- 1 Detroit Lions vs New York Jets : Jahmyr Gibbs up against a defence that just blew up in overtime
- 2 Detroit Lions, Jahmyr Gibbs leading a rolling offence
- 3 New York Jets, an overtime loss that still stings on the road trip
- 4 NFL Prediction Detroit Lions vs New York Jets
- 5 First, a word on our free picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Detroit Lions vs New York Jets : Jahmyr Gibbs up against a defence that just blew up in overtime 
Detroit and New York head into this Ford Field clash with matching 1-1 records after two weeks. But the standings only tell half the story.
The Lions opened with a scrappy win over New Orleans before getting thumped by Buffalo. The Jets, meanwhile, handled Tennessee and then were done over in overtime by Green Bay after letting a lead slip away.
That overtime loss hangs over New York as it heads to Michigan. Detroit, by contrast, is looking to back up a ground game that remains one of the league’s most reliable weapons.
The market has made its view clear: the Lions are 6.5-point favourites with a total set at 48.5, a sign that the gap in class looks pretty obvious on paper.
That gap shows up in the NFC North too, where Detroit has sat among the conference heavyweights for several seasons, while New York is still searching for the kind of consistency it has long lacked outside its defensive unit.
The numbers back that up. Detroit has leaned to the Over this season, while the Jets have ugly historical numbers against the spread. That is why the pick points to Detroit on Sunday at 19:00 Paris time.
Detroit Lions, Jahmyr Gibbs leading a rolling offence 
Jahmyr Gibbs has played 111 of Detroit’s 142 offensive snaps across the first two weeks, which tells you everything about his role at the heart of this system. He has 308 rushing yards and two touchdowns from 45 carries.
His last outing was tougher. Against Buffalo, Gibbs managed only 52 yards on 16 rushing attempts and had to lean on the passing game to make an impact.
Even so, he caught six passes for 61 yards and another touchdown, which is exactly the kind of all-round threat that keeps this offence from becoming one-dimensional.
That two-way profile makes Detroit a difficult read for any defence, especially with the Lions still on the right side of the total this season.
Defensively, Detroit is dealing with the absence of Maddox, who has been ruled out, plus doubts over Mahogany and Miller. Even with those issues, the market still sees a wide gap in the hosts’ favour.
The schedule also helps Detroit in this spot. Playing at Ford Field has long been a real edge for a team that feeds off the home crowd to get its offence moving.
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New York Jets, an overtime loss that still stings on the road trip 
New York started the season with a solid 23-10 win in Nashville against the Titans, a result that gave the group an early boost.
What followed was much more painful. The Jets lost in overtime to Green Bay, a game that saw them throw away an advantage they should probably have protected late on.
That defeat comes with a growing injury list ahead of the trip to Michigan, with several players listed as questionable on this week’s injury report.
Statistically, the Jets have been far less convincing against the spread than the Lions over their last 10 games, even if their 2026 start has been positive in that specific area.
New York also has to deal with uncertainty around several defensive starters, which is awkward when that side of the ball is supposed to be the team’s biggest strength this season.
Against a Detroit defence that has done the business at home so far this year, the Jets will need a serious step up on offence if they want to leave Michigan with anything to show for it.
NFL Prediction Detroit Lions vs New York Jets
Our pick: Detroit Lions win with a -3.5 handicap
The market has Detroit as a 6.5-point favourite, and that gap reflects both Jahmyr Gibbs’ versatility and the defensive weakness New York showed last time out.
The Jets’ overtime defeat to Green Bay also exposed a lack of late-game steel, a problem against a Lions side that knows how to close out tight finishes.
Taking the handicap instead of the straight win gives a bit more safety while still matching the market hierarchy in a Ford Field matchup that looks more one-sided than the kick-off price suggests.
The -3.5 handicap offers a cushion while staying true to the bookmakers’ view of this one.
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