Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm – WNBA Prediction – June 20, 2026

Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm: this one could stay tight

Phoenix and Seattle come into this one in shaky shape. The Mercury have won just two of their last 10, while the Storm have had a hard time whenever they leave home. In that context, the main job will be keeping mistakes down and staying in touch, not trying to turn it into a track meet.

The last meeting between the sides, played early in the month, was a cagey one too. Seattle came out on top 72-68 in a game where neither team could find any real rhythm.

Phoenix Mercury: looking for a spark

Phoenix’s recent results do not make pretty reading, but they are usually more competitive at home. The Mercury tend to bounce between strong spells and rough patches, which makes them a pretty erratic watch.

When they fall behind, games usually tighten up rather than open out. Phoenix prefer to slow the pace and hang around until the closing minutes.

Seattle Storm: road trips rarely catch fire

Seattle have not travelled well this season. With just one win in their last 10 away games, the Storm have struggled to stamp their authority on games outside their own building. These road trips often turn into close, scrappy affairs, with plenty of contested possessions and very few real scoring runs.

Even when Seattle do edge clear, the margins are usually small. This matchup between Phoenix and Seattle looks a lot like the first meeting between the two sides, where every basket carried weight.

WNBA Prediction : Phoenix Mercury vs Seattle Storm

Under 165,5 points in the game

The last few weeks have exposed both teams’ offensive limits, especially when Seattle are on the road. Their meeting on 4 June finished with just 140 points, nowhere near the line on offer. Neither Phoenix nor Seattle arrive with enough confidence to suggest this turns into an all-out shootout. The likelier script is a cautious one.

With both sides more focused on stopping the rot than putting on a show, a game played at a controlled pace looks very much on the cards. Under 165,5 points still has real value.

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