- 1 Oxford City vs Leicester City: nine goals in the cup run meet a defence that keeps conceding
- 2 Oxford City: second in National League North, with Marsh on nine goals
- 3 Leicester City: eight straight games with three goals or more, and a rotated team
- 4 Free Football Prediction: Oxford City vs Leicester City
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Oxford City vs Leicester City: nine goals in the cup run meet a defence that keeps conceding 
Oxford City have scored nine goals and conceded one on their way to the FA Cup first round, including a 6-1 win over Enfield Town and a 1-0 win at Torquay. Leicester City, the 2021 winners, are the visitors at Marsh Lane on Friday 6 November, kick-off 19:45 UK time.
The match was moved from Saturday and goes out live on TNT Sports and HBO Max. Oxford City have reached the second round only three times, in 1969-70, 2017-18 and 2020-21, and they play in the National League North, three tiers below Leicester.
This is Leicester’s first appearance in the first round since 2008. Russell Martin’s side are 10th in League One with 19 points from 13 games, nine behind leaders Huddersfield.
Every one of Leicester’s last eight matches has produced three goals or more. They’ve scored 22 and conceded 19 in the league, and Stevenage took a 2-2 draw away at Leicester on 31 October, with Braybrooke scoring after two minutes and Doyle on 66.
Leicester are around 1.33 to win, Oxford City about 7.00 and the draw 5.50, a price too short for us to back. Both teams to score at 1.80 is the market we prefer, given how Leicester’s games have gone and how much they’re likely to change their side.
Oxford City: second in National League North, with Marsh on nine goals 
Ross Jenkins’ side are second in the sixth tier with 27 points from 14 games, two behind South Shields. Their record of eight wins, three draws and three defeats comes with a goal difference of plus 15.
South Shields beat them 3-1 at Marsh Lane on 31 October, with Ashby scoring Oxford’s goal. Three days before that they’d beaten Merthyr 3-0 at home, and they drew 1-1 at Marine on 24 October, so their last three league games have produced nine goals.
Marsh has nine goals this season and Pollock six, with Ashby on three. Pollock also scored the winner at Torquay on 17 October, the result that sent Oxford through to this round after a 2-0 win at Dorchester on 19 September and the 6-1 against Enfield Town on 3 October. They also won 3-0 at Hebburn in the league on 10 October.
Oxford have won three of their last seven at home, a modest record for a side so high in its division, and no injuries were reported this week. Forestieri and Matty Taylor are likely to start on the bench.
The likely team has Maxted in goal, a back four of Nelson, Francillette, Carroll and Humphries, and Tetek and Ashby in midfield behind Bateman, Pollock and Brown, with Marsh up front.
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Leicester City: eight straight games with three goals or more, and a rotated team 
Leicester’s last four league games read 2-2 with Stevenage, 3-0 against Wigan, 2-1 at Luton and 4-0 at Bromley. They also lost 2-1 at Stevenage in the EFL Trophy on 6 October and 3-1 at home to Peterborough four days later.
Riis has six goals since joining from Bristol City on 1 September, and Lundstram, who arrived from Trabzonspor the same day, has three, as does Cullen. Alves and Doyle have two each, and Doyle scored again against Stevenage.
Martin is expected to rotate, with Louis Page likely to be rested and 19-year-old Kangasniemi, signed from Inter Turku on 26 August, set to start at centre-back alongside Souttar. Jakub Stolarczyk and Ben Nelson are both out, which leaves the goalkeeping place between McCarthy and Ravizzoli.
Chaplin is set to start in the attacking midfield role, and the wide places could go to Howell and Watson, both on loan from Brighton since August. Howell arrived on 13 August and Watson on 1 August. Bristric, signed from Olimpija Ljubljana on 11 August, could lead the line. Mavididi and Skipp both left on loan on 1 September, to Watford and Charlton, and Choudhury joined Sheffield United on 31 August.
The home and away split of three wins, a draw and three defeats at home against two wins, three draws and one defeat away shows a side more reliable on the road. Southampton knocked them out 2-1 on 14 February in last season’s competition.
Probable lineup Oxford City: Maxted; Nelson, Francillette, Carroll, Humphries; Tetek, Ashby; Bateman, Pollock, Brown; Marsh
Probable lineup Leicester City: McCarthy; Aluko, Souttar, Kangasniemi, Thomas; Lundstram, Neale; Howell, Chaplin, Watson; Bristric
Free Football Prediction: Oxford City vs Leicester City
Our prediction: Both teams to score @ 1.80
Leicester’s last eight matches have all had at least three goals, they’ve conceded 19 in 13 league games, and they’ll line up with a 19-year-old centre-back and a changed defence. Oxford City have nine goals in the cup, and Marsh and Pollock have 15 between them.
The risk is a cleaner Leicester performance in which their quality keeps Oxford out, as it did against Wigan and Bromley.
We expect Leicester to win, and at around 1.33 that price offers nothing. Both teams to score at 1.80 is the bet, with the price ranging from 1.68 to 1.83 across the market. Over 2.5 goals is around 1.48, and the under is 2.50.
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