- 1 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: two wins in eight for the hosts, six in six for Schick
- 2 Hoffenheim: no clean sheets, and Hajdari now out for weeks
- 3 Bayer Leverkusen: Schick’s run, and a squad stretched by injuries
- 4 Free Bundesliga Prediction: Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
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Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen: two wins in eight for the hosts, six in six for Schick 
Hoffenheim won 2-1 at Borussia Mönchengladbach last Sunday, with goals from Conté on 11 minutes and Prass on 54, and it was only their second win in eight matches across all competitions. The six defeats in that run include home losses to Hamburg in the league and to Besiktas in the Europa League, both by 3-2.
That form leaves Christian Ilzer’s side 14th in the Bundesliga with six points from six games, two wins and four defeats, and a goal difference of minus three. They’ve scored 11 and conceded 14, and they haven’t kept a clean sheet in any competition this season.
Bayer Leverkusen are fourth with 13 points, a point behind Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund at the top, and they’ve won five of their last six in all competitions. Patrik Schick has scored in every one of their six league games, the first Leverkusen player to do that from the opening matchday.
The head-to-head runs against the obvious reading. Hoffenheim have won the last two meetings, 2-1 at Leverkusen on 23 August 2025 and 1-0 at home on 17 January 2026, after Leverkusen had won the three before that by a combined 9-3.
Sunday’s game kicks off at 15:30 in Germany, 14:30 UK time, after the clocks go back. Both clubs play in the Europa League on Thursday, Hoffenheim at home to Lyon and Leverkusen away at OFI Crete, so the travel burden falls more heavily on the visitors, but I think Leverkusen’s form outweighs it.
Hoffenheim: no clean sheets, and Hajdari now out for weeks 
The win at Gladbach came after a run that had left Hoffenheim with six defeats in seven games. They lost 3-1 at Paderborn on 20 September, 2-0 at OFI Crete in Europe, and then 3-2 at home to Hamburg on 10 October, when Muheim scored the winner in the fourth minute of stoppage time.
Five days later they lost 3-2 at home to Besiktas in the Europa League, with Oh scoring twice for the Turkish side. That’s two home defeats in a week in which Hoffenheim scored twice and still lost, which says more about the defence than the attack.
Across their last ten home games in all competitions they’ve averaged 0.6 points and conceded 2.6 goals per game, with no clean sheets. This season their overall rate is 2.33 goals conceded per 90 minutes.
The injury list makes it harder to fix. Albian Hajdari has a new injury that will keep him out for several weeks, Patrick Wimmer is still missing and Nathan De Cat has a lateral meniscus problem. Bernardo is available again after suspension, which gives Ilzer another option at the back.
Going forward there’s enough to trouble anyone. Fisnik Asllani scored against Besiktas, Koki Machida also scored that night, and Conté has at least two league goals, including the opener at Gladbach. Adam Hložek and Tim Lemperle complete the expected front three.
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Bayer Leverkusen: Schick’s run, and a squad stretched by injuries 
Schick has six Bundesliga goals in six games and two more in the Europa League, both penalties in the 4-0 win at Lech Poznań on 15 October. His 76th-minute winner against Freiburg on 18 October kept the run going and took Leverkusen into the group just behind the top two.
Carles Martinez’s side have been scoring freely. They won 4-3 at Mainz on 10 October, with Andrich, Schick, Quansah and Diaby all on the scoresheet, and have 16 league goals in six games, the kind of output that makes them hard to back against on the road.
The defence is less convincing. Leverkusen have conceded nine league goals, three of them at Mainz and one at home to Freiburg after Scherhant put the visitors ahead on 14 minutes, and they drew 2-2 at Augsburg in September.
The injury list is long. Martin Terrier lasted 18 minutes in Poznań before a hamstring injury that’s expected to keep him out until late December, and Guéla Doué (calf), Eliesse Ben Seghir and Christian Kofane (both muscle) are also out, along with Kennet Eichhorn.
The core is intact, though. Mark Flekken is in goal behind a back four of Gutierrez, Quansah, Tapsoba and Medina, with Diaby, Maza and Moreira supplying Schick, and Maza has scored in both of Leverkusen’s last two games.
Probable lineup Hoffenheim: Baumann; Coufal, Hranáč, Machida, Rots; Conté, Avdullahu, Prass; Lemperle, Asllani, Hložek
Probable lineup Bayer Leverkusen: Flekken; Gutierrez, Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina; Fernandez, Garcia; Diaby, Maza, Moreira; Schick
Free Bundesliga Prediction: Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen
Our prediction: Bayer Leverkusen to win – 2.38
Leverkusen have won five of their last six in all competitions and score more than two a game in the league. Hoffenheim have two wins in eight, no clean sheet all season, and concede 2.6 a game at home over their last ten.
The last two meetings went Hoffenheim’s way, and that’s the honest case against this pick. Both came in a different period for both clubs, though, and neither side then had a striker scoring at Schick’s current rate.
At 2.38, Leverkusen to win is the value in this game. The Thursday trip to Crete is a concern, but Hoffenheim also play on Thursday, and I’d back the side with the better attack and the better form to take three points from Sinsheim.
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