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Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights NHL prediction

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights – Free NHL Prediction

Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights: two 6-2 defeats for the league’s top-scoring team NHL

Vegas lost 6-2 to Tampa Bay on Tuesday and 6-2 in St. Louis on Thursday. The Golden Knights arrive in Columbus on Saturday at 8-4-0 with 44 goals, the most in the NHL.

Columbus is 3-5-0. The Blue Jackets lost 6-2 at home to Toronto on Tuesday, a game in which they were outshot 37-22 and gave up four straight goals in the second period, and they’ve lost five of their last seven.

Puck drop at Nationwide Arena is 7pm ET. The rest situation favors the home team: Columbus hasn’t played since Tuesday, while Vegas played in St. Louis on Thursday night and is still on the road.

The numbers on special teams are lopsided. Vegas scores on 25% of its power plays, Columbus on 8.7%, and that 16.3-point gap is the widest single difference between these rosters.

Recent meetings have been tight on the scoreboard. Four of the last five games between these teams went under the total.

Vegas is priced at 1.74 on the moneyline and Columbus at 2.14, with the total at 6.5. We think that number gives a fair price on a road favorite that has scored 3.75 goals per game.

Columbus Blue Jackets: 2.38 goals per game and three days of rest Columbus Blue Jackets

Columbus scores 2.38 goals per game and allows 3.63. That’s a minus-1.25 margin per night through eight games, and the Blue Jackets have lost their last two, to Minnesota and Toronto.

The power play is the clearest problem. At 8.7%, it isn’t turning the extra man into goals, and the penalty kill isn’t much better at 70%.

Kent Johnson leads the team with four goals. Charlie Coyle has six assists, and Adam Fantilli has taken 25 shots, the most on the roster.

Zach Werenski is the player we’d watch against this opponent. He has recorded at least one assist in seven of his last eight games as a Columbus underdog against Vegas.

Jet Greaves is the expected starter in goal. He has allowed 16 goals on 137 shots this season, a save percentage of about .883, while Cam Talbot has given up 11 on 83.

The rest edge has been worth something in the past. Columbus has covered the puck line in 14 of its last 16 games as a home underdog with a rest advantage, which is exactly the spot it’s in on Saturday.

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Vegas Golden Knights: Eichel at 18 points, with Marner day to day Vegas Golden Knights

Jack Eichel has 18 points, five goals and 13 assists. Mark Stone leads the team with eight goals and has 15 points, and Tomas Hertl has put 30 shots on goal.

Mitch Marner has 12 points with 10 assists and was on a seven-game point streak, but he’s listed as day to day. Parker Wotherspoon is out.

Brett Howden has scored in four of Vegas’s last five games, which gives the Golden Knights a third line that can finish when the top six is shut down.

The defense is where the last two games went wrong. Vegas allows 3.00 goals per game, and its penalty kill sits at 67.9%, which is lower than Columbus’s.

Carter Hart is the expected starter. He has allowed 20 goals on 178 shots, about an .888 save percentage, and Adin Hill has conceded 15 on 127.

The road record against this division is the warning. Vegas has failed to cover in 21 of its last 25 road games as a favorite against Metropolitan Division teams, though that’s a puck-line trend rather than a moneyline one.

Probable lineup Columbus Blue Jackets: Not announced at time of publication (Jet Greaves expected in goal)
Probable lineup Vegas Golden Knights: Not announced at time of publication (Carter Hart expected in goal)

Free NHL Prediction: Columbus Blue Jackets vs Vegas Golden Knights

Our prediction: Vegas Golden Knights to win (moneyline, 1.74)

We’re backing Vegas to win in regulation or beyond. The Golden Knights have scored 3.75 goals per game against Columbus’s 2.38, and their 25% power play meets a penalty kill that has let in 30% of opposing chances.

Two 6-2 losses in four days are a fair reason for doubt, and Columbus is rested while Vegas played on Thursday. We still weigh eight wins from 12 games over two bad nights, and Eichel’s 18 points over a Columbus roster whose top goalscorer has four.

We’d avoid the puck line given Vegas’s 21-in-25 failure rate as a road favorite against the Metropolitan. The moneyline at 1.74 is the bet.

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