- 1 Casa Pia vs Porto: one side have not scored, the other have barely been touched
- 2 Casa Pia, still stuck on zero in attack after five rounds
- 3 Porto, five wins and only one scare in the league
- 4 Football Prediction Casa Pia vs Porto
- 5 First, a word on our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes fast
- 8 Your role
- 9 Responsible gambling first
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About the visuals…
Casa Pia vs Porto: one side have not scored, the other have barely been touched 
Casa Pia have failed to score in five Primeira Liga matches. Porto have conceded just once over the same run.
Those two numbers tell you everything about the balance of power heading into round six. The top side visits the bottom side, with 14 points between them in the table.
The defending champions have won five from five and scored 11 goals. The Lisbon club, by contrast, have one lonely point and 11 goals against, the second-worst record in the division.
Kick-off is at 19:00 Paris time on Saturday 12 September at the Estadio Pina Manique. Porto are chasing first place. Casa Pia are already fighting for survival.
Porto are after a second straight title, something this club has not done for a long time. They have not strung together back-to-back championships since their three-peat between 2011 and 2013.
Last season’s crown came with a six-point cushion over Sporting. Francesco Farioli now goes into this campaign with the burden of backing it up.
The Dragons do, though, arrive with a sour note hanging over them. They lost 2-0 to Manchester City on Tuesday in their Champions League opener, with Erling Haaland scoring both goals after the break.
Casa Pia, meanwhile, finally got off the mark. A 0-0 draw away to Vitoria Guimaraes ended four straight defeats to start the season.
That point mattered most for what it said at the back. It was the first time this season Casa Pia had finished a match without conceding.
One small reminder that nothing is settled yet: Casa Pia beat Porto 2-1 in February, handing the eventual champions their first defeat of the season. Even then, the pressure was all about staying up.
Casa Pia, still stuck on zero in attack after five rounds 
Casa Pia are the only Primeira Liga team yet to score this season. Five matches in, zero goals, one point.
The numbers at the other end are no prettier. Eleven goals conceded in five games put the Gansos among the two weakest defences in the league.
The home hammering by Benfica sums up their season in one ugly line. The 7-0 defeat on their own turf remains the biggest scoreline in the league so far.
Last season already pointed to trouble. They finished 16th and only saved themselves by going through the relegation playoff.
Their home form is the biggest concern of all. No current Primeira Liga side has picked up fewer points on home turf since the start of last season.
Filipe Coelho, who arrived this summer to replace Alvaro Pacheco, inherited an immediate mess. His first point only came last weekend.
That 0-0 in Guimaraes at least brought their first clean sheet of the campaign. Coelho should keep faith with the back line that delivered it, with Pedro Rosas, David Sousa, Kaly and Andre Geraldes.
The questions are further forward. Henrique Araujo is pushing to take the number nine role, while Mohamed Salah is hoping for his first start after coming off the bench last week.
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Porto, five wins and only one scare in the league 
Porto have won their first five Primeira Liga games, scoring 11 times along the way. Alverca, Rio Ave, Arouca, Academico de Viseu and Moreirense have all been brushed aside.
The Dragons’ defence kept four clean sheets in a row before finally cracking last Friday. Moreirense’s goal was the first Porto had conceded in the league this season.
That game also showed the side’s bite when the script went wrong. Jan Bednarek and William Gomes turned it around for a 2-1 win.
They have already collected silverware too. Porto beat Torreense to lift the Portuguese Super Cup in the season opener.
The record against Casa Pia also heavily favours the Dragons. They have won eight of the last 10 league meetings, with one draw and one defeat.
The week ended badly in the Champions League, though. The 2-0 loss at Manchester City, with Haaland striking twice in the second half, reminded everyone of the gap when Porto run into truly elite opposition.
The injury room is still crowded, with Samu Aghehowa out with an ACL injury, Zaidu Sanusi and Oskar Pietuszewski sidelined by muscle problems, Vasco Sousa recovering from a broken bone and Victor Froholdt in concussion protocol.
There is at least one bit of good news for Porto. Bednarek, suspended in Europe on Tuesday, is back in the squad and should line up alongside fellow Pole Jakub Kiwior.
Probable Casa Pia line-up : Gomes ; Geraldes, Kaly, Sousa, Rosas ; Clua, Ofori ; Prieto, Rego, M. Salah ; H. Araujo
Probable Porto line-up : D. Costa ; A. Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Moura ; Rosario, Varela, Veiga ; Gomes, Silva, Pepe
Football Prediction Casa Pia vs Porto
Our prediction: Porto to win to nil
The straight price on a Porto win is around 1.25, which offers little appeal. The value sits in the win-and-clean-sheet angle, and that pays far better.
The two numbers at the top of this piece make the case. Casa Pia have not scored in five rounds, and Porto have conceded just once in the same span. No other league match-up offers such a clear contrast.
Bednarek’s return alongside Kiwior only strengthens a back line that had kept four straight clean sheets before Moreirense. Porto should win without conceding.
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