- 1 New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers: 0-22 in the fourth quarter, the number that tells the story
- 2 New York Jets: a win built on control
- 3 Green Bay Packers: an injury list that shapes the plan
- 4 NFL Prediction New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers
- 5 First, a quick word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers: 0-22 in the fourth quarter, the number that tells the story 
Green Bay led 22-10 at the start of the fourth quarter in Minneapolis. The Packers finished their opener on a 0-22 run and lost 39-22.
That final stretch cost them more than a result. It exposed a side that couldn’t protect a lead without two of its key men. Josh Jacobs and Micah Parsons had already missed that game.
Both are still out for the trip to East Rutherford. Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley also make the list of absentees announced Wednesday by the franchise.
Across the field, the Jets opened with a 23-10 win in Nashville. New York held the Titans to just 195 total yards on opening Sunday.
Kick-off is set for Sunday, September 20 at 1:00 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium.
Even so, the books still have Green Bay as favourites on the Jets’ turf. The gap between that label and the reality of both rosters is the key angle here.
The most widely cited simulation model makes the Packers 53.4% likely to win, which is about as tight as it gets. A favourite with that little backing from the numbers deserves a close look.
The two teams did not come into the offseason with the same set of problems. Green Bay paid up to keep several core players in place, while the Jets opted for quieter tweaks and defensive continuity.
MetLife Stadium doesn’t often see the Jets go in as underdogs with such a clear edge in form. Yet the standings put New York ahead of its visitors.
This one will be decided in the trenches, where Micah Parsons’ absence is felt most. Without him, Green Bay loses its best weapon for wrecking a passing game.
New York Jets: a win built on control 
The Jets started their season with a 23-10 win at Tennessee. The defense held the Titans to 195 yards and gave up just one touchdown all afternoon.
They did it without Minkah Fitzpatrick for almost the entire game. The safety suffered a groin injury after six snaps and will miss several weeks.
Losing a player of that calibre on opening Sunday could have wrecked the back end. Aaron Glenn’s group held firm to the final whistle, which says plenty about the depth in that room.
Two more names are listed as limited this week: cornerback D’Angelo Ponds, who is dealing with a calf issue, and linebacker Jamien Sherwood, who has a knee problem. Neither has been ruled out at this stage.
Up front, Breece Hall returned after the groin injury he picked up in training on 17 August. His comeback gives the Jets back the runner who can keep drives alive.
Geno Smith didn’t need to force anything in Nashville to chew up valuable time of possession. That kind of controlled, low-risk performance is exactly what New York is trying to repeat.
The kicking job was settled just before the season kicked off, too. Jason Sanders was promoted from the practice squad for the trip to Nashville, with Blake Grupe remaining on the 53-man roster.
That kind of late call shows how seriously the Jets are taking special teams. In a tight game, trust at the kick can be worth a full possession.
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Green Bay Packers: an injury list that shapes the plan 
Green Bay gave up 29 unanswered points to close out its opener. The 22-0 collapse in the fourth quarter turned a comfortable lead into a 39-22 defeat.
Carson Wentz, who came in after Kyler Murray’s concussion, threw three touchdown passes during that stretch. When a defense folds like that against a backup quarterback, there are bigger questions to answer.
Josh Jacobs was already out for that game and remains unavailable this week. The Packers’ run game has lost its main reference point for a second straight week.
Micah Parsons is still missing as well, along with Luke Musgrave and Jordon Riley. Ty’Ron Hopper, Josh Whyle, Brandon Cisse, Warren Brinson and Aaron Banks are all listed as questionable on the injury report.
A list that long in Week 2 leaves Green Bay with very little room to manoeuvre. Planned rotations turn into enforced starts.
The betting trends aren’t much help either: three wins, six losses and one push against the spread in their last ten outings. The total has gone over in seven of those ten games.
Even so, Green Bay did lock down some key pieces this summer. Tucker Kraft signed a four-year, $75 million extension that can rise to $92 million with incentives.
The tight end should be a major target while the run game is missing Josh Jacobs. His work on short routes will be a clear clue to the Packers’ plan.
NFL Prediction New York Jets vs Green Bay Packers
Our pick: New York Jets to win
Green Bay heads to East Rutherford without its top running back and its best pass rusher, after blowing a 0-22 lead in a single quarter. Those two absences matter more in Week 2 than almost anywhere else on the schedule.
The Jets won on the road by controlling the tempo and holding their opponent to 195 yards, even without Minkah Fitzpatrick from the first quarter. Breece Hall’s return gives them the missing piece to keep the ball and shorten the game.
The home underdog tag looks out of place given how these two teams are trending. The Jets should get it done at MetLife Stadium.
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