- 1 Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx : have the visitors hit their ceiling ?
- 2 Connecticut has looked better lately
- 3 The Lynx are still dangerous on the road
- 4 WNBA Prediction : Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx
- 5 First, a word on our picks
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the images
Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx : have the visitors hit their ceiling ? 
Connecticut and Minnesota meet again just days after a first clash that went right down to the wire. The Sun pulled off the upset, edging it 90-89 on the Lynx’s floor despite the gap between the two teams in the standings. This time, Minnesota will be out for revenge, but that does not automatically mean the visitors are about to go on a scoring spree.
The Lynx have one of the best attacks in the WNBA and, on paper, they have the stronger case. But when they go to Connecticut, a familiar pattern often shows up.
Connecticut has looked better lately 
The Sun’s season has been a slog. With a win rate of just 23.8%, Connecticut sits bottom of the Eastern Conference and bottom overall. The last 10 games have not helped much either: three wins, seven losses. The season-long numbers explain why. Connecticut scores only 79.5 points a game and gives up 86. The team has spent much of the year struggling for any kind of offensive rhythm, while handing opponents far too many chances at the other end.
The recent form is a little different, though. Over their last 10 games, the Sun are averaging 84.8 points and allowing 84.9. That is not a full-blown turnaround, but it does suggest Connecticut can stick around more often and make games more competitive. The recent win over Minnesota is the best example. The Sun matched the Lynx’s scoring for 40 minutes before nicking it by a point. Facing the same opponent again straight away can only help Connecticut, because it already knows the tweaks needed to shut down some of Minnesota’s attacking patterns.
The Lynx are still dangerous on the road 
The Lynx remain one of the class acts of the season. Even after the recent loss to Connecticut, Minnesota has won six of its last 10 and continues to post elite numbers going forward. Across the full season, the Lynx are scoring just under 89 points per game. Their recent output has been even stronger, with more than 90 points per game over their last 10 outings. Away from home, Minnesota is still close to its usual level at around 88 points a night.
Minnesota can absolutely take control here and get its own back without needing to reach 89. The history in Connecticut backs that up. The Lynx have stayed below 88.5 points in 16 of their last 18 road games at the Sun. That kind of consistency suggests Connecticut often finds a way to drag Minnesota into a slower, harder game when the Lynx show up in town.
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WNBA Prediction : Connecticut Sun vs Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx : under 88.5 points
Minnesota’s firepower makes this a risky play, no question, but the line still looks a touch high for a game in Connecticut. The Lynx are averaging around 88 points on the road this season, which is just below the number set for this matchup. The first meeting finished 90-89, so Minnesota cleared the line by one point in a wild game that was decided late. This rematch could look different, with both sides making more defensive adjustments.
Connecticut now knows the script well enough and can lean on the confidence from that recent win. The Sun are still the weaker side in the standings, but their latest performances show more resistance and a better ability to stay in games. The key stat, though, is the history: Minnesota has gone over 88.5 points only twice in its last 18 trips to Connecticut. With the line sitting above its road average, that trend is worth backing.
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