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Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest Premier League prediction

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest – Free Premier League Prediction – 23/10/2026

Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest: the bookmakers’ favourites have scored three goals in five games Premier League

Nottingham Forest have scored three goals in their last five Premier League matches. Two of them came in a 2-1 win at Villa Park on 12 September, and they haven’t won since. A 0-1 home defeat by Arsenal last Sunday was the latest in a run that also includes 0-1 against Coventry at the City Ground and 3-1 at Crystal Palace.

That leaves Forest 18th with five points from seven games: one win, two draws, four defeats. Ipswich sit 10th on nine points. The goal difference is identical, minus four for both, but the two sides got there by very different routes.

Ipswich’s last five games in all competitions produced 20 goals, a 4-2 Carabao Cup defeat by Arsenal included. They scored nine and conceded 11, and only once in that run did they fail to score. They beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at Selhurst Park, beat Fulham 2-1 at Portman Road on 10 October and then went to the Etihad last Saturday and scored twice in a 3-2 defeat to the league leaders.

And yet the prices make Forest the favourites. Ipswich are 3.10 to win, the draw is 3.30 and Forest are 2.25. I’d want to see a lot more than one win in five, and one goal in their last three games, before I’d lay odds on Forest away from home on a Friday night.

Kick-off at Portman Road is 20:00 UK time on Friday 23 October, the opening game of Matchday 8. Forest’s injury list runs to four names, and two of them are the players they’d least like to lose.

Ipswich Town: nine goals in five, and two of them at the Etihad Ipswich Town

Ipswich have three wins and four defeats from seven games. There’s no draw in there at all, which fits a side that has conceded in each of its last five matches in all competitions.

The defeats came against Liverpool (0-2 at home on 4 September), Everton (1-0 away on 19 September) and Manchester City (3-2 away last weekend). Losing narrowly at City while scoring twice is a better afternoon than plenty of mid-table sides manage this season.

At home the numbers are kinder. Ipswich average two points per game at Portman Road across their last ten fixtures in all competitions, and they’ve scored 1.90 goals per game over that same run. The 2-1 win over Fulham before the international break was the most recent of those.

Ipswich do concede, two goals per game across that ten-match sample. Defensively they’ll leave chances, and that’s the honest case against them. The difference on Friday is that Forest’s attack has barely been creating any.

The likely team includes Walton in goal, O’Shea and Greaves at centre-back, Palacios in midfield and Maeda and Enciso supporting Emersonn up front. J. Taylor is a doubt with a knee problem, and he’s the only fitness question on the home side.

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Nottingham Forest: 18th, one win since mid-September and Gibbs-White a doubt Nottingham Forest

Forest’s only league win of the season was that 2-1 at Aston Villa on 12 September. Since then they’ve drawn 0-0 with Tottenham at home, lost to Coventry, lost 3-1 at Palace and lost to Arsenal. Across ten games in all competitions they average 0.70 goals and 0.80 points per game.

Their defending isn’t the problem. Six goals conceded in five league games is respectable, and they kept Arsenal to a single goal at the City Ground on Sunday. The issue is entirely at the other end of the pitch.

Igor Jesus is out with a calf injury and Nicolò Savona is out with a knee problem. Morgan Gibbs-White is doubtful, and so is Nikola Milenković with a knee issue. Without Gibbs-White, the supply to Chris Wood loses its most reliable source.

Wood is the one Forest forward the market rates, priced between 2.25 and 2.75 to score at any time. Forest have scored three goals in five matches, and two of those came in a single afternoon at Villa Park.

History is on Forest’s side. They won 4-2 at Portman Road in March 2025 and 1-0 at the City Ground in November 2024, and they lead the all-time head-to-head comfortably. I’m not convinced a meeting from 19 months ago says much about this version of either team.

Probable lineup Ipswich Town: Walton; O’Shea, Diop, Greaves, Davis; Luis, Palacios; Ouattara, Enciso, Maeda; Emersonn
Probable lineup Nottingham Forest: Sels; Muñoz, Milenković, Murillo, Williams; Yates, Sangaré; Gibbs-White, Hudson-Odoi, Ndoye; Wood

Free Premier League Prediction: Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest

Our prediction: Ipswich Town to win (3.10)

I’d back Ipswich at home. They’ve scored nine in their last five matches, they average two points per game at Portman Road over their recent run, and they went to the Etihad last week and scored twice against a City side that had won every league game.

Forest are favourites on reputation and on last season’s results. On this season’s evidence they’ve won once in seven, scored three times in five and may be without Gibbs-White, Igor Jesus and Milenković. A price of 2.25 doesn’t reflect that.

The risk is the Ipswich defence, which concedes two a game across their last ten. But Forest haven’t scored more than once in a match since 12 September, and at 3.10 the home side is where the value sits.

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  • Photo Pierre Boulben - Editor in chief - Sports

    Former journalist for French newspaper L’équipe and ESPN, I have been the News Editor for MathOdds for the past two years. Mainly in charge of the news and previews coverage as well as our data powered sports trends and cheat-sheets.


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