- 1 PSV vs Willem II: a 6-1 home defeat, a new manager and a trip to Eindhoven
- 2 PSV: Til and Mijnans carry the goals, with a long list of absentees
- 3 Willem II: 32 conceded in ten games, and no clean sheet in ten
- 4 Free Football Prediction: PSV vs Willem II
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
PSV vs Willem II: a 6-1 home defeat, a new manager and a trip to Eindhoven 
Willem II lost 6-1 at home to Cambuur on 24 October. Four days later the club appointed Jurgen Streppel until the end of the season, and his first league match in charge is away at PSV on Saturday 31 October, kick-off 17:45 UK time at the Philips Stadion.
The context explains why the board moved so quickly. John Stegeman was dismissed on 20 October, Adrie Koster took the side for the Cambuur game as interim, and the result left Willem II bottom of the Eredivisie with two points from ten matches. They’re the only side in the division without a league win.
The goal columns tell the same story in sharper detail. Willem II have scored 10 and conceded 32, a goal difference of minus 22 after ten rounds, and most of the defeats haven’t been narrow ones: 5-1 at Ajax, 3-1 at Utrecht and then the six at home.
PSV sit third on 20 points, level with AZ and FC Twente, and four behind leaders Feyenoord. Peter Bosz’s side have scored 28 and let in 13, and they’re coming off a 1-1 draw with Feyenoord last Sunday in which they created 2.03 expected goals.
The head-to-head points in one direction too. PSV have won 14 of the last 20 meetings, and 15 of those 20 games produced at least three goals. Willem II’s last league win over PSV was 2-1 in Tilburg on 25 September 2021, and they’ve taken a single point from the three league meetings since.
So the question here isn’t really who wins. It’s whether PSV win by enough, and I think the numbers on both sides say they will.
PSV: Til and Mijnans carry the goals, with a long list of absentees 
Guus Til has six league goals and Sven Mijnans five, which makes them PSV’s two leading scorers. Mijnans missed the Feyenoord game through suspension and is available again, and that matters because the probable side uses him as the furthest player forward.
The reason he’s playing there is the injury list. Ricardo Pepi is doubtful, Sam Lammers isn’t ready, Alassane Plea is out for the rest of the calendar year, and Paul Wanner and Adamo Nagalo are both unavailable. Jerdy Schouten’s knee injury will keep him out for around nine months.
That’s a lot of the squad missing, and it explains some uneven results. PSV lost 2-1 at ADO Den Haag on 17 October, against a side now 17th, and they were beaten 3-2 at Twente on 20 September. Both defeats came away from home.
At the Philips Stadion the picture changes. Over their last ten matches in all competitions, PSV have conceded 0.75 goals per home game, and they haven’t failed to score at home in that run. They beat Heerenveen 2-0 on 9 October and Sparta 4-1 before that.
The squad has also shown it can win big games while short-handed. PSV won 3-1 at Ajax in the league, and on 20 October they beat Porto 1-0 in Portugal in the Champions League, three days after the defeat in The Hague.
Ivan Perisic and Ruben van Bommel are the two wide players expected to start either side of Til. Kostic and Kiliann Sildillia are listed as doubts, so Bosz may have to reshape the left side of his defence.
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Willem II: 32 conceded in ten games, and no clean sheet in ten 
Willem II haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last ten matches, and away from home they’ve conceded 3.00 goals per game across that run. That’s the starting point for any assessment of their chances in Eindhoven.
Their only win of the season came in the cup. On 27 October they won 4-3 at Helmond Sport, and Tonny Vilhena scored, as he had in the 3-2 defeat at Sparta ten days earlier. Even that night they let in three.
The win came at a cost. Jaden Slory was sent off at Helmond and is expected to miss Saturday’s game, which removes one of the few attacking options Streppel inherited.
The rest of the treatment room doesn’t help. Amine Lachkar hasn’t played since July because of a groin injury, Justin Hoogma has a knee problem, and one team-news report also lists goalkeeper Didillon-Hodl with a hamstring issue, which would leave Streppel choosing between back-up keepers.
There are small positives. Anass Zarrouk scored off the bench recently and is pushing for a start, Devin Haen leads the line, and the 1-1 at AZ in September showed this squad can hold a strong side on a good day. The last meeting with PSV, on 8 February 2025, also finished 1-1, with Mickael Tirpan equalising for Willem II after Noa Lang had scored.
Those are the exceptions, though. Willem II have lost eight of ten league games, three of them by three goals or more: 3-0 at home to Excelsior on 5 September, 5-1 at Ajax and 6-1 against Cambuur.
Probable lineup PSV: Kovar; Dest, Obispo, Geertruida, Kostic; Mauro Junior, Sano; Perisic, Til, Van Bommel; Mijnans
Probable lineup Willem II: Didillon-Hodl; Ter Avest, Stam, Dekker, Tjoe-A-On; Twigt, Vilhena; Zarrouk, Van Aalst, Van Crooij; Haen
Free Football Prediction: PSV vs Willem II
Our prediction: PSV -2.5 Asian handicap at 1.55
PSV’s home record over the last ten matches is 2.00 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game, and Willem II arrive having conceded 3.00 per away game in the same span. Put those side by side and a three-goal winning margin is a reasonable expectation.
The argument against is PSV’s injury list, which has cost them points at ADO Den Haag and Twente, and the possibility of a new-manager reaction under Streppel. I’d weigh that less than the defensive record, because Willem II’s problem has been conceding in volume regardless of who’s been in the dugout.
With Mijnans back, Til in form and a head-to-head in which 15 of the last 20 meetings had three goals or more, I’m backing PSV to win by at least three. PSV -2.5 on the Asian handicap at 1.55 is the pick.
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