- 1 Qatar vs Australia: 0.6 goals a game for the hosts, one away goal in four for the visitors
- 2 Qatar: 120 goalless minutes in their last game, and ten conceded at the World Cup
- 3 Australia: Irankunda’s goals, and a side that led Brazil 2-1 before losing 4-2
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Qatar vs Australia
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
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- 10 Legal age
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Qatar vs Australia: 0.6 goals a game for the hosts, one away goal in four for the visitors
If you like goals, look away now. Over their last ten matches Qatar have scored 0.6 goals per game, and in half of those ten they didn’t score at all. Australia aren’t much better on their travels, with a single goal from their last four games away from home.
That’s the backdrop to Friday’s friendly in Doha, which kicks off at 14:45 UK time on Friday 13 November. Each side has two games in this window and they start with each other. Australia then move on to Jordan, because for them the whole trip is about preparing for the 2027 Asian Cup.
There’s no pressure of points on anybody, we should say. Qatar’s next competitive fixture is as far away as December 2027, and Australia won’t have one before the Asian Cup late next year.
It’s only a few months since the pair of them were at the World Cup. Qatar came home after the group stage with one point and ten goals conceded. Australia got to the round of 32, as they had at the previous tournament, and it took penalties for Egypt to knock them out.
As for Qatar’s last competitive match, it was that Arabian Gulf Cup semi-final against Saudi Arabia in Jeddah. 0-0 over 120 minutes, and then they lost in the shootout.
You can see where we’re going with this. We think it’ll be a low-scoring afternoon. Australia have two first call-ups to bed in and they’re missing Jackson Irvine and Aiden O’Neill from midfield, which doesn’t sound to us like a side ready to open up away from home.
Qatar: 120 goalless minutes in their last game, and ten conceded at the World Cup 
September and October were all about the Arabian Gulf Cup for Julen Lopetegui’s side. Bahrain beaten 2-0, Yemen 1-0, a draw with the United Arab Emirates. Seven points from the group.
Three goals in the two wins, then. And none in the semi-final, where Saudi Arabia took the shootout after 120 minutes without a goal.
The World Cup was rougher. A draw with Switzerland, a defeat to Canada, another to Bosnia and Herzegovina, 3-1 in Seattle. Ten goals conceded in three games. It was Qatar’s second straight finals, and the first one away from home soil.
Lopetegui has stuck with more or less the Gulf Cup group. The big name missing is goalkeeper Meshaal Barsham. Experience isn’t a problem: Hassan Al-Haydos, Akram Afif, Boualem Khoukhi, Karim Boudiaf, Almoez Ali and Pedro Miguel are all past 110 caps. Al-Haydos is closing in on 200.
Ali has 61 goals in 132 internationals and is expected to lead the line, with Afif and Al-Haydos either side of him. Abunada is the probable goalkeeper behind a back four of Al-Oui, Khoukhi, Miguel and Ahmed.
Over their last ten matches Qatar have failed to score five times. Lopetegui’s side kept clean sheets in both Gulf Cup wins and in the semi-final.
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Australia: Irankunda’s goals, and a side that led Brazil 2-1 before losing 4-2 
Australia went through their World Cup group with four points, beating Turkey 2-0, losing 2-0 to the USA and drawing with Paraguay. In the round of 32 they drew with Egypt, their goal coming from an own goal, and went out on penalties.
Tony Popovic’s side then hosted Brazil twice in September. The first game finished 1-1, Nestory Irankunda scoring before Rayan equalised in injury time. In the second, Australia led 2-1 in the first half through Alessandro Circati and Connor Metcalfe and lost 4-2.
Irankunda is 20, plays for Sporting CP and already has seven goals in 21 caps. Kusini Yengi has seven in 11 and is expected to start through the middle.
Jackson Irvine and Aiden O’Neill aren’t in the squad, and Alex Robertson wasn’t called up. Sam Klein and Thomas Waddingham have received their first call-ups.
Patrick Beach continues in goal. Circati, Harry Souttar and Herrington are the probable back three, with Italiano and Behich at wing-back either side of Metcalfe and McGree.
Away from home, Australia have scored once in their last four matches. All three of their goals against Brazil came at home.
Probable lineup Qatar: Abunada; Al-Oui, Khoukhi, Miguel, Ahmed; Boudiaf, Madibo, Fathy; Al-Haydos, Ali, Afif
Probable lineup Australia: Beach; Circati, Souttar, Herrington; Italiano, Metcalfe, McGree, Behich; Younis, Yengi, Irankunda
Free Football Prediction: Qatar vs Australia
Our prediction: Under 2.5 goals (around 1.67)
We’re backing under 2.5 goals. Qatar have failed to score in five of their last ten games, their last match ended 0-0 after 120 minutes, and Australia have scored once in their last four away games.
The argument for goals is the defending: Australia conceded four to Brazil and Qatar let in ten at the World Cup. Neither attack here is Brazil’s, though, and Qatar kept clean sheets in both Gulf Cup wins and in the semi-final.
A first friendly of the window, with new faces in the Australia squad and nothing at stake in the standings, points to a slow game. A 1-0 or a 1-1 is the result we’d expect in Doha.
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