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Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers NBA prediction

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers – Free NBA Prediction – Nov 13

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers: Acuff’s 33 wasn’t enough in October, and the Kings are 1-9 since NBA

Darius Acuff Jr. scored 33 points in his first home game as a King. Domantas Sabonis added 27 points, 19 rebounds and 10 assists. Sacramento still lost 128-120 to Portland on October 23, because the Trail Blazers opened the third quarter on a 15-0 run and won that period 44-26.

That was the Kings’ home opener. They’re 1-9 now, 14th in the West and on a three-game losing streak, and the 1-8 mark they reached before Sunday matched the worst nine-game start in franchise history.

Portland is 6-3 but has lost two straight: 124-118 to the Lakers, when Luka Doncic scored 53, and 125-103 at home to San Antonio a night later.

Friday’s rematch tips at 10:00pm ET on November 13 at Golden 1 Center, an NBA Cup group game.

Rest is close to even. Portland hosts Oklahoma City on Tuesday and Wednesday, a home back-to-back, then has Thursday off. Sacramento hosts Orlando on Tuesday and then sits for two days.

I like Portland here, and the reason is mostly the other bench. The Kings have allowed 120 points or more in seven of their first nine games.

Sacramento Kings: a rookie at 25.2 a night and a defense ranked 29th Sacramento Kings

Acuff, the No. 7 pick, averages 25.2 points and 7.1 assists. He had 32 points and 10 assists in Sunday’s 114-108 home loss to Miami. The offense isn’t what’s sinking Sacramento.

The defense is. The Kings allow 123.3 points a game, 29th in the league, and score 109.2, 24th. That’s a differential of -14.1.

Sabonis missed the Miami game with soreness in his left knee, the same knee that needed meniscus surgery in February, and no timeline was given. He’s averaging 15.3 points, 14.6 rebounds and 6.0 assists, and without him the Kings lose most of their rebounding.

Zach LaVine scores 22.1 a game but didn’t play in the fourth quarter against Miami, with no reason given. De’Andre Hunter (13.0) was listed day-to-day with an illness, and Precious Achiuwa adds 10.8.

Ben Simmons is out for the season with an Achilles injury, and Maxime Raynaud (knee) is out. Reports on Keegan Murray conflict: he was listed out with an ankle problem, yet one account has him scoring 10 points on Sunday.

The only Kings win came in Dallas, 115-100 on November 2. At home they’ve lost to the Lakers (116-103), San Antonio (124-109) and Miami, and Victor Wembanyama put 30 points and 14 rebounds on them on November 6.

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Portland Trail Blazers: 121.4 points a game without Morant or Sharpe Portland Trail Blazers

Portland scores 121.4 points a game, second in the NBA, and allows 112.4, 13th. The Trail Blazers have done most of that without two of their guards.

Ja Morant, traded from Memphis on June 29, strained his left hamstring against the Grizzlies on October 29. Portland ruled him out for at least four weeks. Shaedon Sharpe has a torn meniscus, and Vit Krejci (leg) is also out.

Deni Avdija leads the team with 23.3 points, 6.8 rebounds and 7.0 assists. He had 26, 6 and 6 in the October win in Sacramento, and 22 points, 11 assists and 9 rebounds against the Lakers.

Damian Lillard averages 20.4 and scored 19 in the first meeting, the same total as Toumani Camara, who’s at 14.3 for the season. Jrue Holiday adds 13.3 points and 4.5 assists.

Donovan Clingan, at 12.6 points and 10.6 rebounds, is the matchup to watch if Sabonis sits. Portland’s road record is the strength of its start: wins in Utah (112-90), Denver (118-110) and Phoenix (132-119) before the trip to Los Angeles.

The home losses are the warning sign. Memphis won 124-103 at the Moda Center on October 29 and San Antonio won by 22 there on Saturday, so this group plays better away from Portland than in front of its own crowd.

Probable lineup Sacramento Kings: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Portland Trail Blazers: Not announced at time of publication

Free NBA Prediction: Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers

Our prediction: Portland Trail Blazers to win

Portland scored 128 in Sacramento with Sabonis on the floor putting up a triple-double. If his knee keeps him out, the Kings lose their best rebounder against a team with Clingan at center and a 121.4-point offense.

The case against is the back-to-back with Oklahoma City on Tuesday and Wednesday, and two straight losses. Thursday’s day off takes the edge off the first, and both losses came against teams far better than a 1-9 team giving up 123.3 a night.

No moneylines were posted at the time of writing. I’d back Portland at 1.45 or longer and pass if it opens shorter.

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Author

  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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