- 1 Colombia vs Chile: seven years since Chile last won, and a first home game in Cali since the summer
- 2 Colombia: 0.4 goals conceded per game, but no Luis Diaz or Richard Rios
- 3 Chile: an interim coach, a younger squad and 1.83 goals conceded per away game
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Colombia vs Chile
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Colombia vs Chile: seven years since Chile last won, and a first home game in Cali since the summer
Chile haven’t beaten Colombia for seven years. In the last eight meetings Colombia have won twice and the other six have been draws, four of them goalless.
The latest finished 4-0 to Colombia in World Cup qualifying in October 2024. Friday’s friendly is at the Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero in Cali, with kick-off at 00:00 UK time, which is Friday evening in Colombia.
It’s Colombia’s first game on home soil since the earthquake that struck Cali in the summer and killed more than 300 people. More than 30,000 fans are expected inside the stadium, with over 4,000 travelling supporters.
Colombia’s three games since the World Cup were all played in the United States. At the tournament they beat Uzbekistan, DR Congo and Ghana and drew 0-0 with Portugal before Switzerland knocked them out on penalties in the last 16.
Chile arrive under an interim coach, Nicolas Cordova, who is reportedly approaching his last window in charge. In their most recent international break they lost to Canada and the USA before beating Mexico 2-0.
The sides meet again on Tuesday 17 November, with Chile at home. For this first game, Colombia’s home defensive record is where we start.
Colombia: 0.4 goals conceded per game, but no Luis Diaz or Richard Rios 
Colombia have conceded 0.4 goals per game over their last ten matches and kept six clean sheets. At home the average drops to 0.29, with clean sheets in five of their last seven home games.
Nestor Lorenzo is without Luis Diaz and Richard Rios, both injured. Jaminton Campaz withdrew on Sunday with muscle discomfort picked up playing for Rosario Central, and Oscar Cortes, a regular starter at Huracan, has taken his place.
James Rodriguez has retired from international football, and Lorenzo is now building towards the 2028 Copa America. Colombia reached the final of the last edition and lost to Argentina.
He’s called up several uncapped players: Juan David Arizala, Devis Vasquez, Camilo Mena and Daniel Mosquera. With Diaz and Rios missing, some of them could get minutes on Friday.
At the back, no surprises. Davinson Sanchez and Jhon Lucumi should be the centre-backs. Munoz and Velasquez go at full-back, and Jefferson Lerma sits in front with Puerta.
Goals at home? Not many. Colombia’s last seven home games? 1.57 goals on average, both sides combined. Five wins, a draw and one defeat in that run.
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Chile: an interim coach, a younger squad and 1.83 goals conceded per away game 
Cordova is 47 and he’s gone young. Very young. No Alexis Sanchez, no Arturo Vidal, no Eduardo Vargas, none of them are in his plans.
Has it worked? Sort of. Chile’s last six friendlies read one win, one draw and four defeats, the win being the 2-0 against Mexico, and the USA beat them 4-2 in late September.
Away from home they’ve conceded 1.83 goals per game across their last six. Ask Cesar Perez. The midfielder said it out loud the other day, the team is starting to find an identity under Cordova.
Problem is, there’s hardly anyone left at the back. Benjamin Kuscevic sprained his right ankle. Paulo Diaz got hurt in training on Tuesday and he’s a doubt. At least Guillermo Maripan is back. He’d been left out of earlier squads.
Marcelino Nunez, Matias Sepulveda and Marcelo Morales aren’t in the 26-man squad. Vigouroux is the probable goalkeeper.
Chile haven’t scored more than twice against Colombia in any of the last eight meetings, and they’ve failed to score in five of them.
Probable lineup Colombia: Vargas; Munoz, Sanchez, Lucumi, Velasquez; Puerta, Lerma; Asprilla, Arias, Perea; Suarez
Probable lineup Chile: Vigouroux; Suazo, Villagra, Roman, Ulloa; Pizarro, Loyola, Osorio; Tapia, Gutierrez, Diaz
Free Football Prediction: Colombia vs Chile
Our prediction: Colombia to keep a clean sheet (around 1.83)
So here’s our bet: Colombia to keep a clean sheet. Chile have failed to score in five of their last eight meetings with Colombia, and Colombia have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven home games.
Why? Look at Chile going forward, not Chile at the back. No Sanchez. No Vidal. No Vargas. Four defeats in six friendlies. Regular goals away from home just aren’t there yet.
What could go wrong? Rotation. Lorenzo wants a look at his debutants, that much is likely. And Chile did put two past the USA in September. But Sanchez and Lucumi are expected to start, and with those two in there we back Colombia to keep Chile out.
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