- 1 Romania vs Poland: five straight competitive defeats for Romania, a 6-0 in Warsaw, and two coaches under pressure
- 2 Romania: 13 goals conceded, and a defence that fell apart in two September games
- 3 Poland: Lewandowski back in the squad, Bednarek suspended, one win since March
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Romania vs Poland
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Romania vs Poland: five straight competitive defeats for Romania, a 6-0 in Warsaw, and two coaches under pressure 
Romania have lost five competitive matches in a row. The run began with the 1-0 World Cup play-off defeat in Istanbul in March and has continued through all four games of this Nations League campaign, in which Gheorghe Hagi’s side have scored three times and conceded 13.
The heaviest of those defeats came against Saturday’s opponents. Poland won 6-0 in Warsaw on 2 October, with a Robert Lewandowski hat-trick, an own goal from Virgil Ghiță and further goals from Piotr Zieliński and Jan Bednarek. Romania played most of the game with ten men after Radu Drăgușin was sent off on 22 minutes for the foul that gave away the opening penalty.
The rematch is at the Arena Națională in Bucharest on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 19:45 UK time. It’s Romania’s last home game of 2026, and their supporters are back: the home game against Bosnia and Herzegovina in September was played behind closed doors because of a UEFA sanction for discriminatory chanting.
The table in League B Group 4 has Sweden top on ten points and Bosnia second on eight. Poland are third on four and can no longer finish first, while Romania are bottom with none. Third place brings a relegation play-off against a League C side, so for Romania this game is about reaching that play-off instead of going straight down.
Both benches have something at stake. Hagi has had a hard start in the job, and Polish reports say Jan Urban’s future depends on these two November games. Bookmakers have Poland at 1.90, the draw at 3.50 to 3.55 and Romania between 3.40 and 3.90.
Romania: 13 goals conceded, and a defence that fell apart in two September games 
The opening night in Solna wasn’t a disaster. Romania lost 2-1 to Sweden, Dennis Man scored on 29 minutes, and a Sweden goal by Elliot Stroud was ruled out by VAR for a handball by Alexander Isak. The problems came three days later.
At home to Bosnia, in an empty stadium, Romania were 3-1 down at half-time and lost 4-2. Then came the 6-0 in Warsaw and a 1-0 home defeat to Sweden, settled by Viktor Gyökeres after 12 minutes, which leaves them with three goals scored in four games and the worst defensive record in the group.
Hagi has made changes for November. He’s named 26 players, with Târnovanu, Popescu, Corbu, Stoica and Coman called up, and he’s left out ten players from the previous squad, among them Cojocaru, Burcă, Racovițan and Olaru.
Two absences hurt. Goalkeeper Ionuț Radu of Celta Vigo misses out for medical reasons, and Louis Munteanu, who scored Romania’s goal in the 1-1 draw in Georgia in June, is injured. Drăgușin and Ghiță have served their bans and are both available.
The squad still has players at a good level: Andrei Rațiu at Rayo Vallecano, Man at PSV and Ianis Hagi at Alanyaspor. The 2-1 win over Wales in Bucharest in June is Romania’s only victory in eight matches in 2026, and it came at home.
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Poland: Lewandowski back in the squad, Bednarek suspended, one win since March 
The 6-0 in Warsaw was Poland’s first win in eight Nations League matches. It’s also their only win in this group, and they followed it with a 1-0 defeat in Zenica on 5 October, where Ivan Bašić scored for Bosnia in the 84th minute.
Lewandowski didn’t play in Zenica. He was booked in the 42nd minute against Romania, missed the Bosnia game, and Poland didn’t score without him. His penalty in Warsaw was his 90th international goal.
He’s in the November squad, now playing for Chicago Fire in MLS, and Romania know him well. He scored five of Poland’s six goals in the two 2018 World Cup qualifiers, 3-0 in Bucharest in November 2016 and 3-1 in Warsaw in June 2017, before his hat-trick in October.
Bednarek won’t be there. The Porto centre-back is suspended for this game after an accumulation of bookings, and Łukasz Skorupski has been left out, with Urban saying he wants younger goalkeepers. Kamiński and Pietuszewski are also missing after recent health problems.
Urban’s squad includes Matty Cash, Jakub Kiwior, Nicola Zalewski, Sebastian Szymański and Zieliński, plus three first call-ups. Poland’s 2026 record is poor beyond the Romania game: they beat Albania in the World Cup play-off semi-final in March, lost the final 3-2 to Sweden, and the 6-0 is their only win since.
Probable lineup Romania: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Poland: Not announced at time of publication
Free Football Prediction: Romania vs Poland
Our prediction: Poland to win (1.90)
I’d take Poland to win at 1.90. Romania have lost five competitive games in a row and conceded 13 in four Nations League matches, and the one player who has hurt them most in this fixture, Lewandowski, is back after missing the Bosnia defeat.
The home crowd and the changes Hagi has made give Romania a better chance than in Warsaw, and Poland without Bednarek are weaker at the back. A team playing for its coach’s job can also be uncomfortable to face, and Poland have to deal with the same pressure.
The difference is at the other end of the pitch. Poland have scored seven in the group, Romania three, and Poland have won the last four meetings between the sides. With Lewandowski leading the line against a defence that has conceded at least once in every game this autumn, I expect Poland to win.
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