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Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante - Free La Liga Prediction - 16/10/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante – Free La Liga Prediction – 16/10/2026

Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante: two winless runs collide at Riazor La Liga

Deportivo went five games unbeaten at the start of their first La Liga season back. Then the wins dried up. Four league games have passed since, two draws and two defeats, and Friday’s visit of Levante (21:00 Paris time) is the first chance to stop that slide in front of their own fans.

Levante know the feeling, only theirs is worse. Their one league win came on the last weekend of August, a 5-2 thrashing of Real Betis. Nothing since. Four games, two draws, two defeats, and a place in 17th on six points.

The table tells you why this one matters more for the visitors. Deportivo sit eighth on 10 points, and a win would lift them level with sixth-placed Real Sociedad on 13. Levante, meanwhile, are level on points with 18th-placed Elche, with Valencia (5) and bottom side Malaga (4) right behind. Four clubs, two points. That’s a dogfight.

There’s a history angle too, and it isn’t kind to the hosts. Deportivo just about edge the overall head-to-head, 16 wins to 15 from 36 meetings, with only five draws. But they haven’t beaten Levante since March 2016, and the Valencian side have won the last two league meetings.

So where does that leave us? Two sides that concede regularly, two attacks that tend to find a way, and a stadium that’ll want something to cheer. Here’s the full breakdown.

Deportivo La Coruna: eighth in the table, but without Aubameyang and four games without a win Deportivo La Coruna

Sunday’s 3-2 defeat at Real Sociedad sums up where Antonio Hidalgo’s side are right now. They competed, they scored twice away from home, and they still came home with nothing. Yeremay completed eight of his nine dribbles at Anoeta. It didn’t change the result.

The record reads two wins, four draws and two defeats from eight games, with 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. For a promoted side that finished second in the Segunda last season, that’s a respectable return. The recent trend is the worry.

Look at the last four. A 1-1 at Getafe, a 1-0 home loss to Sevilla, a 1-1 with Betis, then the defeat in San Sebastian. One goal or fewer in three of those four. The spark from the opening weeks, when they beat Valencia 3-1 and won 3-2 at Villarreal, hasn’t been there.

Part of that is personnel. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is still recovering from a meniscus problem, with a return expected somewhere between five and eight weeks away. Marc Casado and Zakaria Eddahchouri are also out, and Lorenzo Amatucci is suspended after his late red card against Real Sociedad. That’s a lot of quality missing from one squad.

Bil Nsongo should lead the line again, with Mella and Cruz in support. They’ll create chances at Riazor. Whether they can stop conceding them is another question entirely.

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Levante: 15 goals conceded in seven games, but Romero and Brugue keep scoring Levante

Fifteen goals conceded in seven league games. That’s the number Luis Castro can’t get away from, and it’s one of the poorer defensive records in the division at this stage.

And yet Levante aren’t a side that rolls over. Last time out they drew 3-3 with Sevilla, and Ifeanyi Ndukwe scored the equaliser on his first start for the club. Earlier in the run they’d lost 4-2 to Barcelona and 3-1 at Villarreal, but they scored in both. When this team plays, the ball tends to go in at both ends.

Ivan Romero and Roger Brugue have three league goals each, and both should start on Friday. That’s a decent spread for a side in the bottom four. The problem is the other end, where the back line has been carved open too easily, too often.

Injuries haven’t helped. Karl Etta Eyong, Alejandro Primo and Hugo Sotelo are all expected to miss out again, with Etta Eyong and Sotelo still working through their recoveries. Jon Ander Olasagasti is set to anchor the midfield.

The fixture list doesn’t ease up, either. Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad follow in La Liga before a Copa del Rey trip to Tarancon. Can Levante afford to leave Galicia empty-handed? Not really. Points here would matter more than they’d admit.

Probable lineup Deportivo La Coruna: Roman; Navarro, Gimenez, Ede, Quagliata; Villares, Soriano; Mella, Cruz, Hernandez; Nsongo
Probable lineup Levante: Ryan; Toljan, Dela, Ndukwe, Sanchez; Garcia, Rey, Olasagasti, Brugue; Romero, Musuayi

Free La Liga Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante

Our prediction: Both teams to score – Yes

Both teams have found the net in five of Deportivo’s last six league games, and in four of Levante’s last six. The only Deportivo exception was a 1-0 home loss to Sevilla. Put those trends side by side and you’ve got a fixture built for goals at both ends.

Levante’s defence is the clearest reason. They’ve shipped 15 in seven and haven’t kept a clean sheet since their 0-0 draws with Malaga and Athletic. Deportivo, at home and needing a reaction, should find a way through even without Aubameyang. At the same time, the hosts have conceded 11 times themselves, and Romero and Brugue give Levante a genuine outlet on the break.

We aren’t confident enough in either side to pick a winner, given Deportivo’s recent form and Levante’s record in this fixture. Goals at both ends is the stronger read. Both teams to score is our pick.

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Author

  • Louis Boulben

    Ex-NCAA D1 Athlete with a background in B2B/D2C technology, enterprise business development, finance, and management. Currently leading growth and strategy at MathODDS, expanding into broader European and US markets.


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