- 1 Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets: Randle’s 56 points in two games against a Celtics team on a back-to-back
- 2 Boston Celtics: George’s 38-point debut, Tatum’s swing from 0 of 7 to 36, and a second night in a row at home
- 3 Brooklyn Nets: 0-2, but scoring 112 a night with Randle and Porter Jr. leading it
- 4 Free NBA Prediction: Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
- 5 About our free predictions
- 6 No commitment from us
- 7 Information changes
- 8 Your responsibility
- 9 Responsible gambling
- 10 Legal age
- 11 About visuals
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets: Randle’s 56 points in two games against a Celtics team on a back-to-back 
Julius Randle has scored 56 points in his first two games for Brooklyn, and the Nets have lost both. He had 33 on 11-of-18 shooting in the 110-103 home defeat to Charlotte, then 23 points, six rebounds and five assists in a 125-121 loss at Cleveland on Saturday.
That Cleveland game is the better guide to what Brooklyn can do. The Nets trailed 104-82 with 9:29 left and got within four, with Egor Demin scoring 15 of his 22 points in the fourth quarter. They did it without Day’Ron Sharpe for the closing stretch, after the center was ejected for two flagrant fouls.
Boston are 1-1. Paul George scored 38 in his Celtics debut, a 121-113 loss in Detroit, and Jayson Tatum answered three nights later with 36 in a 107-103 home win over the Knicks, 25 of them after half-time.
Tip-off is 7:30pm ET on Tuesday 27 October at TD Garden, the first of four meetings this season. The schedule leans Brooklyn’s way: Boston host Chicago on Monday night, so this is the second game of a home back-to-back, while the Nets play Indiana on Sunday and then get Monday off.
No line had been posted at the time of writing. Boston will be favourites, and they should be, but both of their games so far have been decided by eight points or fewer, and a tired team scoring 110 a night isn’t one I’d trust to win by double digits. My interest is in the points Brooklyn will be getting.
Boston Celtics: George’s 38-point debut, Tatum’s swing from 0 of 7 to 36, and a second night in a row at home 
The Celtics rebuilt their wing rotation in early July, sending Jaylen Brown to Philadelphia for George, two first-round picks and two second-round picks. George’s first game was a statement of what he still has: 38 points, seven threes on 12 attempts and five steals in Detroit.
The same night went badly for Tatum. He shot 6 of 23 and 0 of 7 from three for 13 points, though he still handed out 11 assists. Against New York he was a different player, scoring 36 on 14-of-26 shooting with nine rebounds, seven assists and three steals, and the Celtics will need something closer to that version on the second night of a back-to-back.
The interior is the less settled part of the roster. Mitchell Robinson, who left the Knicks for Boston in the summer, managed four points and four rebounds in 22 minutes against his old team before foul trouble limited him. Neemias Queta scored 15 in the same game, and Detroit had outrebounded Boston 49-39 on opening night.
Through two games the Celtics are scoring 110.0 points and allowing 112.0, with a 45.7% field-goal rate and 16 made threes per game. Their offensive rating sits at 115.7 against a defensive rating of 117.8, and their pace of around 96.5 possessions is slow, which tends to keep margins down.
Last season Boston beat Brooklyn three times in four, including a 148-111 win at TD Garden on 27 February. The one defeat also came at home, 113-105 on 21 November. The Celtics went 23-18 against the spread at home in 2025-26, and 26 of those 41 home games went under the total.
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Brooklyn Nets: 0-2, but scoring 112 a night with Randle and Porter Jr. leading it 
Michael Porter Jr. has matched Randle shot for shot. He scored 26 against Charlotte with five threes, then 28 on 10-of-18 shooting and nine rebounds at Cleveland, and the two forwards give Brooklyn a scoring base it simply didn’t have last season.
The front office built that quickly. Randle and the rights to the 28th pick arrived in a four-team trade on 10 July that sent Nic Claxton to Chicago, after the Nets had signed Sharpe, Josh Minott and Keon Ellis on 30 June and Moritz Wagner a day later.
Demin’s fourth quarter at Cleveland matters for the backcourt picture. He hit five of 10 threes in that game, finished with six assists and then fouled out, and Mikel Brown Jr., the No. 6 pick, should add to the rotation on Tuesday. Brown is on an indefinite minutes limit with a left ankle problem, sat on Sunday, and has 27 October as his estimated return date.
The defence is where the record comes from. Brooklyn are allowing 117.5 points per game, Cleveland shot 51% from the field and won the paint 46-30, and Charlotte’s Naz Reid had 20 points and 11 rebounds in Brooklyn. A Boston team that prefers a slow half-court game won’t push the pace the way the Cavaliers did.
The history isn’t kind to the Nets in this price range. Last season’s team went 20-62, finished last in offensive efficiency at 105.9 points per game, and covered only 19 of 51 games when getting 7.5 points or more. This roster is already scoring six points a game more than that one did.
Probable lineup Boston Celtics: Derrick White, Paul George, Jayson Tatum, Jordan Walsh, Mitchell Robinson
Probable lineup Brooklyn Nets: Egor Demin, Michael Porter Jr., Julius Randle, Day’Ron Sharpe, fifth starter not confirmed (Mikel Brown Jr. if cleared for more minutes)
Free NBA Prediction: Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Our prediction: Brooklyn Nets with the handicap (spread not yet posted at time of writing)
Boston should win this game, and I’m not arguing otherwise. The bet is on the margin: the Celtics play Chicago the night before, they’ve been in two one-possession or two-possession games already, and their pace of 96.5 keeps scores close.
Brooklyn come in rested, with Randle averaging 28.0 points and Porter Jr. 27.0, and a rookie point guard set to return. Their defence is the obvious weakness, and last season’s record as a big underdog was poor, but this team scored 121 in Cleveland and nearly erased a 22-point deficit in nine minutes.
If the spread opens at seven points or more, I’d take the Nets. Below that the value thins out, and I’d leave the game alone rather than move to the Celtics moneyline, which will sit well under 1.45.
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