points, and Dash Daniels contributes 12.6 points with 38.1 percent shooting from three.
D’Shawn Schwartz scored 27 points in the Round 7 loss to Tasmania, and the Phoenix still lost by nine. One big night from a single scorer has not been enough lately.
Hunter Goodrick is listed with a knee problem and his return is unconfirmed. That removes a body from a front line facing Sydney’s rebounding.
Phoenix games tend to run high on points, and the scoring will likely continue here. The issue is whether they can stop the Kings often enough to stay in touch.
Probable lineup Sydney Kings: Not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup South East Melbourne Phoenix: Not announced at time of publication.
Free NBL Prediction: Sydney Kings vs South East Melbourne Phoenix
Our prediction: Sydney Kings win
Sydney concede just 88.1 points per game and own the best differential in the league. The Phoenix lost their latest game and sit eighth.
The head-to-head record points the same way, with 17 wins in 23 and eight in 11 at home. Davis is averaging 21.6 points and the Phoenix have no answer for that on paper.
Phoenix scoring keeps this competitive into the third quarter. Sydney pull clear in the final period and take the win.
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