- 1 New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers: a 7-2 home record against a 1-5-1 road team
- 2 New York Rangers: Garand at .905 with Shesterkin and Korpisalo both out
- 3 Philadelphia Flyers: 2.18 goals a game and a road record that has produced one win
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers: a 7-2 home record against a 1-5-1 road team 
Philadelphia has won one of its seven road games this season. New York has won seven of nine at Madison Square Garden, and those two records meet on Thursday 5 November, puck drop 7:00pm ET.
We’d weigh that split above the overall standings, because the Rangers’ 8-7-1 mark blends two very different teams. They’re 7-2-0 at home and 1-5-1 everywhere else, and two of those road defeats came in late October, 7-4 in Ottawa and 5-4 in Toronto.
Both teams played on Tuesday. The Rangers beat St. Louis 3-1 and ended a four-game losing streak in which they’d allowed 22 goals. Philadelphia lost 4-2 at home to Minnesota, two nights after a 6-3 win over Utah.
The Metropolitan Division has the Rangers third with 17 points and the Flyers last with 12, on a 4-9-4 record. Philadelphia’s four wins from 17 games have come with an offense scoring 2.18 goals a game on 23.4 shots, and New York is at 3.00 goals on 25.3 shots.
Special teams widen the gap. The Rangers kill 90.4% of their penalties, and they’ve given up five power-play goals all season. Philadelphia has allowed 11 and converts 16.7% of its own chances.
The market agrees with the home record: New York is priced around 1.61 and Philadelphia around 2.33. The total sits at 5.5 goals, and the Over has hit in eight of the Rangers’ last 10 home games.
New York Rangers: Garand at .905 with Shesterkin and Korpisalo both out 
Igor Shesterkin went 3-1-0 with a 1.79 goals-against average and a .927 save percentage before his right knee put him on long-term injured reserve. Joonas Korpisalo’s foot injury keeps him out until around 9 November.
That leaves Dylan Garand with the job. He’s 5-6-1 with one shutout, a 2.57 goals-against average and a .905 save percentage, and those numbers improved on Tuesday after he allowed one goal to St. Louis. James Reimer has no decisions and a .625 save percentage in his limited work.
Adam Fox runs almost everything from the blue line. He has 19 points, 17 of them assists, the most on the team in both columns. Alexis Lafreniere leads the team with nine goals on 38 shots, and Mika Zibanejad went into this week with 12 points.
The penalty kill has been the most reliable part of this team. New York has allowed five power-play goals all season, so at least 17 of the 22 goals it gave up to Edmonton, Los Angeles, Ottawa and Toronto during the losing streak came with no man advantage.
Sean Durzi has been listed out with an undisclosed problem and carries an estimated return of this game, so his status is one to check at the morning skate. Joe Veleno is out until January and Aidan Thompson until around 13 November, which leaves the Rangers short of two centers.
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Philadelphia Flyers: 2.18 goals a game and a road record that has produced one win 
Matvei Michkov has 10 goals on 27 shots, a 37% conversion rate that we wouldn’t expect any forward to sustain. Trevor Zegras leads the team with 14 points but has four goals of his own.
The 6-3 win over Utah on 1 November showed what this roster can do when several lines score. Noah Cates, Christian Dvorak and Travis Konecny each had a goal and an assist, and the Flyers scored nine goals across their two most recent wins. Tuesday’s 4-2 loss to Minnesota came straight after it.
Before that they lost 5-4 to Anaheim, 4-3 in overtime to Columbus and 5-2 in Washington. Philadelphia allowed 14 goals during that three-game skid, and 3.35 goals against a game is the number holding this team at the bottom of the division.
Neither goalie has separated himself. Dan Vladar is 3-4-2 with a 3.21 goals-against average and an .883 save percentage, and Woll is 1-5-2 at 3.13 and .899. Vladar was the announced starter on Tuesday, so Woll could get this one.
Rasmus Ristolainen’s hand injury keeps him out until around 11 November, and Nikita Grebenkin isn’t due back until February. Michael Bunting and David Jiricek were listed as scratches for Tuesday’s game.
Probable lineup New York Rangers: Not announced at time of publication (Dylan Garand projected in goal)
Probable lineup Philadelphia Flyers: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: New York Rangers vs Philadelphia Flyers
Our prediction: New York Rangers to win (1.61)
We’re taking the Rangers on the moneyline at 1.61. The home split carries the pick: 7-2-0 at Madison Square Garden against a team that’s 1-5-1 away.
Garand’s .905 is the honest concern, and New York has allowed four or more goals in four of its last five games. The numbers still lean heavily one way, because Philadelphia averages 2.18 goals, takes 23.4 shots and now faces a penalty kill at 90.4%.
We’d leave the puck line alone, since two of Philadelphia’s last four defeats came by a single goal. A straight New York win is the bet.
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