- 1 Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers: 1-5-1 on the road against the league’s 28th-ranked attack
- 2 Calgary Flames: a 30% power play and a goalie at .869
- 3 New York Rangers: Garand in for Shesterkin and the NHL’s best penalty kill
- 4 Free NHL Prediction: Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
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- 11 About visuals
Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers: 1-5-1 on the road against the league’s 28th-ranked attack 
The Rangers are 8-2-0 at Madison Square Garden and 1-5-1 everywhere else. That split is the first thing to explain before Wednesday 11 November at the Scotiabank Saddledome, puck drop 7:30pm ET, because New York arrives as the third stop on a four-game western trip that runs through Seattle, Edmonton, Calgary and Vancouver.
New York is 9-7-1 with 19 points, third in the Metropolitan, and it’s won its last two, 3-1 over St. Louis on 3 November and 3-2 over Philadelphia two nights later. Before that it had lost three straight, including a 7-4 defeat in Ottawa and a 6-3 loss at home to Los Angeles.
Calgary is 7-9-1 with 15 points and fifth in the Pacific. It has scored 2.47 goals a game, 28th in the NHL, and allowed 3.53, which ranks 26th. The Flames are 5-4-0 at home, and they’ve lost two straight, a 2-1 overtime loss in Seattle and a 5-3 home defeat to Anaheim on Friday after leading 3-1 at the first intermission.
The rest picture favors the home team slightly. Calgary hosts Philadelphia on Sunday and then has two days off. New York plays in Seattle on Saturday and in Edmonton on Monday, with a day between each game and no back-to-backs on the trip.
The teams split their two meetings last season. Calgary won 5-1 at home on 26 October 2025, with two goals from Blake Coleman and 29 saves from Dustin Wolf, and the Rangers won 4-0 at MSG on 10 March behind an Alexis Lafrenière hat trick. No odds had been posted for Wednesday at the time of writing.
Calgary Flames: a 30% power play and a goalie at .869 
Calgary’s power play is the strongest part of its game. It has converted 12 of 40 chances, a 30.0% rate that ranks fourth in the league, and Joel Farabee scored on the power play against Anaheim on Friday. At even strength the Flames have struggled to generate much at all.
Farabee leads the team with 16 points, 6 goals and 10 assists. Matt Coronato has 14 points and Morgan Frost 12, and Matvei Gridin has five goals. Behind that group the scoring drops off, which is a large part of why Calgary sits 28th in goals for.
The goaltending has split in two directions. Wolf is 3-5-1 with a 3.75 goals-against average and an .869 save percentage, while Devin Cooley is 4-3-0 with a 2.69 average and a .914. Wolf stopped 26 of 27 in a 2-1 win in San Jose on 2 November but gave up five on 29 shots against Anaheim.
The shot numbers point the wrong way for the Flames. They take 27.5 shots a game and allow 29.8, and Anaheim outshot them 29-21 on Friday. Calgary also wins just 47.4% of its faceoffs, 26th in the league, so it spends a lot of time chasing the puck.
The injury list includes Jonathan Huberdeau, whose hip problem has kept him out with the team saying on 24 October that he’s not close to returning, and Honzek, who’s on injured reserve. The penalty kill is at 83.0%, solid but not enough to offset the goals the Flames give up at five-on-five.
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New York Rangers: Garand in for Shesterkin and the NHL’s best penalty kill 
Igor Shesterkin is out for the season with a lower-body injury he suffered on 9 October. He’d gone 3-1-0 with a .927 save percentage before he was hurt, and Dylan Garand has started more than ten straight games since.
Garand has held up. He’s 6-6-1 with a 2.52 goals-against average, a .906 save percentage and a shutout, and he made 32 saves against St. Louis and 23 against Philadelphia in the two wins this week. Joonas Korpisalo went to the AHL on a conditioning stint on 4 November, so Garand is expected to keep starting.
The penalty kill is the standout number. New York kills 90.6% of its penalties, the best rate in the league, which puts it straight up against Calgary’s fourth-ranked power play. The Rangers also win 54% of their faceoffs, fourth in the NHL, while Calgary is 26th.
Adam Fox leads the team with 21 points, 19 of them assists. Lafrenière has nine goals and 16 points, Mika Zibanejad and J.T. Miller have 13 points each, and Tye Kartye has chipped in five goals. The Rangers score 3.00 goals a game and allow 2.88.
The road record is where the doubt comes in. Six of New York’s seven road games have ended in a loss, and the Rangers’ own power play, at 20.0%, hasn’t been a weapon. Veleno is on long-term injured reserve, and Durzi was placed on injured reserve on 5 November.
Probable lineup Calgary Flames: Not announced at time of publication (goalie: Dustin Wolf projected, unconfirmed)
Probable lineup New York Rangers: Not announced at time of publication (goalie: Dylan Garand projected)
Free NHL Prediction: Calgary Flames vs New York Rangers
Our prediction: New York Rangers to win (overtime included)
The 1-5-1 road record is the obvious argument against this pick, and I’ve weighed it. But Garand has stopped 55 of 58 shots in the last two games, and New York has the better goalie, the better penalty kill and the better faceoff team going into a building where the home side is scoring 2.47 goals a night.
Calgary’s best route to goals is its power play, and the Rangers kill penalties better than anyone. Take that away and the Flames are relying on five-on-five offense that ranks near the bottom of the league, with Wolf at .869 behind them if he starts.
No price was available at the time of writing. If the Rangers’ moneyline including overtime opens at 1.45 or higher, that’s the bet; Cooley starting for Calgary instead of Wolf would make it a closer call.
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