- 1 Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks: Bryce Cotton hosts a team that beat him by 22
- 2 Adelaide 36ers Analysis
- 3 Illawarra Hawks Analysis
- 4 Free NBL Prediction: Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks: Bryce Cotton hosts a team that beat him by 22 
The Adelaide 36ers host the Illawarra Hawks at Adelaide Entertainment Centre on Saturday 7 November, with tip-off at 7h30 Paris time. Adelaide are 5-6 and sixth on the ladder, while Illawarra are 4-8 and tenth.
This is a Round 8 fixture in NBL27, and the earlier meeting still stings for the home side. Illawarra won 114-92 in Wollongong this season.
Adelaide have lost two of their last three, the latest a 96-89 defeat at Brisbane. Illawarra come off a 107-95 win at Cairns on Thursday and a 105-98 win over Perth before that.
The Hawks play in Cairns on Thursday and in Adelaide on Saturday, which is a heavy travel schedule for any team. That turnaround is the best argument for the home side.
Bryce Cotton leads the league in scoring at 27.7 points per game. He is the reason Adelaide stay in games they have no right to win.
GoBet makes the 36ers favourites, tipping them to win by five. The case rests on Cotton, the home court and the Hawks’ defence.
Adelaide 36ers Analysis 
Adelaide sit sixth at 5-6, with a recent form line of W-W-L-W-L. Their points differential is -30, a figure that reflects close losses more than blowouts.
They score 91.0 points per game and concede 93.7, numbers worked out from the ladder totals. The offence runs on Cotton, and the defence has held up better than the table suggests.
Cotton averages 27.7 points per game, the highest in the league. No other scorer in the competition comes close to that volume.
The 36ers beat New Zealand 108-101 in Round 7 before losing at Brisbane 96-89. A team that can score 108 against a visiting side has the pieces to do it again at home.
Flynn Cameron is listed with an ankle injury and Bul Kuol is out with an ACL injury. Mangok Mathiang is away for personal reasons with no return date.
Three absences strain the rotation, but Adelaide’s plan is simple. Get Cotton the ball and let the Hawks’ tired legs do the rest.
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Illawarra Hawks Analysis 
Illawarra are tenth at 4-8, with a recent form line of W-L-L-W-W. Two straight wins have lifted a season that started badly.
The Hawks score 97.0 points per game and concede 103.7. A differential of -80 is the worst in this fixture by a wide margin.
Their win over Perth showed what the offence can do. Kelan Martin scored 23, Makur Maker added 21, and Illawarra won the rebounding 45-31.
They followed it with a 107-95 win at Cairns on Thursday. Two road wins in a week are real progress for a side that gives up this many points.
Mason Peatling is out for the season with a foot injury. The Hawks have played without him for a while, so the rotation has adjusted.
The earlier 114-92 win over Adelaide is proof that this group can beat the 36ers. It is also a reminder that Saturday is a different game, with a different venue and a very different travel schedule.
Probable lineup Adelaide 36ers: Not announced at time of publication.
Probable lineup Illawarra Hawks: Not announced at time of publication.
Free NBL Prediction: Adelaide 36ers vs Illawarra Hawks
Our prediction: Adelaide 36ers win
Adelaide have the home court, the league’s top scorer and the better differential. Illawarra have won two straight, but they concede 103.7 points a game.
The Hawks arrive after a game in Cairns on Thursday, and the 114-92 win earlier this season came on their own floor. Cotton at 27.7 points per game decides the rematch.
Illawarra will score and stay within reach for a while. Adelaide hold on and take the win.
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