- 1 Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: Mbappe’s 100th goal, then El Sardinero without Vinicius
- 2 Racing Santander: unbeaten at El Sardinero, but no clean sheet there and Salinas suspended
- 3 Real Madrid: five wins in a row, but both league defeats came on the road
- 4 Free La Liga Prediction: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Racing Santander vs Real Madrid: Mbappe’s 100th goal, then El Sardinero without Vinicius 
Kylian Mbappe’s late winner at Barcelona on Sunday was his 100th goal for Real Madrid, and it settled a 2-1 Clasico that had swung back towards the hosts when Raphinha equalised just after the hour. Madrid’s next league trip is to El Sardinero, on Sunday 1 November with kick-off at 15:15 UK time.
That result made it five straight wins in all competitions for Jose Mourinho’s side: 1-0 against Villarreal, 4-3 in Rome, 4-1 against Sevilla, 4-1 against RB Leipzig and then the Clasico. They scored 15 and conceded six across those five games, and they sit third with 24 points from ten matches, three behind Barcelona and one behind Atletico.
Racing came up as Segunda Division champions and are 13th on 11 points. Their season splits cleanly in two. At home they’ve won three and drawn two of five league games, and away from Santander they’ve lost all five, including 7-2 at Barcelona, 5-0 at Celta Vigo and 2-0 at Osasuna.
The goal columns follow the same line. Racing have scored 15 and conceded 26, and 11 of those 15 goals came at El Sardinero. They also haven’t kept a single clean sheet there, which tells me this is a side that plays open football at home whoever the opponent is.
Madrid travel without Vinicius Jr, who’s serving a four-match league ban after his red card against Villarreal, and Thibaut Courtois is a doubt with illness. The bookmakers make Madrid 1.22 to win, with the draw at 6.50 and Racing at 10.00. I’m not interested in the away price, and I’d look at the goals market instead.
Racing Santander: unbeaten at El Sardinero, but no clean sheet there and Salinas suspended 
Jose Alberto Lopez’s side came from behind to beat Espanyol 2-1 on Saturday. Edu Exposito put the visitors ahead on 62 minutes, Belocian levelled seven minutes later from a Sergio Canales pass, and Yassir Zabiri won it on 84.
That goal took Zabiri to eight in the league, more than half of Racing’s total of 15. He scored both in the 2-1 win over Alaves in September, and he’s the one player in this squad Madrid’s centre-backs will have to track for the full 90 minutes.
Five home games have brought 11 goals for and eight against. The 2-2 draw with Valencia on 11 October fits the pattern, and so does the Espanyol game, where Racing conceded first and still won. They don’t sit back at El Sardinero, and they’ve paid for it every week at the other end.
Jorge Salinas misses this one after picking up his fifth booking in stoppage time against Espanyol. Simon Eriksson is out with a shoulder injury, while Matteo Prati, who went off with discomfort on Saturday, is expected to be available.
Racing also have a Copa del Rey tie at Ribadesella on Thursday night, three days before Madrid arrive. Their away record is the worst part of their season, but it has no bearing on Sunday: in Santander they haven’t lost a league game since promotion.
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Real Madrid: five wins in a row, but both league defeats came on the road 
Madrid’s away league record reads three wins and two defeats from five games, one of them 2-1 at Atletico in September. They’ve averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from the Bernabeu, which isn’t the record of a side that shuts games down on the road.
Mbappe has 11 league goals. He scored twice against Sevilla, once against Leipzig and twice at Barcelona, where his first came off a Gerard Martin clearance. Yan Diomande has scored in three of the last five games, including the only goal against Villarreal and late goals against Sevilla and Leipzig.
The squad is thinner than the results suggest. Vinicius has already missed the Sevilla and Barcelona games and Racing is the third match of his ban. Ferland Mendy and Rodrygo are out until December, Raul Asencio broke his tibia and won’t be back before January, and if Courtois doesn’t recover, Andriy Lunin starts in goal.
The defence has leaked goals during the winning run. Roma scored three against Madrid in the Champions League, and Sevilla, Leipzig and Barcelona each scored once. Only Villarreal, on 10 October, failed to score in the last five matches.
Eder Militao returned from hamstring surgery on 18 October, which gives Mourinho another option at the back. Madrid then travel to AEK Athens on Wednesday 4 November in the Champions League, so some rotation on Sunday wouldn’t be a surprise.
Probable lineup Racing Santander: Not announced at time of publication (Salinas suspended, Eriksson injured)
Probable lineup Real Madrid: Lunin; Valverde, Konate, Huijsen, Cucurella; Tchouameni, Bernardo Silva; Diomande, Bellingham, Guler; Mbappe
Free La Liga Prediction: Racing Santander vs Real Madrid
Our prediction: Both teams to score @ 1.50
Racing have scored 11 goals in five home league games and haven’t lost one of them. Madrid have conceded in four of their last five matches and have let in 1.4 goals per game away from home, and Zabiri, with eight league goals, gives the hosts a finisher who doesn’t need many chances.
The obvious risk is Racing drawing a blank, as they did at Osasuna, against a Madrid side that might control the ball for long spells. But every visitor to El Sardinero has scored this season, Racing have still scored 11 in those five games, and Madrid’s back line is missing Mendy and Asencio and may be missing Courtois too.
I’d expect Madrid to win, and the 1.22 says the market agrees. Both teams to score at 1.50 is the better bet, because it only needs one goal from a home side averaging more than two a game at El Sardinero.
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