- 1 Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears: the NFL’s tightest defence against a Bears attack that either scores 30 or barely scores
- 2 Seattle Seahawks: 3.99 yards per play allowed, the lowest in the league
- 3 Chicago Bears: 34 points a game in wins, five in defeats
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears: the NFL’s tightest defence against a Bears attack that either scores 30 or barely scores 
Kansas City scored three points at Lumen Field on Sunday night. Seattle’s 20-3 win tied the lowest total a Patrick Mahomes-started Chiefs side has ever produced, and it took the Seahawks to 4-3, two games behind San Francisco in the NFC West.
That defence now hosts the most volatile offence in the NFC. Chicago are 5-2, two games behind an unbeaten Minnesota in the NFC North, and they’ve averaged 34.0 points in their wins and 5.0 points in their two defeats.
Caleb Williams explains most of that gap. The Bears are 3-0 in games he has started and finished, scoring at least 30 in each, and they’ve won twice since he returned from injury. The latest was a 30-24 home win over New England on Thursday 22 October, when Williams threw for 308 yards and two touchdowns without an interception.
Kick-off is Monday 2 November at 8:15pm ET in Seattle, live on ESPN. The Seahawks are three-point favourites, around 1.63 on the moneyline against 2.60 for Chicago, with the total at 46.5. Cloud and late showers are forecast, with a 40% chance of rain.
Seattle won the last meeting 6-3 in Chicago in December 2024. Both teams have gone Under in four of their seven games this season.
Chicago’s win over New England came on a Thursday, which gives the Bears 11 days to prepare for this trip, while Seattle turn around from a Sunday night game.
Seattle Seahawks: 3.99 yards per play allowed, the lowest in the league 
Seattle allow 3.99 yards per play, fewer than any defence in the NFL. Against the Chiefs that translated into three points, and it’s the reason the market makes the Seahawks favourites despite having the worse record of the two sides.
The Seahawks have also won 21 straight games, playoffs included, when they’ve turned the ball over once or not at all. Sam Darnold threw one interception against Kansas City, which was enough to stay inside that profile.
Darnold has 1,290 passing yards this season, and his favourite target is the league’s most productive receiver. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the NFL with 867 receiving yards and has eight touchdowns from 58 catches, so Chicago’s secondary will need to account for him on every snap.
The running game is more modest, with Emanuel Wilson on 403 yards, but the front has a new addition. Seattle acquired All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson from Indianapolis this week, and his arrival matters more given that guard Grey Zabel is questionable with a groin injury.
The injury list is long on the defensive side, though. Leonard Williams, Jarran Reed, Ernest Jones IV, Chazz Surratt, Julian Neal and safety Julian Love, who has two interceptions, are all questionable. Tight end Elijah Arroyo is out for the season and running back Jadarian Price is out indefinitely.
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Chicago Bears: 34 points a game in wins, five in defeats 
Chicago have scored 34.0 points per game in five wins and 5.0 per game in two losses. Neither defeat came in a game Williams started and finished, and the offence has scored 30 or more every time he has.
D’Andre Swift has carried the ground game with 476 rushing yards and seven touchdowns, but he’s questionable with hip and knee problems. Kyle Monangai, the next running back in line, is out indefinitely with a toe injury, so the Bears could be thin in the backfield.
The passing game has also lost a piece. Tight end Cole Kmet is out with a knee injury that looks season-ending, which puts more on Luther Burden III, who leads the receivers with 35 catches. Guards Joe Thuney and Jonah Jackson are both questionable, which leaves the interior of the line uncertain four days out.
Defensively, Austin Booker leads the team with four sacks, and T.J. Edwards has an interception, but Edwards is questionable with a hamstring injury and Dayo Odeyingbo is out indefinitely. The Bears gave up 24 points and 321 passing yards to New England’s Drake Maye last time out.
Against the spread Chicago are 5-2, including 2-1 on the road, and Seattle are just 2-3-2 as favourites. That’s the strongest argument for the visitors, and I don’t dismiss it.
Probable lineup Seattle Seahawks: QB Sam Darnold, RB Emanuel Wilson, WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, G Quenton Nelson, S Julian Love (questionable). Elijah Arroyo (TE) out.
Probable lineup Chicago Bears: QB Caleb Williams, RB D’Andre Swift (questionable), WR Luther Burden III, LB T.J. Edwards (questionable). Cole Kmet (TE), Kyle Monangai (RB) and Dayo Odeyingbo (DE) out.
Free NFL Prediction: Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears
Our prediction: Seattle Seahawks to win (1.63)
Chicago’s attack has been excellent when it works, but it has never faced a defence allowing under four yards a play. Seattle just held Kansas City to three points at home, and the Bears arrive without Kmet, without Monangai and with Swift and both starting guards questionable.
Seattle bring the best receiver in the league by yardage, a newly added All-Pro guard and a 21-game winning run whenever they keep turnovers to one or fewer. Darnold doesn’t need a big night if the defence repeats Sunday’s work; a 23-20 or 24-17 type of game fits both sides’ recent numbers.
I wouldn’t lay the 3.5 points, given Seattle’s 2-3-2 record against the spread as favourites and two home pushes. The moneyline at 1.63 is where I’d stand, with the Seahawks’ defence the deciding factor on a wet night in Seattle.
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