Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun – WNBA Prediction – August 20, 2026

Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun : the perfect chance to hit reset ?

Las Vegas need to get back in the win column after a 97-82 loss to Atlanta. The Aces have won only two of their last five games and have lost a bit of rhythm, but this home meeting with Connecticut looks like a strong opportunity to get rolling again. The Sun have only nine wins this season and sit dead last in the East.

On paper, the gap between these teams is still pretty clear. Las Vegas have more firepower, and back on their own floor they get to face a team that has been coughing up more than 88 points on average over its last 10 outings. In that kind of setup, the Aces have every chance of taking control early and finding the sort of scoring touch that has been missing lately.

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Las Vegas have to use this matchup to bounce back

The Aces have not exactly been flying of late. They have lost three of their last five and were just hit for 97 by Atlanta. Over their last 10 games, their record sits level at five wins and five losses. For a team chasing the top spots in the West, it is time to turn things around.

This home game against Connecticut gives them a decent platform. Las Vegas have a major edge inside with A’ja Wilson and enough scoring threats around her to stop the Sun from loading up on the paint. Gray and Young can also move the ball and push the pace if Connecticut opens the door.

The Aces are scoring 89,2 points per game at home this season. So the 90,5 line needs a little extra, but the opponent helps. Connecticut are allowing 86,4 points per game this season, and that climbs to 88,2 across their last 10. Against a Las Vegas side that needs a response, the Sun’s defense could be under pressure for 40 minutes straight.

Connecticut may struggle to keep up

At 9-25, the Sun are having a rough season. The 85-77 win over the Sparks gave them a bit of breathing room, but it does not really change the bigger picture. Connecticut have won only three of their last 10 and are still leaking points at both ends.

Offense is the first issue. The Sun are averaging 79,1 points this season and only 78,6 over their last 10. On the road, that recent output ticks up slightly to 80,3, but that is still not much when you are heading into a building where Las Vegas can get past 90 in a hurry.

The first meeting between these sides already showed Connecticut’s limits in this sort of spot. Las Vegas won 101-94 on the Sun’s floor on 16 May. The Aces cleared 100 away from home there, and now they get Connecticut in Las Vegas with the gap in quality still very much in place.

WNBA prediction : Las Vegas Aces vs Connecticut Sun

Las Vegas Aces handicap -11,5 and over 90,5 points for the Aces

This bet asks for a proper Las Vegas performance: win by at least 12 and score 91 or more. The Aces’ recent form naturally calls for caution, but this looks like a friendly spot to rediscover their best version.

Connecticut are scoring under 79 per game over their last 10 and giving up more than 88. If the Sun stick to those numbers, Las Vegas would not need anything outrageous to cover. A game with the Aces around 95 and Connecticut below 80 would do the job comfortably.

There is also clear upside on the 90,5 line. In the first head-to-head of the season, Las Vegas already put up 101 points, and that game was in Connecticut. This time, Wilson and company get home-court advantage against a defense that is still struggling.

After the defeat to Atlanta, the Aces also need a statement win to get moving again. Connecticut look like a manageable opponent to raise the tempo, sharpen the attack and pull away early. So the call is Las Vegas by at least 12 points, with the Aces clearing 90,5 points.

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