- 1 Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets: five straight wins without Suzuki against nine without a win
- 2 Montreal Canadiens: a 7-1-0 rookie in goal and 3.29 goals a game without Suzuki, Demidov or Matheson
- 3 Winnipeg Jets: 34 goals in 15 games and a crease that hasn’t settled since the Hellebuyck trade
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets: five straight wins without Suzuki against nine without a win 
Nick Suzuki blocked a shot against San Jose on 20 October and hasn’t played since, and Montreal hasn’t lost since either. The Canadiens have won all five games without their captain, a run that takes them into Tuesday 3 November at the Bell Centre, puck drop 7:00pm ET, against a team going the other way.
Winnipeg has gone nine straight games without a win. The Jets are 1-7-2 in their last ten, and Sunday’s game in Carolina finished 7-0, with Stuart Skinner pulled after allowing five goals on 17 shots and Clay Stevenson giving up two more on 15.
That gap shows up in the standings. Montreal is second in the Atlantic Division at 9-3-2 with 20 points, while Winnipeg sits seventh in the Central at 4-8-3 with 11, and only Chicago is below the Jets in that division.
They met nine days ago in Winnipeg, and the game was closer than the records suggest. Montreal won 2-1 on 25 October, part of the same five-game streak, so the Jets have already shown they can keep a game tight against this team.
The market has the Canadiens at 1.56 and the Jets at 2.50, with the total at 5.5. Those prices reflect a Montreal team that’s 4-2-1 at home and 5-1-1 on the road, and I’d note that the road record is the stronger of the two.
Montreal Canadiens: a 7-1-0 rookie in goal and 3.29 goals a game without Suzuki, Demidov or Matheson 
Jacob Fowler is the reason a depleted roster has kept winning. The rookie is 7-1-0 with a .932 save percentage and a 1.84 goals-against average, and his 46-save shutout in St. Louis on 27 October came on a night Montreal managed 20 shots at the other end.
He wasn’t at his best last time out, allowing four goals on 29 shots in the 5-4 win over Pittsburgh on Saturday. Montreal’s attack covered for him, which has been happening more often than the absences would lead anyone to expect. Josh Anderson had two goals and an assist, while Chris Kreider, Oliver Kapanen and Alexandre Texier also scored.
The injury list is long. Suzuki won’t be back before 18 November, Mike Matheson is out until at least 14 November, Ivan Demidov is on injured reserve until at least 7 November, and Sam Montembeault is on injured reserve as well. Kirby Dach is day-to-day with an illness.
Lane Hutson has taken on more of the creation from the blue line, leading the team with 10 assists among his 13 points. Cole Caufield has 12 points and leads the Canadiens in goals, and the team is averaging 3.29 goals on 27.5 shots.
Montreal has allowed very little during this streak. Eight goals in five wins works out at 1.6 a game, against a season average of 3.0, and four of those eight came on Saturday.
no renewal
Free for 2 weeks.
Winnipeg Jets: 34 goals in 15 games and a crease that hasn’t settled since the Hellebuyck trade 
Winnipeg traded Connor Hellebuyck to New Jersey on 23 October, and the numbers since explain why that move has hurt so much. The Jets have allowed 25 goals in their last five losses, and Florida alone scored five on them twice in four days, 5-1 in Winnipeg on 27 October and 5-2 in Sunrise on 30 October.
Skinner’s stint in Raleigh on Sunday lasted a little over 29 minutes, and Stevenson didn’t fare much better in relief. Neither goalie has given the Jets the kind of night that would let a struggling attack stay in a game for 60 minutes.
That attack is the second problem, and it may be the bigger one. Winnipeg has 34 goals in 15 games, an average of 2.27, on 26.3 shots a night. The Jets have scored eight times in their last five defeats and were held scoreless on 26 shots in Carolina.
Kyle Connor has 11 of those goals and 15 points, close to a third of the team’s goals on his own. Mark Scheifele has 10 assists among his 12 points, Cole Perfetti has 11 points and Neal Pionk 10, but the production drops away quickly after that.
The blue line is short as well. Josh Morrissey is on injured reserve with a wrist injury until at least 8 November, and Garrett Brown, Nick Bjugstad and Vladislav Namestnikov are also listed, with Dawson Mercer and Cole Koepke day-to-day. Winnipeg is 2-4-2 on the road and allows 3.6 goals a game.
Probable lineup Montreal Canadiens: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Winnipeg Jets: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets
Our prediction: Montreal Canadiens to win (moneyline) at 1.56
Montreal’s 2-1 win in Winnipeg nine days ago wasn’t comfortable, and the Canadiens’ home record is only 4-2-1, so this price isn’t free money. I’m still on them, because the Jets have scored two goals or fewer so often in this streak that a single Montreal defensive lapse rarely costs the game.
Eight Winnipeg goals in five losses set against Fowler’s .932 is the matchup that matters most here. The Jets take 26.3 shots a game, and a rookie who stopped 46 in St. Louis shouldn’t be overwhelmed by that volume.
At the other end, Winnipeg’s goaltending has conceded 25 in five games and is coming off a seven-goal night. Montreal has scored five in each of its last two games, with Suzuki and Demidov both out, and we’d back that to be enough at 1.56.
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