- 1 Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers: an 0-6 team at a shared stadium, against the league’s top offense by yardage
- 2 Los Angeles Rams: first in yards, sixth in red-zone touchdowns, and a two-man backfield that ran for 192
- 3 Los Angeles Chargers: 15 points a game, 3.5 sacks allowed a game, and a bye week to fix it
- 4 Free NFL Prediction: Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
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- 11 About visuals
Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers: an 0-6 team at a shared stadium, against the league’s top offense by yardage 
Justin Herbert has thrown five touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. The Chargers are 0-6, last in the AFC West, and their 15.0 points a game is the lowest figure in the NFL.
They come off their bye into a road game that isn’t really a road game: SoFi Stadium, which they share with the Rams, on Sunday 1 November, kickoff 4:05pm ET on FOX. The Rams are listed as the home side and are 6.5-point favorites, with a total between 43.5 and 45.5 depending on the book.
The moneyline has the Rams at around 1.36 and the Chargers at 3.80. That’s a big price for a team that has the same turnover differential as its opponent, minus 5, but the rest of the numbers explain why the market is so one-sided.
The Rams are only 3-4, yet their offense leads the league in total yards at 399.1 a game, and they’ve just put 35 points on Las Vegas, with Matthew Stafford throwing three touchdowns on 29 attempts.
The only meeting between these two in 2026 came in the preseason finale, a 20-18 Rams win in the same building. I wouldn’t read anything into a preseason result, because the regular-season gap between these offenses is much wider than two points.
Los Angeles Rams: first in yards, sixth in red-zone touchdowns, and a two-man backfield that ran for 192 
Against the Raiders, Stafford went 23 of 29 for 195 yards, three touchdowns and one interception, a 114.8 passer rating. Kyren Williams and Blake Corum combined for 192 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 33 carries, with Williams taking 99 of those yards on 16 attempts.
That balance is what makes the Rams hard to stop. They gain 5.8 yards per play (7th), convert 44.71% of third downs (6th) and turn 68.97% of red-zone trips into touchdowns (6th). Stafford has 14 touchdown passes and a 67.3% completion rate for the season.
The Rams’ protection holds up too, allowing 1.6 sacks a game, sixth-fewest in the league, which matters against a Chargers defense with 11 sacks this season. Williams has 492 rushing yards at 5.1 a carry, and Puka Nacua has 45 catches for 485 yards.
Nacua was listed as questionable with a calf injury before the Raiders game and still scored. Cornerback Trent McDuffie (groin) and linebacker Nate Landman (concussion) both sat out Week 7, and their status this week is the main thing to check before kickoff.
The defense is middle of the pack overall, allowing 22.7 points a game (16th), but it’s fourth against the pass at 186.3 yards a game. For a Chargers offense averaging 168.2 passing yards, that’s a poor matchup before the first snap.
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Los Angeles Chargers: 15 points a game, 3.5 sacks allowed a game, and a bye week to fix it 
The Chargers’ last game was their season in miniature: in a 22-6 loss at Kansas City, a 57-yard completion set them up at first-and-goal from the one, and a holding call, a loss and two incompletions later they settled for a field goal.
Herbert finished that afternoon 22 of 37 for 204 yards, one interception and a 63.3 passer rating. Quentin Johnston caught one pass, for 57 yards, and the run game managed 73 yards on 22 carries. Through six games Herbert has 1,141 passing yards.
Protection is the worst part of it: the Chargers allow 3.5 sacks a game, 31st in the league, convert 34.15% of third downs (29th) and gain 4.6 yards per play (28th). They score touchdowns on half of their red-zone trips, far behind the Rams’ 68.97%.
Omarion Hampton has 289 rushing yards at 3.6 a carry, and the passing game has no receiver above 225 yards. Tight end Davis Allen has scored twice, which is a fair indication of how few big plays this offense creates.
Defensively, the Chargers give up 25.2 points a game, 22nd in the NFL, and 123.8 rushing yards a game at 4.0 a carry. That’s an open invitation for the Williams and Corum pairing. The bye gave them two weeks to prepare, which is the strongest argument they have this week.
Probable lineup Los Angeles Rams: QB Matthew Stafford, RB Kyren Williams, RB Blake Corum, WR Puka Nacua (official inactives not announced at time of publication)
Probable lineup Los Angeles Chargers: QB Justin Herbert, RB Omarion Hampton, WR Quentin Johnston, TE Davis Allen (official inactives not announced at time of publication)
Free NFL Prediction: Los Angeles Rams vs Los Angeles Chargers
Our prediction: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (1.98)
I’ll lay the points with the Rams. They’re better on third down by more than ten percentage points, better in the red zone by almost 19, and they allow fewer than half as many sacks per game. Those are the areas that decide whether a favorite wins by three or by ten.
The Chargers’ path to covering runs through turnovers. Both teams sit at minus 5, and Stafford has thrown seven interceptions, so a short field or two could keep this close. Herbert has thrown eight of his own, though, and he’ll be doing it from behind a line that gives up 3.5 sacks a game.
A team scoring 15.0 points a game needs a lot to go right to stay within a touchdown of an offense averaging 24.3. I expect the Rams’ two-back run game to control the second half and win this by more than a score.
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