- 1 Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks: Detroit home from the West, Chicago 0-4 on the road
- 2 Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat at 13 points, and three goalies sharing the net
- 3 Chicago Blackhawks: an 8.3% power play and three goals in three games
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks: Detroit home from the West, Chicago 0-4 on the road 
Chicago sits last in the Central Division at 3-8-0, and it hasn’t taken a single point away from home. The Blackhawks have lost in Vegas, Utah, Buffalo and on Long Island by a combined 19-6. Their fifth road game is in Detroit on Thursday 29 October, with puck drop at Little Caesars Arena at 7:30pm ET.
Detroit comes back from a four-game swing through the West with a 5-4-3 record. The trip went 2-1-1: a shootout loss in Seattle, a 5-2 win in Vancouver, a 4-1 defeat in Calgary and, on Monday, a 4-3 shootout win in Edmonton. Thursday is the Red Wings’ first game at home since the middle of the month.
The context in the standings is modest for both teams. Detroit has scored 33 goals and allowed 37 over 12 games, and before Monday’s win it was producing 2.55 goals a game on 29.8 shots, numbers that sit in the bottom part of the league. Chicago’s numbers are worse: 2.18 goals scored per game, 3.91 allowed and only 21.4 shots a night.
The Blackhawks have also scored just three goals in their last three games, all losses: 4-0 to Dallas, 4-1 to Montreal and 3-2 to Florida. They play the Los Angeles Kings at home on Tuesday, then travel to Michigan. In all, Chicago has allowed 43 goals in 11 games.
That’s why I see this as a game Detroit should win, even with an attack that hasn’t fully clicked. The reasons sit mostly on Chicago’s side of the ice.
Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat at 13 points, and three goalies sharing the net 
Alex DeBrincat leads the team with 13 points, six goals and seven assists. Lucas Raymond has 11 points, eight of them assists, Viktor Arvidsson has five goals and five assists, and Emmitt Finnie and Michael Brandsegg-Nygard have chipped in with eight points each.
The goaltending picture has been unsettled. John Gibson has made eight appearances with an .867 save percentage, and he allowed four goals on 25 shots in Calgary. Daniil Tarasov has a .940 save percentage in four appearances but was listed as day-to-day before the Edmonton game. Michal Postava started in Edmonton and stopped 25 of 28 shots to get the win.
Home results have been mixed. Detroit is 3-3-1 at Little Caesars Arena, with wins over Ottawa, Philadelphia and San Jose, and losses to the Rangers, Winnipeg and Seattle, plus an overtime defeat to New Jersey. Four of those seven games were decided by one goal.
The defense allowed 2.91 goals a game before Monday and 25.5 shots against, which is respectable. The penalty kill has struggled all season, though, and that’s an area where Chicago’s 8.3% power play is unlikely to punish them.
The injury list includes Simon Edvinsson on injured reserve, along with Mason Appleton and Marco Kasper. Those absences have come during a stretch in which the Red Wings played five of their last eight games on the road.
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Chicago Blackhawks: an 8.3% power play and three goals in three games 
Patrick Kane leads Chicago with seven points, six of them assists. Anton Frondell has one goal and five assists, and Teuvo Teravainen, Tyler Bertuzzi and Connor Bedard have five points each. Roman Kantserov leads the team with four goals, and Frank Nazar has three.
No Chicago player has reached ten points after 11 games, and the power play has converted 8.3% of its chances. The shot count of 21.4 per game is the root of it. The Blackhawks don’t spend enough time in the offensive zone to create a steady flow of chances.
Spencer Knight has done most of the work in goal, with a 3-6-0 record, a 3.48 GAA and an .890 save percentage. He made 31 saves on 34 shots in Sunday’s 3-2 loss to Florida and has faced more than 30 shots in several games. Arvid Soderblom is 0-2-0 with an .820 save percentage.
The three wins came at home, 4-2 over St. Louis, 5-3 over Pittsburgh and 4-3 in overtime against Winnipeg, all in the first half of October. Since that overtime win, Chicago has lost three in a row and scored in only two of those games.
Bowen Byram is out, the only absence on Chicago’s injury report. The Blackhawks have also used two goalies who have combined for three wins, and Knight has appeared in nine of the 11 games.
Probable lineup Detroit Red Wings: Not announced at time of publication
Probable lineup Chicago Blackhawks: Not announced at time of publication
Free NHL Prediction: Detroit Red Wings vs Chicago Blackhawks
Our prediction: Detroit Red Wings to win
Chicago is 0-4-0 on the road, has been outscored 19-6 in those games and has scored three goals in its last three. Detroit hasn’t been a high-scoring team either, but 29.8 shots a game against Chicago’s 21.4 is a clear difference in how much each side controls play.
The Red Wings’ goaltending is the one part of their game I’d question, with Gibson at .867 and Tarasov listed day-to-day. Knight has kept Chicago in several games, and a strong night from him could make this a one-goal game or push it past 60 minutes.
I’d still back Detroit to win. Coming home after a trip that ended with two points in Edmonton, against a team averaging 21.4 shots and converting 8.3% of its power plays, the Red Wings have the clearer path to a win.
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