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Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty – WNBA Prediction – July 16, 2026

Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty : a matchup that could be tighter than expected Women's National Basketball Association — Wikipedia

Dallas are rolling along and eyeing a stronger grip on a top-four spot in the Western Conference, with third place still in sight. New York, meanwhile, are going through a rougher patch, though they remain comfortably in the playoff positions in the East. It is a meeting between two teams who can light it up, even if the circumstances suggest the pace may look very different this time.

The Wings come in full of confidence after five straight wins, while the Liberty badly need to halt their slide. In spots like this, the struggling side often tries to drag the game into the mud and take some of the sting out of the opponent’s offence. That is exactly the kind of script that looks likely here.

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Dallas keep winning with their offence The Official Website of the Dallas Wings | WNBA

The Wings are enjoying one of their best spells of the season. Seven wins from their last ten, including five in a row, show just how much confidence is running through the group right now. The latest victory over Chicago, 96-91, only underlined that momentum.

Dallas continue to lean on a highly efficient attack. The Wings are averaging more than 90 points this season and have topped 91 across their last ten games. They keep finding answers in transition and, when the tempo picks up, they can really hurt teams from outside.

Even so, Dallas games do not always turn into shootouts. Against teams willing to slow possessions down, the Wings can settle into a more measured rhythm. That could matter against New York, who will almost certainly try to avoid a wide-open track meet.

The Liberty are mainly looking for some stability New York Liberty — Wikipedia

The Liberty are in a trickier spell, with only three wins from their last ten games. Three straight defeats have stalled a team that was among the league’s most reliable only a few weeks ago. The latest loss to Toronto, 93-91, again showed New York are short on consistency when it matters most.

The offence is still good for close to 88 points a night this season, but the output has dipped a touch recently. The coaching staff’s main job should be to restore balance, especially on defence, where repeated runs from opponents have been costing them over the past few weeks.

That profile naturally points towards a more contained game. Against a Dallas team that likes to run, the Liberty have every reason to slow things down, work more in the half court and trim the number of possessions. The more controlled this gets, the better New York’s chances of staying in touch.

WNBA Prediction : Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty

Under 178.5 points in the game

The total looks fairly generous when you look at the recent numbers between these two teams. The last six head-to-head meetings have all stayed below this mark, and eight of the last ten have done the same. Current form points the same way. Dallas have stayed under it in three of their last five games, as have New York. Their previous meeting, a 88-77 Wings win, also finished well short of the line.

Both teams do have real scoring talent, but the setup screams caution. Dallas will want to keep the winning streak going, while New York’s priority will be controlling the tempo and avoiding a fourth straight defeat. That more tactical approach should cut down on transition chances and reduce the possession count. The historical matchups, the recent trends and the state of play here all point to a game that is less productive than the bookmakers’ line suggests.

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Author

  • Elouan CHARTIER

    Writer at MathODDS, passionate about sports and a big basketball fan. Studying communication and media, curious and dedicated to bringing you articles on sports news.


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