- 1 Monza vs Cagliari: Pisacane in the stands, and a club record within reach
- 2 Monza: Varela’s four goals and a defence conceding 2.5 a game
- 3 Cagliari: three away wins, three goals conceded all season
- 4 Free Serie A Prediction: Monza vs Cagliari
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Monza vs Cagliari: Pisacane in the stands, and a club record within reach 
Fabio Pisacane won’t be on the touchline at the U-Power Stadium on Monday. The Cagliari head coach is serving a touchline ban after a flare-up with Luciano Spalletti, so his side will try to equal a club record without him in the technical area.
The record is five consecutive away wins. Cagliari have won 1-0 at Parma, 2-1 at Atalanta and 1-0 at Udinese this season, and a fifth straight away victory across the two campaigns would match the best run in the club’s history.
Kick-off is 17:30 UK time on Monday 19 October, closing Gameweek 7. Cagliari are on 13 points from six games, within three of joint leaders Inter and Lazio. Monza have four points and sit nine behind them.
The defensive gap between the two is enormous. Cagliari have conceded three Serie A goals all season. Monza have conceded 15, an average of two and a half per game, and they let in three at Lazio last time out.
The head-to-head is short and favours the visitors. In four meetings across Monza’s last two top-flight seasons, Cagliari won 2-1 in Monza in January 2025 and 3-0 at home in March 2025. Monza’s only win came 1-0 in March 2024.
Monday’s game also has a personal edge for one Cagliari player. Daniel Maldini scored seven league goals in 31 games for Monza, and he’s started this season with four for Cagliari, level with Monza’s top scorer Gustavo Varela.
And yet the bookmakers make Monza favourites: 2.38 for the home win, 3.00 for the draw and 3.00 for Cagliari. I think that’s the wrong way round.
Monza: Varela’s four goals and a defence conceding 2.5 a game 
Ivan Juric’s side have one league win since promotion, 2-1 against Sassuolo before the break. Everything else has been a defeat or a draw: 4-1 at Inter, 3-2 at home to Udinese, 1-1 at Parma, 3-2 at Lecce and 3-1 at Lazio.
The pattern is consistent. Monza score, then concede more. They’ve found the net in every league game, yet they’ve conceded at least three in four of their six.
Varela is the reason they’ve got goals at all. He has four Serie A goals, including both against Sassuolo, and he’ll lead the line again with Ngonge and Robinson behind him.
The absences hit the back line. Lorenzo Lucchesi is suspended, Jan Ziolkowski has a foot injury, and captain Matteo Pessina is still out with a knee problem. Idrissa Toure and Patrick Ciurria are closer to returning but may not be ready for Monday.
Without Lucchesi, Juric is expected to use Kouadio, Goglichidze and Carboni in the back three, in front of Tornqvist.
Folorunsho and Akinsanmiro will start in midfield again, with Birindelli and Mangas providing the width. Birindelli had two assists and Mangas a goal and two assists by the international break, so a lot of Monza’s threat comes from those two flanks feeding Varela. When both wing-backs push on, the back three is left to deal with any counter on its own.
The home record offers little comfort. Monza have played two league games at the U-Power Stadium, won one and lost one, scoring four and conceding four.
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Cagliari: three away wins, three goals conceded all season 
Cagliari’s results read like a side built to win 1-0. Their six league games: 1-0 at Parma, 1-0 defeat at home to Inter, 1-0 against Lecce, 2-1 at Atalanta, 1-0 at Udinese and 1-1 with Juventus.
No game has been decided by more than a goal. They’ve scored six and conceded three, and the only side to beat them in the league was Inter.
Maldini is the man in form. He has four goals for Cagliari this season, including the winner at Udinese, and he’ll play just behind Mendy with Fazzini alongside him.
Pisacane has a few bodies back. Kevin Carlos and Alessandro Deiola have returned from injury, although both are still listed as doubts. Mattia Felici, Yael Trepy and Riyad Idrissi remain out.
The one blemish is a 2-1 Coppa Italia defeat to Hellas Verona. It hasn’t carried over into the league, where Cagliari are unbeaten in four, with three wins and the draw against Juventus. Before that run, their only league defeat was a 1-0 home loss to Inter.
Caprile, Mina and Rodriguez form the spine of the meanest defence in Serie A, with Adopo and Harry Winks screening them. Three of their four league wins have been 1-0.
Probable lineup Monza: Tornqvist; Kouadio, Goglichidze, Carboni; Birindelli, Akinsanmiro, Folorunsho, Mangas; Ngonge, Robinson; Varela
Probable lineup Cagliari: Caprile; Pedro, Mina, Rodriguez, Obert; Adopo, Winks, Romano; Fazzini, Maldini; Mendy
Free Serie A Prediction: Monza vs Cagliari
Our prediction: Cagliari to win @ 3.00
Cagliari have conceded three league goals in six games. Monza have conceded 15. The visitors have won all three of their league away games, and Monza are missing Lucchesi and Pessina. A price of 3.00 on the side that is nine points clear seems generous to me.
The risk is the margin. Cagliari win narrowly, and a single Varela goal could turn this into a draw. But Monza have conceded three or more in four of six games, and Cagliari only need one more than the hosts to get the result.
I’d back Cagliari at 3.00 to make it five away wins in a row, with or without Pisacane on the touchline.
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