Search Icon
Norway vs Denmark - Free Nations League Prediction - September 24, 2026

Norway vs Denmark – Free Nations League Prediction – September 24, 2026

Norway vs Denmark: a World Cup quarter-finalist meets a side that never even got off the platform Nations League

Norway reached the last eight of a major tournament for the first time in its history this summer. Denmark, by contrast, did not even make the finals of that World Cup.

That gap in momentum is the obvious place to start with this fixture. Two Scandinavian neighbours, two summers heading in opposite directions, and an opening Nations League test to get through.

Kick-off is set for Thursday, 24 September at 20:45 Paris time, at Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo. It is the first match in Group 4 of League A, with Portugal and Wales also in the section.

The two sides had never met in this competition before. They will meet again on 17 November, this time in Denmark.

Norway’s World Cup run deserves a proper look. Second in its group behind France, Stale Solbakken’s side beat Ivory Coast, then stunned Brazil 2-1.

The journey ended against England, who won 2-1 after extra time in a match Norway felt hard done by. The team left the tournament with regret, not inferiority.

Denmark had a very different summer. Second in Group C of qualifying, Brian Riemer’s side lost the play-off final to the Czech Republic on penalties.

That result ended a run of two straight appearances at the finals. It also left a squad that has not played a meaningful match since March.

Add in Erling Haaland’s form and the setting in Oslo, and this one points in a fairly clear direction. The question is whether Denmark can keep the damage down for long against Norway’s attacking firepower.

Norway: Haaland, Odegaard and a generation that beat Brazil Norway

Norway went to its first World Cup since 1998 this summer. It came back with a quarter-final place, a loss to England and a completely different level of respect.

Erling Haaland carried the side throughout. The Manchester City striker was decisive in the 4-1 win over Iraq, then hit a brace in the 3-2 victory over Senegal that sealed qualification.

He did it again in the next round, scoring four minutes from time against Ivory Coast just as the Elephants had clawed their way back on top. That knack for timing has become this team’s calling card.

Martin Odegaard remains the brain of the operation. The captain gives this side the structure and control it lacked only a few years ago, and he is far more than just Haaland’s provider.

Solbakken also has far more attacking options than before. Jorgen Strand Larsen, Antonio Nusa and Andreas Schjelderup add threat, with Fredrik Aursnes bringing balance in midfield.

Nusa even opened the scoring against Ivory Coast, a reminder that the danger does not come only through the No 9. That is exactly why Norway is so hard to shut down over 90 minutes.

The real edge here is the context. Playing in Oslo, in front of fans who have just watched their team reach a World Cup quarter-final, against opponents who missed the same tournament: not many starts to a campaign look better than that.

$0.99
7-day trial
Full Pro access.
Try it for $0.99.
Picks · Injury reports · Trends · Tools · No ads — no commitment

Denmark: a reshaped squad and a painful absence Denmark

Brian Riemer has named 24 players for this September and October window. The squad makes it clear Denmark is trying to reset after the play-off failure.

The biggest absence is not tactical. Christian Eriksen, 34, is not in the squad after the health scare he suffered in the second half of the match against Ukraine on 7 June.

The midfielder is continuing his rehab in Denmark and his future in the game remains uncertain. So Denmark moves on without its most experienced technical reference point.

Riemer has turned to players in form abroad. Mads Bidstrup, who moved from Salzburg to Lyon, is described by the coach as a real engine, strong in winning the ball back.

Albert Gronbaek also comes into the group after a steady start to the season with Hamburg. Thomas Jorgensen adds to the rebuilt midfield, while Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg and Morten Hjulmand provide the experience.

Two fitness doubts hang over the camp. Alexander Bah still needs to shake off a knock, and Victor Froholdt suffered a concussion during a Porto match in early September.

Up front, Rasmus Hojlund is joined by Kasper Dolberg, Adam Daghim and Kasper Hogh. The talent is there, but the combinations still need work, and that is a serious drawback for a first trip of this level.

Expected Norway line-up: Not released at time of publication.
Expected Denmark line-up: Not released at time of publication.

Football prediction Norway vs Denmark

Our prediction: Norway to win

The clearest case for Norway is its attacking output this summer. Four against Iraq, three against Senegal, two against Brazil: this side scored against every type of opponent it faced.

Denmark arrives with a completely rebuilt midfield and no Eriksen, which removes its main technical anchor. The fitness doubts around Bah and Froholdt do not help the preparation either.

The venue tips things even further. Norway is at Ullevaal Stadion with a squad fresh from a World Cup quarter-final, facing a team that has not played a knockout-style game since its penalty shootout loss to the Czech Republic.

The call is straightforward. Norway win this one in Oslo.

MathODDS App
Your picks,
in your pocket.
Predictions · Trends · Tools · Injury reports
Real-time notifications & alerts
★★★★★

_________

First, a word on our free predictions

  • What we publish on mathodds is analysis, nothing more. We offer an opinion, a read on the moment, but never a guarantee. Sport is what it is: unpredictable. A red card, an injury, a goal from nowhere… and the script changes completely.
  • Let us be clear: there is no risk-free bet. Even when something looks obvious, nothing really is. And yes, that means you can lose. In fact, you will at some point.
  • The best approach is to stay sensible. Bet small, set a budget and stick to it. Above all, do not touch money you need for everyday life. And never chase losses, because that rarely ends well.
  • A bet should stay a game, not a job or an income stream. If you feel it is taking up too much space in your life, getting on your nerves or putting you under pressure, take a break. And if needed, speak to a specialist support group. That is what they are there for.
  • In the end, responsibility sits with you. Reading our content means accepting that risk exists and will never go away, even with the best analysis in the world.
  • Key reminder: betting is illegal for minors and must follow the law in your country. Gambling can spiral fast (money losses, family tension, addiction). Need Help? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. In the UK? Visit https://www.gambleaware.org/https://www.gambleaware.org/.

No commitment from us

Our predictions are not a contract. They have no legal force. In plain English: you cannot use them to demand compensation if a bet loses.

Information can change

A prediction is always based on what we know when it is written. But between then and kick-off, a team sheet changes (like Norway’s, for example), a player gets injured, the weather turns… and the analysis can quickly become outdated. We cannot be held responsible for that.

Your role

Before you bet, make sure wagering is legal where you are. If it is not, that is your responsibility, not ours.

Responsible gambling first

We cannot say it enough: bet in moderation. If you are struggling to keep control, do not wait to get help. We cannot be responsible for compulsive or excessive use of the information published on the site.

Legal age

mathodds content is for adults only. By using this site, you confirm that you are old enough to bet under the law.

About the images…

The Norway and Denmark images and logos on mathodds, including those linked to the Nations League, are there purely to illustrate our articles. They do not mean we have any official link with a federation or sports organisation, and we make no claim to any rights over them.

Those rights belong to the original creators. If, despite our care, any image causes a problem, contact us: it will be removed without delay.

Our only aim with these images is to make the reading experience better. Nothing more. No commercial gain, no taking credit for someone else’s work.

Author

  • MathODDS logo

    The MathODDS editorial team brings together passionate experts in sports, statistics, and sports betting.

    Every day, our team breaks down the latest news, odds, and trends to deliver reliable analysis, well-argued predictions, and advice tailored to both beginner and experienced bettors.


Comments

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *