- 1 Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna: one goal conceded each in three matches
- 2 Deportivo Alavés: two home games, four goals scored and none conceded
- 3 Osasuna: only four shots on target conceded in three matches
- 4 La Liga prediction Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information that can change
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images…
Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna: one goal conceded each in three matches 
Alaves and Osasuna have each conceded just one goal since the season kicked off. Neither side has lost in La Liga yet.
Kick-off is set for Sunday, 6 September at 18:30 Spanish time at the Estadio de Mendizorroza. This is matchday four and it will be shown on M+ LaLiga.
The attacking numbers give the hosts a slight edge. Alaves have scored five goals in three matches, Osasuna three, including two penalties from Ante Budimir.
The shot data tells a similar story. The Basque side have had 42 efforts on goal to Osasuna’s 35, although the Navarre outfit have hit the target once more, 14 to 13.
It is at the back that this one really tightens up. Osasuna have allowed only four shots on target in three games, compared with 11 for Alaves.
The two clubs have also taken very different routes into this one. Alaves have hosted Getafe and Villarreal and travelled to Rayo Vallecano, while Osasuna started in Vigo before welcoming Levante and Getafe.
The weekend backdrop adds another headache for both managers. Osasuna paid dearly for their win over Getafe with injuries to Jorge Herrando and Aimar Oroz, while Quique Sanchez Flores has to make do without Toni Martinez.
Two sturdy units, two cautious attacks and four heavy absentees: the stage is set. This looks more like a battle for control than a goal-fest.
Deportivo Alavés: two home games, four goals scored and none conceded 
Alaves have played twice at Mendizorroza this season, against Getafe and Villarreal. The return: four goals scored, none conceded and two wins.
That home record is the Basques’ main selling point. Seven points from three matches have Quique Sanchez Flores’s side sitting in the top half before Osasuna even arrive.
Their approach leans heavily on using the wide areas. Alaves have delivered 61 crosses in three matches, 14 more than Osasuna, for the same return of 17 finding a teammate.
The Madrid-born coach is unlikely to rip up his shape. The only expected change is up front, with Mariano set to come in for the injured Toni Martinez, who managed 233 minutes across the first three league games.
Right-back Facundo Tenaglia has been the early standout. He scored on matchday one, averages 8.3 on Sofascore and has been impressively solid at the back.
Angel Perez is also growing into the midfield role. He picked up his first assist of the season last time out and is taking on more responsibility in the build-up.
There is still one area that needs work. Abde Rebbach has yet to find his rhythm, which has blunted the threat down that flank and helps explain Alaves’s modest shot-on-target rate.
One final number should keep them honest. Alaves have conceded 21 corners in three matches, eight more than Osasuna, and that matters against a side as well-drilled on set pieces as this one.
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Osasuna: only four shots on target conceded in three matches 
Osasuna have let opponents hit the target just four times in three La Liga matches. No team in the division protects its box better on that measure.
That defensive lock explains why their points total is better than the attack suggests. The Rojillos have scored three goals and conceded only one, while staying unbeaten.
The attacking return has leaned heavily on one man and one method. Ante Budimir has scored twice in three matches, both from the spot, matching the two penalties the club have won this season.
The only away trip of the campaign offers another clue. In Vigo, Osasuna scored twice and conceded once, which accounts for two-thirds of their total goals in a single outing.
The win over Getafe came at a cost. Aimar Oroz went off with a hamstring problem and Jorge Herrando also had to leave the pitch injured.
The centre-back pairing should therefore be reshuffled on Sunday. Boyomo, who has played 52 minutes this season, is expected to come in alongside Alejandro Catena, the only Osasuna defender to play every minute so far.
Replacing Oroz is a trickier call for the coaching staff. Raul Garcia, Dubasin and Raul Moro are all in the mix for that link role, with no obvious favourite.
The midfield, though, has settled down nicely. Iker Munoz has firmly established himself alongside Lucas Moncayola and has put together a string of steady displays since the restart.
Expected Deportivo Alavés line-up: Not available at the time of publication. The only confirmed change is Mariano in for Toni Martinez.
Expected Osasuna line-up: Not available at the time of publication. Boyomo is expected to partner Catena at centre-back.
La Liga prediction Deportivo Alavés vs Osasuna
Our prediction: under 2.5 goals in the match
The six matches played by these two clubs this season have produced 10 goals in total, an average of 1.67 per game. Each defence has conceded just once in three matches.
The injury list strengthens that case. Osasuna are missing their main creator in Aimar Oroz and will have to draft Boyomo into the heart of defence, while Alaves are without Toni Martinez and have still not conceded at Mendizorroza.
The numbers in front of goal back it up again. Two of Osasuna’s three goals have come from the penalty spot, and Alaves have only hit the target 13 times from 42 attempts.
The call is clear: under 2.5 goals. Two sides that shoot sparingly, defend deep and put control first are not built for a three-goal game, especially with those four absences.
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