- 1 Newcastle United vs Hull City : 76 shots faced in four games, the stat that sums up the fixture
- 2 Newcastle United : a defence that still has not fixed its flaws
- 3 Hull City : three clean sheets and no defeats for the promoted side
- 4 Premier League prediction Newcastle United vs Hull City
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information that changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Newcastle United vs Hull City : 76 shots faced in four games, the stat that sums up the fixture 
Newcastle United have already faced 76 shots since the Premier League got underway. No other club in the division has come under that much pressure across the first four rounds.
That works out at 19 attempts against per game. It sets the tone for Hull City’s visit to St James’ Park on Saturday 19 September at 16:00.
Ten years after their last official meeting, a League Cup quarter-final Newcastle lost on penalties in November 2016, Magpies and Tigers meet again this Saturday 19 September at 16:00. It is a clash of opposite trajectories, though the newly promoted side arrive in rude health and sitting an impressive fourth.
The key points:
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Promoted and acting like it: With 8 points from a possible 12, Hull City have made a near-unheard-of start for a newcomer to the Premier League, brushing close to the historic openings enjoyed by Forest (1994-95) and Bolton (2001-02).
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2016 still matters: The rarity of this meeting tells the story of a decade of crossed paths. Newcastle will want revenge for the last knockout showdown and a bit of payback while they are at it.
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The North East test: At St. James’ Park, Eddie Howe’s side have the awkward job of breaking down a promoted team full of belief and ready to pull off another upset.
Matthias Jaissle is coming off his first real setback since taking charge. The 4-1 defeat at Elland Road ended a five-match unbeaten run in all competitions.
The German manager made no excuses after the loss, talking about a learning curve that needs speeding up and a clear lack of bite in the duels. The language tells the story better than the scoreline.
Hull City, meanwhile, return from Stamford Bridge with a point and a Mohamed Belloumi brace. The Tigers were 2-1 up before Joao Pedro levelled it in the second half.
The schedule piles on the pressure for the hosts: Newcastle face two promoted sides, Hull and then Coventry, either side of the international break. Drop points in this stretch and September’s numbers start looking ugly.
So the matchup comes down to a clear imbalance: a defence under constant strain against a side that scores just enough and concedes even less. The numbers on both sides point the same way. Newcastle have got a problem.
Newcastle United : a defence that still has not fixed its flaws 
Newcastle have kept only two clean sheets in their last 20 Premier League matches. Across 2026, only Crystal Palace (42 goals) and Chelsea (40) have conceded more than the Magpies’ 39.
This is not a one-off wobble. It has been a running issue for a year. It also explains why the club is stuck in 12th, exactly where it finished last season.
The defeat at Leeds laid the problem bare: not enough control in midfield, lost duels, and a back line that kept getting dragged around in transition. Jaissle openly admitted his side were outmuscled.
The injury list does not help. Anthony Elanga, Jacob Ramsey (thigh), Nico Gonzalez (concussion), Amar Dedic (hamstring), Dan Burn and Ewen Jaouen (ankle), Joelinton (thigh) and William Osula (foot) are all out.
Bazoumana Toure, who scored Newcastle’s consolation at Elland Road, is pushing for a first league start. If he gets the nod, Harvey Barnes would move to the right and Jacob Murphy would drop to the bench.
The midfield is likely to feature 18-year-old Sean Steur and 20-year-old Lewis Miley, unless Joe Willock or Aladji Bamba are preferred. Throwing two players that young into the engine room against an aggressive pressing side is a gamble that is easy to spot.
Tino Livramento and Fabian Schar are pushing for recalls on the right side and at centre-back respectively. Their return would at least bring some badly needed experience to a defence that has looked short on it for weeks.
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Hull City : three clean sheets and no defeats for the promoted side 
Hull City have 8 points after four matches, with two wins and two draws. No promoted club since Portsmouth in 2003-04 has gone five league games unbeaten after coming up.
The run has not exactly been a soft one either: a 2-0 win over Manchester United, a 1-0 victory at Coventry, a hard-earned 0-0 against Aston Villa, then a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge. Four opponents, four positive results.
Mohamed Belloumi has emerged as Sergej Jakirovic’s main attacking threat after his brace against Chelsea. The winger almost dragged the Tigers to a first ever win in London.
The real calling card of this start, though, is at the back, with three clean sheets in four games. That is exactly where Newcastle are weakest.
The catch is the historical angle: a defeat on Saturday would be the 16th in 21 top-flight matches for the club. The gap between a strong start and a slide back is still thin.
On the fitness front, Ilyas Ansah (back), Jack Butland (shoulder), Charlie Hughes and Hidemasa Morita (adductors) are out, along with ineligible duo Elliot Matazo and Darko Gyabi. Nobel Mendy, who suffered a serious head injury against Chelsea, was taken to hospital.
That leaves 19-year-old Lucas Herrington likely to step in at centre-back alongside John Egan and Semi Ajayi. Jakirovic, though, has little reason to touch the rest of his side after four unbeaten results.
Probable Newcastle United line-up: Hornicek ; Livramento, Thiaw, Botman, Hall ; Steur, L. Miley ; Barnes, Fernandez-Pardo, Toure ; Wissa
Probable Hull City line-up: Tzolakis ; Ajayi, Egan, Herrington ; Coyle, Slater, Crooks, Giles ; Belloumi, Stroud ; McBurnie
Premier League prediction Newcastle United vs Hull City
Our prediction: Hull City double chance or draw at Newcastle
Newcastle have never beaten Hull City in the league at St James’ Park: one draw and two defeats from three home meetings, including a 2-2 after being two goals down in September 2014.
Add in the current form and the picture gets even clearer: three clean sheets for the Tigers, while Newcastle have shipped at least two goals in three of their four league games. The defensive edge is firmly with the promoted side.
With a midfield weakened by absences and a back line missing Burn and Dedic, Newcastle go into this one without the tools to bully such a well-drilled unit. Hull City should leave the North East with at least a point.
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