- 1 England vs Czech Republic: Tuchel’s side look to back up a record night
- 2 England Analysis
- 3 Czech Republic Analysis
- 4 Free Football Prediction: England vs Czech Republic
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
England vs Czech Republic: Tuchel’s side look to back up a record night 
England host the Czech Republic on Tuesday 6 October at Wembley, in the fourth round of League A Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League. Kick-off is at 20:45 Paris time (19:45 UK time).
The context could hardly be more different for the two sides. England arrive after a 7-0 win in Croatia on Saturday, while the Czech Republic are still looking for their first point of the campaign.
That result in Rijeka was historic in several ways. It was Croatia’s heaviest defeat since independence, and England’s biggest winning margin against a top-50 nation since 1992.
Thomas Tuchel’s side lost their opening game 3-2 to Spain, then recovered with a 2-0 win in Prague and that rout in Croatia. They sit second in the group on 6 points, three behind Spain and three clear of Croatia.
The Czech Republic have lost to Croatia (2-1), England (2-0) and Spain (3-1). They are bottom of the group with three goals scored and seven conceded.
The reverse fixture took place only last week, and England won it with ten men in front of them for most of the game. This rematch at Wembley gives Tuchel’s players a chance to confirm that their attack has found its rhythm.
England Analysis 
England have scored 11 goals in three Nations League matches and have found the net at least twice in every game. Over their last 180 minutes, they have scored nine times without conceding.
The win in Croatia was backed up by the underlying numbers. England produced 19 shots, 16 of them inside the box, put 10 on target and created 11 big chances.
Harry Kane and Bukayo Saka both scored twice in Rijeka, with Jude Bellingham, Morgan Rogers and Anthony Gordon also on the scoresheet. Kane and Gordon have now scored in all three of England’s Nations League matches.
Tuchel has no new injury or suspension problems after Saturday. Nico O’Reilly withdrew from the squad before the Croatia game, and four players, O’Reilly, Bellingham, Marc Guehi and Myles Lewis-Skelly, are one booking away from a ban.
Some rotation is possible, with Trent Alexander-Arnold and Lewis-Skelly among the names pushing for a start. Even with changes, the depth of this squad means the attacking level should stay high.
Kane also has a personal milestone in sight. If he plays any part on Tuesday, he will equal Peter Shilton’s all-time England record of 125 caps.
At Wembley, the record against this opponent is solid. England have never lost a home game to the Czech Republic, with two wins and a draw since 1998, including a 5-0 win in March 2019.
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Czech Republic Analysis 
The Czech Republic have had a difficult few months. They left the World Cup with just one point from their three group games, scoring twice and conceding six.
The Nations League has not brought any improvement so far. Santi Denia’s side have lost all three games and have conceded at least twice in each of them.
Across their six World Cup and Nations League matches, the Czechs have no wins, one draw and five defeats. Their current run of four straight losses also puts them at risk of a fifth, which would be a first in their history as the Czech Republic.
Discipline has been a problem too. Pavel Sulc was sent off after 25 minutes in Prague against England, and captain Ladislav Krejci was dismissed in the 3-1 defeat to Spain on Saturday.
Krejci is suspended for this game, which forces a change in central defence, with Martin Vitik or Robin Hranac expected to come in. Sulc, on the other hand, has served his ban and should return in the number 10 role.
Vladimir Coufal missed the Spain game with a knee problem, and his involvement on Tuesday is uncertain. Jiri Slama, who scored the Czech goal against Spain, remains one of the few bright spots of this campaign.
In attack, the numbers are worrying. The Czechs produced only 0.32 expected goals in the first meeting with England, and they failed to score in the last two matches against the Three Lions.
Probable lineup England: Pickford; Alexander-Arnold, Branthwaite, Chalobah, Hall; Lewis-Skelly, Anderson; Saka, Rogers, Eze; Kane (expected, not confirmed)
Probable lineup Czech Republic: Kinsky; Sacek, Chaloupek, Vitik, Slama; Kral, Sadilek; Radosta, Sulc, Lingr; Hlozek (expected, not confirmed)
Free Football Prediction: England vs Czech Republic
Our prediction: England to score over 2.5 goals (odds around 1.73)
An England win is priced at around 1.22, which is too low to be interesting on its own. Backing England to score at least three goals offers a better return and fits what we have seen from this team in the last week.
The Czech Republic have conceded at least twice in every Nations League game and now travel without their captain at the heart of their defence. England, meanwhile, have shown in Croatia that they can turn chances into goals when the game opens up.
The first meeting ended only 2-0, but England dominated with 22 shots, and the home crowd at Wembley should push them on. With Kane chasing a record night and an attack in full confidence, three England goals is the most logical angle.
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