- 1 Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: five goals scored, none conceded, seven shipped
- 2 Mainz 05, a rock-solid back line and a 5-0 statement in Hamburg
- 3 Eintracht Frankfurt, real attacking volume but a heavy defensive bill
- 4 Bundesliga prediction Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: five goals scored, none conceded, seven shipped 
Mainz are the only Bundesliga side yet to concede after two rounds. Five goals scored, none let in, four points on the board.
At the other end of the scale, Eintracht Frankfurt have gone the other way with four goals for and seven against. Just one point, and down in 13th.
Kick-off for this third matchday is set for Saturday 12 September at 15:30 local time at the MEWA Arena. The game opens the Saturday afternoon schedule, with four other fixtures starting at the same time.
Mainz sit fifth, Frankfurt 13th. Three points separate the sides after just 180 minutes of league action, which tells you plenty about the current balance of power.
The goal difference only widens the gap: +5 for the Rhineland side, -3 for Eintracht. That is an eight-goal swing between the two clubs on one stat alone.
Recent form points the same way. Mainz come in off a 5-0 win in Hamburg, while Frankfurt were thumped at home by Augsburg.
Tactically, this one boils down to a clear question: can Frankfurt turn the chances they are already creating into goals, against a Mainz block that has not budged yet? The first two matchdays give a pretty sharp answer.
Mainz 05, a rock-solid back line and a 5-0 statement in Hamburg 
Mainz’s record is simple enough: a draw on opening day, then a 5-0 win away at Hamburg. Four points, fifth place.
That 5-0 at the Volksparkstadion is the biggest attacking performance in the Bundesliga so far this season. Hamburg, for their part, still have not scored a league goal.
The most telling figure is at the back. No other team has come through the first two rounds without conceding, and Urs Fischer’s side have done it with one of those games away from home.
That clean sheet double puts Mainz in a very small club, alongside Augsburg and Freiburg for defensive solidity, but on their own for a perfect start at the back. And that matters heading into a home game.
Philipp Tietz was one of the key men in Hamburg, along with Becker, and made the Bundesliga Fantasy team of the second round. His early output gives Mainz a focal point in attack they were missing around this stage last season.
The progress is obvious compared with last year’s shaky opening, when the club spent a long stretch stuck in the bottom half. Four points after two games gives them a far more comfortable base to build from.
The key point here is the balance of the team. Mainz have not had to chase a game yet this season, so they can stick to their plan without opening themselves up.
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Eintracht Frankfurt, real attacking volume but a heavy defensive bill 
Frankfurt have taken one point from two games, drawing in Berlin before losing 1-4 at home to Augsburg. Seven conceded, four scored.
That Augsburg match needs a closer look, because it lays the problem bare. Jonathan Burkardt put Frankfurt ahead in the sixth minute from a Younes Ebnoutalib cross, and Eintracht were leading at the break.
The expected goals numbers from the night had Frankfurt at 2.62 against Augsburg’s 1.72. The attacking output is there, then, but it was not enough to cover a defensive collapse packed into two minutes after the restart.
Can Uzun was denied by Finn Dahmen, while Ebnoutalib was twice stopped by crucial defensive recoveries. The scoreline could have been much more comfortable by half-time, which makes the final outcome feel even harsher.
Bringing Mario Gotze and Ritsu Doan back into the starting XI against Augsburg did not change the shape of the game, despite a controlled opening. Lilian Brassier also made his first Bundesliga minutes there.
Three changes had been made from the team that drew in Berlin. The reshuffle did not bring the stability they wanted, and the club are now winless in two.
The danger for this trip is obvious: Frankfurt create chances, but they give plenty away once the tempo rises. Against a side that has not conceded yet, that imbalance matters.
Predicted Mainz 05 line-up: Not available at time of publication.
Predicted Eintracht Frankfurt line-up: Not available at time of publication.
Bundesliga prediction Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Our prediction: Mainz 05 to win
The first argument is defensive, and it is there in black and white: Mainz are the only team in the division yet to concede, while Frankfurt have shipped seven goals in two games. That gap is too big to shrug off as an early-season blip.
The second is about context. Mainz are at the MEWA Arena after a strong away win, while Frankfurt arrive off the back of a home battering and still have not won since the season started.
A third factor also swings it: Frankfurt conceded four times in one second half against Augsburg. That kind of fragility over 90 minutes is exactly the sort of weakness a compact side can expose.
On that basis, a Mainz win is the pick. The Rhineland side have the tools to shut down an opponent that can build pressure but falls apart when punched back.
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