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South Korea vs Uzbekistan prediction friendly

South Korea vs Uzbekistan – Free Football Prediction – 06/10/2026

South Korea vs Uzbekistan: two World Cup disappointments, one friendly to end the window International Friendly

South Korea and Uzbekistan both left the 2026 World Cup at the group stage. Three months later, they meet in a friendly that closes the October window for both nations.

Kick-off is set for Tuesday 6 October at 13:00 Paris time, on South Korean soil. It is the last outing for both squads before club football resumes this weekend.

The two benches tell an interesting story. Robert Moreno is an interim coach with a short contract, while Fabio Cannavaro marks exactly one year in charge of Uzbekistan on the day of the game.

Form points slightly towards the visitors. Uzbekistan have just beaten Iran and Syria, scoring seven goals in those two wins, while South Korea have collected one win, one draw and one defeat under Moreno.

The head-to-head points firmly the other way. South Korea are unbeaten in their last nine meetings with Uzbekistan, and across the last 16 encounters the White Wolves have won only once.

The betting market sides with history. South Korea are priced at 1.60, the draw at 3.60 and an Uzbekistan win at 4.45, which frames this as a home side expected to finish the window on a high.

South Korea: every possible result under Moreno, with Son one goal from history South Korea

The summer was a letdown for the Tigers of Asia. They opened the World Cup with a 2-1 comeback win over the Czech Republic, their first opening-game victory since 2010, then lost 1-0 to both Mexico and South Africa.

Hong Myung-bo left after that group exit, ending his second spell in charge after less than two years. The federation turned to Moreno on a deal covering six matches and running until 27 November.

Three of those six games are already done, and they have produced every type of result. South Korea beat Ecuador 3-0, with second-half goals from Oh Hyeon-gyu, Son Heung-min and Lee Dong-gyeong, then lost 4-1 to Uruguay.

Friday’s goalless draw with Venezuela completed the set. The defence held firm that night, but the attack drew a blank for the first time under the new coach.

The World Cup selection still hangs over the group. Leaving Son out of the starting side during the tournament puzzled many observers, and the captain is once again the focal point of the attack.

Son remains the headline name. He is one goal away from becoming South Korea’s outright all-time top scorer, and Tuesday would bring his 59th international goal in his 151st appearance.

Moreno has used a 4-4-2 in all three matches and is expected to stick with it. Song Bum-kuen could keep his place in goal after replacing Kim Seung-gyu last time out, and no new injuries have been reported.

The question mark is the defence. The 4-1 defeat to Uruguay showed this group can be opened up, and Uzbekistan arrive with seven goals in their last two games.

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Uzbekistan: two wins in a row, but no clean sheet in seven games Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan’s first World Cup was a harsh lesson. They lost 3-1 to Colombia, 5-0 to Portugal and 3-1 to DR Congo, finishing bottom of Group K with two goals scored and 11 conceded.

Cannavaro kept his job, and his record now stands at five wins, two draws and six defeats from 13 matches. That is a modest return, but the last fortnight has improved the picture.

The White Wolves beat Iran and then Syria 4-1 during this window. Seven goals in two games shows an attack that has found some rhythm and confidence again.

The other side of the ledger has not changed. Uzbekistan conceded in both of those wins and have now failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last seven matches.

Abdukodir Khusanov is set to anchor the back four, and captain Eldor Shomurodov could return to the starting line-up after beginning the Syria game on the bench.

Goalkeeper Abduvokhid Nematov should keep his place despite an unfortunate own goal in stoppage time against Syria. Cannavaro is chasing three consecutive wins for the first time since taking over.

That target gives the visitors real motivation. Still, beating Iran and Syria is not the same as winning away in East Asia against a side that has not lost to them in nine meetings.

Probable lineup South Korea: Song Bum-kuen; Seol, H. Lee, Kim Min-jae, Cho; K. Lee, Park, Hwang In-beom, Kim; Oh Hyeon-gyu, Son Heung-min
Probable lineup Uzbekistan: Nematov; Karimov, Khusanov, Urozov, Mahamadjonov; Khamrobekov, Mozgovoy; Amanov, Esanov, Fayzullaev; Norchaev

Free Football Prediction: South Korea vs Uzbekistan

Our prediction: South Korea to win (odds 1.60)

South Korea have not lost to Uzbekistan in nine meetings and have won 11 of the last 16. That kind of record does not come from luck, and the home side should have the edge in both quality and familiarity.

Uzbekistan’s attack is in better shape than it was in June, but a defence without a clean sheet in seven games is a weakness Son and Oh can exploit. South Korea also need a positive result to close Moreno’s window after two winless outings.

A draw would not shock us given how tight the Venezuela game was. Even so, at 1.60 the hosts are the logical pick, with history, home advantage and a leaky opponent all pointing in the same direction.

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Author

  • Louis Boulben

    Ex-NCAA D1 Athlete with a background in B2B/D2C technology, enterprise business development, finance, and management. Currently leading growth and strategy at MathODDS, expanding into broader European and US markets.


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